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Week 12 situational plays ytd 21-10 (67.7%) + 13 units

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
3-3 last week for +0.7 units. Onto week 12 and my biggest card ever with 10 plays but I can make a cogent case for each so it is what it is !!! Just for this week as it is such a big card I won't be writing my reasoning behind each play otherwise it will be like reading war and peace !!

Detroit +3.5 -115 (1 unit)

New York jets +7 -115 (1/2 unit)

Kansas city +10.5 -110 (1 unit)

Tampa bay scr -110 (1 unit)

San Diego scr -110 (1 unit)

Seattle -2.5 -120 (1/2 unit)

Green bay +3 -115 (1 unit)

Will be adding Cleveland new orleans and Carolina when the lines are released. I'm happy to give reasoning if anybody wants to know why I've picked a particular team. Good luck to all this week.
 
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Posted: #2
why detroit? why kansas city?
 
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Posted: #3
This game means nothing to Houston IMO the division is won and they are coming off a bruiser of a game v Chicago and then a game v jax where they sleepwalked and ended up getting involved in a dogfight. Where is their motivation for this game ? Detroit is basically done so can come in free and loose and give their fans some festive cheer. I also think the line is significant here don't think many would be surprised if it was 4.5/5 so it's telling me Vegas wants texans business. I'm 3-0 betting kc this year they are a situational betters dream because they cover spreads in good spots and lay an egg in bad spots. This looks a letdown spot for the broncos. They basically clinched the division last week and now have to go on the road to play a shitty divisional rival. Kc was awful last week at home but I think we see their best effort here and probably a close loss
 
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Posted: #4

agree with both reason....was on the fence whn it came to det vs hou....like jets too.....BOL!!!

 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by topshow:

This game means nothing to Houston IMO the division is won and they are coming off a bruiser of a game v Chicago and then a game v jax where they sleepwalked and ended up getting involved in a dogfight. Where is their motivation for this game ? Detroit is basically done so can come in free and loose and give their fans some festive cheer. I also think the line is significant here don't think many would be surprised if it was 4.5/5 so it's telling me Vegas wants texans business. I'm 3-0 betting kc this year they are a situational betters dream because they cover spreads in good spots and lay an egg in bad spots. This looks a letdown spot for the broncos. They basically clinched the division last week and now have to go on the road to play a shitty divisional rival. Kc was awful last week at home but I think we see their best effort here and probably a close loss

Texans still have a lot to play for. Home field through out playoffs in afc. However, this texans are battling more key injuries going into Thursday.  Their secondary have given up all tds thru the air, no rushing tds this season. Not having Joseph this Sunday could cause them a win. He is crucial for that texans def. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #6
good reasoning!!,,,best of luck and happy holidays!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #7
I agree choi with them wanting the no 1 seeding but an away out of conference matchup is the least important fixture they can have. Next week they have a divisional game vs tennessee which is far more important and may be in their minds.
 
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Posted: #8
Why the Jets?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
This is their superbowl tboon. Playoffs looking unlikely big revenge factor against their arch enemy. Jets leave it all on the field imo. Pats have the division locked up and is missing one of the rare players outside the qb that is worth something pointswise. Miami on deck also for the pats and I see a close game here
 
Prospect
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Posted: #10
1-1 on thanksgiving for a small profit will have my final card shortly
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Final card ;

Detroit +3.5 -115 (1 unit)

New York jets +7 -115 (1/2 unit)

Cleveland +1 -110 (1 unit)

Kansas city +10.5 -110 (1 unit)

Tampa bay scr -110 (1 unit)

San Diego scr -110 (1 unit)

New Orleans +1 -110 (1 unit)

Seattle -2.5 -120 (1/2 unit)

Green bay +3 -115 (1 unit)

Carolina -2.5 -120 (1 unit)

Good luck to all this week
 
Prospect
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Posted: #12
3-6 -2.6 units with carolina pending. My first bad week of the season. The San Diego loss was sickening as I'm sure it was for most but I'm more annoyed by not getting the best line on Tampa bay turning a push into a loss. Luckily 2 of the losses were 1/2 unit bets so the total units lost wasn't so bad
 
 
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Posted: #13
Thanks to Carolina finished 4-6 -1.6 units and a damage limitation job !!!

Ytd 25-16 (61%) + 11.4 units
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