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    AFL Rd 17

    Simba_AUS
    bevoaustintx
    ecoute
    diop
    Geelong
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    Simba_AUS
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 1:55 AM ET #1

    Adelaide/Adelaide - HT/FT @ 2.70
    Collingwood -40.5 @ 2.10
    Gold Coast +26.5 @ 2.55
    West Coast - HT/FT @ 2.80
    Port Adelaide +20.5 @ 2.19
    Fremantle +14.5 @ 2.45
    Geelong -49.5 @ 2.28
    North Melbourne/North Melbourne - HT/FT @ 4.20

    Really like the Crows tonight, Collingwood and Geelong look like the only good things out of the favourites. Also give Gold Coast a huge chance of winning
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    Adelaide/Adelaide - HT/FT @ 2.70
    Collingwood -40.5 @ 2.10
    Gold Coast +26.5 @ 2.55
    West Coast - HT/FT @ 2.80
    Port Adelaide +20.5 @ 2.19
    Fremantle +14.5 @ 2.45
    Geelong -49.5 @ 2.28
    North Melbourne/North Melbourne - HT/FT @ 4.20

    Really like the Crows tonight, Collingwood and Geelong look like the only good things out of the favourites. Also give Gold Coast a huge chance of winning
     
    bevoaustintx
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 2:45 AM ET #2

    Was informed of the weather in Adelaid, apparently cold and windy?  Leaning towards under 177.5 as I believe it was at 179
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    Was informed of the weather in Adelaid, apparently cold and windy?  Leaning towards under 177.5 as I believe it was at 179
     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 3:13 AM ET #3

    Crows getting a lot of love tonight. GL
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    Crows getting a lot of love tonight. GL
     
    diop
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 5:39 AM ET #4

    ye crows are in horrible form, the only reason ppl are picking them is because essendon aren't in great form but more importnatly absoloutly stink at AAMI.

    im thinkin of taking the boombers 2nite i think theyve got a little momentum from their 2 wins and crows coming off the bye
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    ye crows are in horrible form, the only reason ppl are picking them is because essendon aren't in great form but more importnatly absoloutly stink at AAMI.

    im thinkin of taking the boombers 2nite i think theyve got a little momentum from their 2 wins and crows coming off the bye
     
    Geelong
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 5:43 AM ET #5

    hey bevo, the weather looks fine right now but pretty windy. Good luck on the play, I'm also taking the under 177.5..if you wanna follow it live here's the link https://www.afl.com.au/tabid/16931/default.aspx#fixtureid=5597&tab=Preview
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    hey bevo, the weather looks fine right now but pretty windy. Good luck on the play, I'm also taking the under 177.5..if you wanna follow it live here's the link https://www.afl.com.au/tabid/16931/default.aspx#fixtureid=5597&tab=Preview
     
    Geelong
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 5:53 AM ET #6

    I really like Tigers -40, I think when these type of matches come up people automatically believe the lower teams will be in for a struggle against the Suns etc but it's usually the opposite way around and really can see Riewoldt kicking 10+ goals in this game. Tigers midfield will absolutely obliterate the Suns in close and should be an easy 85 point victory here. Eagles is another good bet people think Saints are now up and about's but West Coast will kill them off in the 4th quarter.
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    I really like Tigers -40, I think when these type of matches come up people automatically believe the lower teams will be in for a struggle against the Suns etc but it's usually the opposite way around and really can see Riewoldt kicking 10+ goals in this game. Tigers midfield will absolutely obliterate the Suns in close and should be an easy 85 point victory here. Eagles is another good bet people think Saints are now up and about's but West Coast will kill them off in the 4th quarter.
     
    Geelong
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 7:53 AM ET #7

    under backers looking good right now

    something tells me Essendon is gonna come out firing after halftime though. That's probably good news for the under as we need a couple more of these momentum shifts during the game to  keep the total one sided and low

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    under backers looking good right now

    something tells me Essendon is gonna come out firing after halftime though. That's probably good news for the under as we need a couple more of these momentum shifts during the game to  keep the total one sided and low

     
    robocop123
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 3:51 PM ET #8

    Great day boyz... lets cash in on Richmond
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    Great day boyz... lets cash in on Richmond
     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 7:55 PM ET #9

    Adelaide + Under =
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    Adelaide + Under =
     
    Geelong
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 9:43 PM ET #10

    anyone else buying into this Collingwood's bubble has now burst and the Blues can smell blood? I am really thinking of taking Collingwood -39.5 today, I just don't believe Carlton are a team that adjusts well to their gamestyle and Collingwood will likely rally together and decide to put in a full four quarters of intensity against an opponent who themselves are injury ravaged today. Judd's impact becomes neutral because of Ball's inside work and Murphy although excellent, isn't quite in the same class as Pendlebury and Thomas just yet. Kreuzer could be the key because he should be able to run off Jolly who's really slowed down in recent years and if he can influence the centre square could just keep em to within 4 or 5 goals...it's either Collingwood -39 or no play for me

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    anyone else buying into this Collingwood's bubble has now burst and the Blues can smell blood? I am really thinking of taking Collingwood -39.5 today, I just don't believe Carlton are a team that adjusts well to their gamestyle and Collingwood will likely rally together and decide to put in a full four quarters of intensity against an opponent who themselves are injury ravaged today. Judd's impact becomes neutral because of Ball's inside work and Murphy although excellent, isn't quite in the same class as Pendlebury and Thomas just yet. Kreuzer could be the key because he should be able to run off Jolly who's really slowed down in recent years and if he can influence the centre square could just keep em to within 4 or 5 goals...it's either Collingwood -39 or no play for me

     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 10:54 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Geelong:

    anyone else buying into this Collingwood's bubble has now burst and the Blues can smell blood? I am really thinking of taking Collingwood -39.5 today, I just don't believe Carlton are a team that adjusts well to their gamestyle and Collingwood will likely rally together and decide to put in a full four quarters of intensity against an opponent who themselves are injury ravaged today. Judd's impact becomes neutral because of Ball's inside work and Murphy although excellent, isn't quite in the same class as Pendlebury and Thomas just yet. Kreuzer could be the key because he should be able to run off Jolly who's really slowed down in recent years and if he can influence the centre square could just keep em to within 4 or 5 goals...it's either Collingwood -39 or no play for me



    Did anyone catch Brett Ratten being interviewed this morning. He said this was going to be a battle of the midfield but also suggested that he would not be tagging Peddles, Swan or Thomas. If he does play it this way then the Pies will smash the Blues
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    Quote Originally Posted by Geelong:

    anyone else buying into this Collingwood's bubble has now burst and the Blues can smell blood? I am really thinking of taking Collingwood -39.5 today, I just don't believe Carlton are a team that adjusts well to their gamestyle and Collingwood will likely rally together and decide to put in a full four quarters of intensity against an opponent who themselves are injury ravaged today. Judd's impact becomes neutral because of Ball's inside work and Murphy although excellent, isn't quite in the same class as Pendlebury and Thomas just yet. Kreuzer could be the key because he should be able to run off Jolly who's really slowed down in recent years and if he can influence the centre square could just keep em to within 4 or 5 goals...it's either Collingwood -39 or no play for me



    Did anyone catch Brett Ratten being interviewed this morning. He said this was going to be a battle of the midfield but also suggested that he would not be tagging Peddles, Swan or Thomas. If he does play it this way then the Pies will smash the Blues
     
    davoz
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 10:55 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Geelong:

    anyone else buying into this Collingwood's bubble has now burst and the Blues can smell blood? I am really thinking of taking Collingwood -39.5 today, I just don't believe Carlton are a team that adjusts well to their gamestyle and Collingwood will likely rally together and decide to put in a full four quarters of intensity against an opponent who themselves are injury ravaged today. Judd's impact becomes neutral because of Ball's inside work and Murphy although excellent, isn't quite in the same class as Pendlebury and Thomas just yet. Kreuzer could be the key because he should be able to run off Jolly who's really slowed down in recent years and if he can influence the centre square could just keep em to within 4 or 5 goals...it's either Collingwood -39 or no play for me



     couldn't agree more
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    Quote Originally Posted by Geelong:

    anyone else buying into this Collingwood's bubble has now burst and the Blues can smell blood? I am really thinking of taking Collingwood -39.5 today, I just don't believe Carlton are a team that adjusts well to their gamestyle and Collingwood will likely rally together and decide to put in a full four quarters of intensity against an opponent who themselves are injury ravaged today. Judd's impact becomes neutral because of Ball's inside work and Murphy although excellent, isn't quite in the same class as Pendlebury and Thomas just yet. Kreuzer could be the key because he should be able to run off Jolly who's really slowed down in recent years and if he can influence the centre square could just keep em to within 4 or 5 goals...it's either Collingwood -39 or no play for me



     couldn't agree more
     
    bevoaustintx
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2011 - 10:56 PM ET #13

    amazing i was one quarter away from Adelaide ML at +110 and +5.5, but thanks to Geelong i took the under for more
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    amazing i was one quarter away from Adelaide ML at +110 and +5.5, but thanks to Geelong i took the under for more
     
    Simba_AUS
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    Posted: Jul. 17, 2011 - 11:48 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by Simba_AUS:

    Adelaide/Adelaide - HT/FT @ 2.70 - Adelaide choke after leading by over 40 points!
    Collingwood -40.5 @ 2.10 - Missed too many chances and allowed Carlton to stick around
    Gold Coast +26.5 @ 2.55 - Proved to good and actually won the game at huge odds!
    West Coast - HT/FT @ 2.80
    Port Adelaide +20.5 @ 2.19 - Lost by half a point!
    Fremantle +14.5 @ 2.45 - Kicked out by a huge lead and held on to win the game by 11!
    Geelong -49.5 @ 2.28 - Only turned up in the last quarter and won by 5 goals
    North Melbourne/North Melbourne - HT/FT @ 4.20 - Controlled the match for most of the game and won by 3 goals!

    Really like the Crows tonight, Collingwood and Geelong look like the only good things out of the favourites. Also give Gold Coast a huge chance of winning

     

    +1.2 Units

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    Quote Originally Posted by Simba_AUS:

    Adelaide/Adelaide - HT/FT @ 2.70 - Adelaide choke after leading by over 40 points!
    Collingwood -40.5 @ 2.10 - Missed too many chances and allowed Carlton to stick around
    Gold Coast +26.5 @ 2.55 - Proved to good and actually won the game at huge odds!
    West Coast - HT/FT @ 2.80
    Port Adelaide +20.5 @ 2.19 - Lost by half a point!
    Fremantle +14.5 @ 2.45 - Kicked out by a huge lead and held on to win the game by 11!
    Geelong -49.5 @ 2.28 - Only turned up in the last quarter and won by 5 goals
    North Melbourne/North Melbourne - HT/FT @ 4.20 - Controlled the match for most of the game and won by 3 goals!

    Really like the Crows tonight, Collingwood and Geelong look like the only good things out of the favourites. Also give Gold Coast a huge chance of winning

     

    +1.2 Units

     
    Geelong
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2011 - 1:51 AM ET #15

    wow! Sorry if anyone followed my stupid Tigers and Collingwood plays

    Collingwood looked very flat yet always seem to have the game under raps. I can't work out Carlton, they have no tall targets forward and it's probably the reason why they will fail in September. You just can't ignore the fact that a quality tall forward will always create problems and Judd although highly publicised and gets all the accolades...simply does not kick enough goals nor take enough contested marks. I mean Hird use to do what he does in the middle of the ground then he'd go forward and change the game.

    Tigers, well......................they can't wait too long before becoming a top 4 team because the likes of Geelong, Sydney, Hawthorn and Bulldogs are already rebuilding for the future and they may again find themselves on the outer once again.

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    wow! Sorry if anyone followed my stupid Tigers and Collingwood plays

    Collingwood looked very flat yet always seem to have the game under raps. I can't work out Carlton, they have no tall targets forward and it's probably the reason why they will fail in September. You just can't ignore the fact that a quality tall forward will always create problems and Judd although highly publicised and gets all the accolades...simply does not kick enough goals nor take enough contested marks. I mean Hird use to do what he does in the middle of the ground then he'd go forward and change the game.

    Tigers, well......................they can't wait too long before becoming a top 4 team because the likes of Geelong, Sydney, Hawthorn and Bulldogs are already rebuilding for the future and they may again find themselves on the outer once again.

     
     
    GLENNNASS
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 8:07 AM ET #16

    Liked your work on the weekend.Your insight gave me a good win on the Gold Coast and Nth Melb/Nth Melb.Did lose on Adelaide but Adelaide can collapse any old time.Good work.
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    Liked your work on the weekend.Your insight gave me a good win on the Gold Coast and Nth Melb/Nth Melb.Did lose on Adelaide but Adelaide can collapse any old time.Good work.
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