I also like DAL +6 with all of the BUF injuries and locker room let down syndrome. BUF can still win the game...but I dont know if they can win by a full TD (great spot for the books, public is on BUF ATS and DAL ML, a Buf win -3 fades the public twice).
Looking at PIT -10, STL +10 and CHI +3...but I've got a lot of digging to do before I risk any extra U's before the playoffs hit. GL my friend, your analysis and insights are top notch
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I also like DAL +6 with all of the BUF injuries and locker room let down syndrome. BUF can still win the game...but I dont know if they can win by a full TD (great spot for the books, public is on BUF ATS and DAL ML, a Buf win -3 fades the public twice).
Looking at PIT -10, STL +10 and CHI +3...but I've got a lot of digging to do before I risk any extra U's before the playoffs hit. GL my friend, your analysis and insights are top notch
Valid points in Broncos game.. AJ McCarron on prime time and 2nd consecutive road victory for 2nd seed. Tough task. A bit of revenge factor here too as they played same time last season.. They had an amazing 1st half in Pittsburgh and couldn't close the deal.. Broncos 2-0 on prime time with 2 dramatic comeback wins..
I would rather take Patriots than Bengals.. I know you like Jets games
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Valid points in Broncos game.. AJ McCarron on prime time and 2nd consecutive road victory for 2nd seed. Tough task. A bit of revenge factor here too as they played same time last season.. They had an amazing 1st half in Pittsburgh and couldn't close the deal.. Broncos 2-0 on prime time with 2 dramatic comeback wins..
I would rather take Patriots than Bengals.. I know you like Jets games
I've noticed that when you pick a dog, your winning percentage is very high.
Good title to this thread. Send those kids to bed, while the adults talk football.
Thanks to you as well buddy. After the season I will do a big recap of my season. You are probably right, I was way off on a lot of favs this year. Gonna be interesting what my record on dogs is.
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Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:
Good call on SD, Suuma, and Merry Christmas!
I've noticed that when you pick a dog, your winning percentage is very high.
Good title to this thread. Send those kids to bed, while the adults talk football.
Thanks to you as well buddy. After the season I will do a big recap of my season. You are probably right, I was way off on a lot of favs this year. Gonna be interesting what my record on dogs is.
I like CIN +3.5 myself. The story is on AJ McCaron not being ready...I dont know what in the world Osweiler is going to do against that CIN front 7, and with the CIN secondary getting healthier this could quickly turn into mismatch for CIN if all the Bengals do is run the ball and dink and dunk to Eifert. This might be a game where all the TDs are scored on D/ST, and with the public banging DEN ATS and ML this is a primo spot for Upset City (I know you dont believe in the stuff, but I think it holds value...sports books have staff on hand that know much more than we do about football and have had decades of experience honing their craft to "make money")
I also like MIN -5.5, KC -11, NYJ +3 (we ned the public to push the line to +3.5),
Since Tyler Eifert is ruled out for now, I will come back to that game on Monday. Gotta cap it again without him.
MIN looks too easy. Ive got burned on these kind of games this year. Thing is that Eli will air it out and they will open the playbook. Vikings might take this game too easy knowing their best weapon is suspended and they have GB on deck. Just a gut feeling.
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Quote Originally Posted by TheForbes777:
Nice call on SD
I like CIN +3.5 myself. The story is on AJ McCaron not being ready...I dont know what in the world Osweiler is going to do against that CIN front 7, and with the CIN secondary getting healthier this could quickly turn into mismatch for CIN if all the Bengals do is run the ball and dink and dunk to Eifert. This might be a game where all the TDs are scored on D/ST, and with the public banging DEN ATS and ML this is a primo spot for Upset City (I know you dont believe in the stuff, but I think it holds value...sports books have staff on hand that know much more than we do about football and have had decades of experience honing their craft to "make money")
I also like MIN -5.5, KC -11, NYJ +3 (we ned the public to push the line to +3.5),
Since Tyler Eifert is ruled out for now, I will come back to that game on Monday. Gotta cap it again without him.
MIN looks too easy. Ive got burned on these kind of games this year. Thing is that Eli will air it out and they will open the playbook. Vikings might take this game too easy knowing their best weapon is suspended and they have GB on deck. Just a gut feeling.
Since Tyler Eifert is ruled out for now, I will come back to that game on Monday. Gotta cap it again without him.
MIN looks too easy. Ive got burned on these kind of games this year. Thing is that Eli will air it out and they will open the playbook. Vikings might take this game too easy knowing their best weapon is suspended and they have GB on deck. Just a gut feeling.
Coach Lewis: Tyler Eifert is not declared out, I don't know where that report came from. We're still hopeful he'll play.
Since Tyler Eifert is ruled out for now, I will come back to that game on Monday. Gotta cap it again without him.
MIN looks too easy. Ive got burned on these kind of games this year. Thing is that Eli will air it out and they will open the playbook. Vikings might take this game too easy knowing their best weapon is suspended and they have GB on deck. Just a gut feeling.
Coach Lewis: Tyler Eifert is not declared out, I don't know where that report came from. We're still hopeful he'll play.
Philly/Wash: Every good front seven gives the Redskins fits like Pats Panthers, Jets and Cowboys have done. Plus Kirk Cousins somehow cant get it done on the road. I also like that the Skins have to lose their playoff spot while the Eagles can control their own destiny with two wins. So the emotional edge goes to Philly. After a terrible stretch, Chip Kelly can push his reputation with a well designed gameplan for SB.
Lean Philly -3
Jax/NO: Right now I cant find reasons to take the under. Both teams have nothing to lose and both offenses have been balling lately.
Lean: over
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Philly/Wash: Every good front seven gives the Redskins fits like Pats Panthers, Jets and Cowboys have done. Plus Kirk Cousins somehow cant get it done on the road. I also like that the Skins have to lose their playoff spot while the Eagles can control their own destiny with two wins. So the emotional edge goes to Philly. After a terrible stretch, Chip Kelly can push his reputation with a well designed gameplan for SB.
Lean Philly -3
Jax/NO: Right now I cant find reasons to take the under. Both teams have nothing to lose and both offenses have been balling lately.
MIN might "look" too easy, but the line moved from -4 to -6, and the ATS money is a lot closer than it should be, and the ML is ovwhelmingly on NYG.
I've been burned alot this season over thinking too much and not going with my gut. Gut is telling me this is a "must win" for Vikings to lock themselves into a playoff spot and potenially have a shot at winning the division next week.
Merry Christmas brothah, good luck and be well.
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MIN might "look" too easy, but the line moved from -4 to -6, and the ATS money is a lot closer than it should be, and the ML is ovwhelmingly on NYG.
I've been burned alot this season over thinking too much and not going with my gut. Gut is telling me this is a "must win" for Vikings to lock themselves into a playoff spot and potenially have a shot at winning the division next week.
MIN might "look" too easy, but the line moved from -4 to -6, and the ATS money is a lot closer than it should be, and the ML is ovwhelmingly on NYG.
May have to do with if Ari wins against GB and Car wins at Atl, Minny clinched play off spot and next wk game against is for div title and this week is meaningless. No way AP will play if this happen and may rest injured Barr/Smith/Joseph too.
I'd wait on Minny til other 2 plays out.
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Quote Originally Posted by TheForbes777:
MIN might "look" too easy, but the line moved from -4 to -6, and the ATS money is a lot closer than it should be, and the ML is ovwhelmingly on NYG.
May have to do with if Ari wins against GB and Car wins at Atl, Minny clinched play off spot and next wk game against is for div title and this week is meaningless. No way AP will play if this happen and may rest injured Barr/Smith/Joseph too.
Your right good thread, solid analysis/discussion, should have been reading this thread all season...
I agree with you on NO/Jax Over and I think Vikes.Gmen OVER might be a stronger play than Vikings. ODB a huge part of their offense, but with Tye stepping up I don't think you can ever count Eli and giants out and it looks tasty with the spread up to 7.
It was well-documented and reported that Vegas good hammered last week by the public (to the tune of about 4-5 millions) and I'm expecting some good dogs to cash and interesting outcomes on Sunday. I think I'll be playing Dallas, SF, Jax, Ten for example as some nice live dogs. BOL looking forward to seeing your final card
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Your right good thread, solid analysis/discussion, should have been reading this thread all season...
I agree with you on NO/Jax Over and I think Vikes.Gmen OVER might be a stronger play than Vikings. ODB a huge part of their offense, but with Tye stepping up I don't think you can ever count Eli and giants out and it looks tasty with the spread up to 7.
It was well-documented and reported that Vegas good hammered last week by the public (to the tune of about 4-5 millions) and I'm expecting some good dogs to cash and interesting outcomes on Sunday. I think I'll be playing Dallas, SF, Jax, Ten for example as some nice live dogs. BOL looking forward to seeing your final card
[Quote: Originally Posted by Michfan15] Your right good thread, solid analysis/discussion, should have been reading this thread all season...
I agree with you on NO/Jax Over and I think Vikes.Gmen OVER might be a stronger play than Vikings. ODB a huge part of their offense, but with Tye stepping up I don't think you can ever count Eli and giants out and it looks tasty with the spread up to 7.
It was well-documented and reported that Vegas good hammered last week by the public (to the tune of about 4-5 millions) and I'm expecting some good dogs to cash and interesting outcomes on Sunday. I think I'll be playing Dallas, SF, Jax, Ten for example as some nice live dogs. BOL looking forward to seeing your final card
[/Quote ]
Not all underdogs are "public favorites". I'd say the play is against the spread vs. Large public plays = Pats, Broncos, Packers.
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[Quote: Originally Posted by Michfan15] Your right good thread, solid analysis/discussion, should have been reading this thread all season...
I agree with you on NO/Jax Over and I think Vikes.Gmen OVER might be a stronger play than Vikings. ODB a huge part of their offense, but with Tye stepping up I don't think you can ever count Eli and giants out and it looks tasty with the spread up to 7.
It was well-documented and reported that Vegas good hammered last week by the public (to the tune of about 4-5 millions) and I'm expecting some good dogs to cash and interesting outcomes on Sunday. I think I'll be playing Dallas, SF, Jax, Ten for example as some nice live dogs. BOL looking forward to seeing your final card
[/Quote ]
Not all underdogs are "public favorites". I'd say the play is against the spread vs. Large public plays = Pats, Broncos, Packers.
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