12/08/2022 PUCK Talk

@Osser

 What are Vics Scenarios?

@Mud_Man

 always look for these spots!! i love it

I pay for Action Network. I've been trying to figure out where they get their info from, I think because I'm in Canada, its only giving me Canadian books info? the games only show 5.5k to 7.6k bets for each game tonight..If it were US data, would it not be 10x that? or maybe with the football game on, nhl not getting the attention..

Anyways, 

I'll share some info :)

Nash 22% bets, 54% $

Ott 26% bets, 50% $

DET 60% bets, 71% $

Jets 87% bets, 97% $

LAK 25% bets, 61% $

What does this tell you? where the "sharp" action is..

I only just got it last month, but I noticed that anytime there is 85% of the bet and 95% of the money on the same side, watch out!! Those are the games that always fuck you!! lol

@Craigy818

 I don't understand any of that but maybe Peel or someone can fill in the gaps. I look at Action but don't purchase. Their "unlocked" bet has the Sens/Stars game total with 70% of the bets and 90% of the money. So? Does that mean fade and take the under? That is what the trend for these 2 teams are. 

Sorry but curiosity got the best of me, and I feel it's a legit question, but why do people follow the 'sharps' instead of trying to be the sharp?

And I am in no way implying that I am a sharp or ever will be, but it just seems your not doing your homework if your just going to copy off some else's Exam.

Seems to me the 'sharps' are the ones charging for a service that isn't necessary. 

@rustie

 I follow numbers and gut. 

Numbers and gut I understand , paying for something that is unnecessary I don't.

I’ll play situational spots, look at past h2h matchups , pick out strange lines that don’t add up based on public betting numbers….

ie: My one and only play might be the Blues tonight . 90% of plays are on the jets and their number has been hovering around -120 all day….seems like a trap. Same example could have been said for the rangers last night and we saw how that played out. I just don’t know if I can back the Blues yet 

Gut plays also are a deciding factor. Sometimes I don’t listen to it and am stubborn aka the Flyers last night ….I told myself weeks ago that i wouldn’t touch them this season….maybe im just an idiot and let my heart sway me lol

Thanks alot Doc! All your success caught Dkings attention and they dropped AHL betting. 

Quite the zinger there ! WOW

Here I go again 

YTD 60-51 -1.89 

Don't really like the card, but not smart enough to sit out. Too bad no AHL tonight. Almost went with North Bay Battalion -2.5 over Soo Greyhounds but decided better. 

Going completely against my numbers again and hope it doesn't bite me in the arse. Dallas is so much better than Sens and have lost 2 in a row, including being shutout last time out. Think they will tighten up things vs the Sens. Thought of their tt but I don't think they want to get in a track meet with the Sens. Scary bet as 3 of the last 10 have gone to OT but

Stars in regulation -125 

Doc

The Stars come out at night 

@rustie

 I use it to fade the heavy bets/ money sides...or at least a no play...the "sharp" action has not been very sharp over the last 2 weeks lol

All good brother ,you do you, we all have our ways of doing things. 

Good idea limiting action Doc.

Since no in game thread I will use this place to vent.

No, not about that Bib dude with his sham of a thread on the forum.

But yes, fuck the Kings. Literally hate they couldn't even net 1. 

Otherwise, the Panthers are kicking that Red Wing ass. TB handled Nash as the numbers suggested. Jets are up 2 after 2. Sens and Stars gridlocked at the moment at 2.

@Craigy818

 Aside from the jets, which I thought would be the trap, all the “sharp” money lost lol I swear you could make a fortune fading the money…I’m going to go through the data next few days 

@Craigy818

 Redlands 2 sharp plays crushed tho. Hard to understand who is getting the right data and what to believe