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What is mathematically the most unlikely final score in a football game?

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Posted: #26
switchwalk:Yes that made a lot of sense but we know that already. The Baylor/Wash game produced 123 point in last year's Bowl game and it was no surprise at all.

My question is, what is the maximum number of points that can theoretically be scored in a football game?

Non stop kick-off returns for TD's would produce a game to the likes of 840-840. So 847-840 would be theoretically impossible. Of course if you count Overtime, then the score can be infinitely high.

Even the 840-840 in regulation is absolutely ridiculous and it would be safe to say that a 6-4 (OT) score is more probable. So where do we draw the line? What score in the upper boundary is more improbable than a 6-4 (OT) final?
 
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Posted: #27
It doesnt matter how many points are scored, the probability of the sequence of events that has to occur for the 4-4(OT) scenario to play out is far less probable than whatever amount of consecutive scoring plays a game of football can allow. the 4-4(OT) scenario puts the ball in the best position to score FG or TDs, as many times as possible, without one actually being scored. The defences have to be nearly perfect, without giving their own offence great field position or putting up defensive points (outside of the safeties) 

from a logic stand point; theres no way an NFL game will ever have nonstop kick returns. the talent pool of players is too deep, and the coaching in most instances is far too overbearing for that many consecutive errors. so within reason, would the highest scoring NFL game be less mathematically probable than the strange series of events that has to occur for the specific 4-4(ot) scoreline?

doubt it. 

I think the number of points you have to put up to get the same probability as a 4-4(ot) game would be far more points than are ever possible to be scored in an NFL game. I dont know enough about college football, but theres no way the kids have a) the stamina to score that many points and b) the coaches who wont friggen run the ball once or twice between the tackles to eat a few seconds to give his D a breather.
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by eddothebook:

6-4 (OT) ?

6 - 4 overtime game has HAS to be more rare than a 4-4 tie.

right?
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by earthWake:


6 - 4 overtime game has HAS to be more rare than a 4-4 tie.

right?

The original question was most improbable final score. In that instance, the final score of the game is 6-4. that final score can occur when a team misses an XP and their defence gets 2 safeties. I know 6-4(ot) might technically be less likely than 4-4 (OT), but 4-4 is less likely than 6-4. the whole "(OT)" really just really muddied the conversation lol
 
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Posted: #30
Why would a team end with 8?   Comes down to the end of the game and instead of tying they go for 2 ?   Let me see that!!!!
 
 
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Posted: #31

13-13

"There are ties in the NFL?"

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