AFL ROUND 3 BOMB PLAYS

A poor start to the season, but I'm being lazy and playing games for action more than any other reason which is poor on my behalf so I do apologise.

Last season's bomb plays were flawless and to find potentially two in one round is nice!

PLAY #1: Port Adelaide Power -51.5 against Essendon Bombers

My beloved Bombers, how good it was to see them go against all the odds and win a game this season when everyone said they wouldn't.

But I think they get shot back down to reality this week against a desperate Port Adelaide side who came off a belting in the derby against the Crows.

A friday night packed house at AAMI stadium is pretty much as hostile as it gets for a young bombers team and this one should get nasty, similar to the preseason games where Essendon were getting belted by 70+ points.

Analyse it how you will, but I think Port will pack on the points in a real hurry and Bombers won't be able to keep up at all.

PLAY #2: Geelong Cats -55.5 against Brisbane Lions

A lot of points to lay but the Lions are another basketcase team that don't have much going for them at the moment. They've lost captain Rockliff for the next fortnight and their next relatively good players in Rich and Robinson are only a 50-50 chance to play with lingering injuries.

Geelong's first game at Skilled Stadium this season; a ground they have made a haven in recent years.

A lot of my plays are made not off statistics but off the feel of games as I often watch every single one weekly when possible.

Once again, tail at your own risk and let's see if we can bounce back and have a 2-0 weekend!

Bombers probably still celebrating that win. Will be able to count the number of wins they have this season in one hand

Hopeully Shulz is back for Power though. They looked rudderless up forward in the showdown without him

Same view on Power buddy, and glad to see you refocused. Money time on your views. Likely gonna play Lions at this stage, but still formulating... Can't wait!

Rod 

Re-taking the line at -47.5 with the news Wingard, Schulz and Hartlett are all out. Doesn't help the cause but still think it's a blowout.

Bombers are shyte but not taking the total piss as of yet.  Port has underachieved to what they have been expected.  Books know now that punters will be laying whatever against Essendon by now.  +51.5 looks about 10 points too many to me.

Be careful.  

Why do you think the Adelaide line is so short?  I reckon they should've been at least close to a 10-point favorite.  Pre-season expectations still hanging on?

Tigers have looked like garbage and they're banged up considerably.  Adelaide has looked great and have a full list to choose from.

Any ideas?

GL peekay 

Rumour is Dixon is out as well

Thanks for the well wishes boys. Still strong on the Port play. No late changes.

  Thank you for the input.

Good luck! 

Good luck with Tigers. They are going to play with lots of intensity (you would think) after last week and media beating up on Cotch 

Tigers wasn't a play for me, just leaning that way in my response. 

Sticking with the Cats here at the line. 

 2-0 on the weekend and with enough careful analysis and not playing games for the sake of it we will do just fine