after going 0-2 I have gone 8-1 since... so the nature inclination would be to increase my bet because I am hot and playing with house money...
so I am actually going to do the opposite... this is a a minimum 0.5 unit bet week for me... the numbers seem crappy for the most part and there are less games to chose from... it might even be a week to lay off...
but its worth breaking it down to see if there are some good opportunities... so here we go...
CLE +14... a horrible number, but I im not confident in the PIT QB situation...
MIA +16... I think SEA's success especially at home is beginning to overrate them and fading them as a road fade makes sense to me...
GB +16... I actually thought that NYG was going to be a home dog but instead we are given a pickem plus the home field 3... I like GB's ability to stay in a game if they get behind and covering all the way past 2 TDs seems like decent value...
any more ideas or suggestions?
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
after going 0-2 I have gone 8-1 since... so the nature inclination would be to increase my bet because I am hot and playing with house money...
so I am actually going to do the opposite... this is a a minimum 0.5 unit bet week for me... the numbers seem crappy for the most part and there are less games to chose from... it might even be a week to lay off...
but its worth breaking it down to see if there are some good opportunities... so here we go...
CLE +14... a horrible number, but I im not confident in the PIT QB situation...
MIA +16... I think SEA's success especially at home is beginning to overrate them and fading them as a road fade makes sense to me...
GB +16... I actually thought that NYG was going to be a home dog but instead we are given a pickem plus the home field 3... I like GB's ability to stay in a game if they get behind and covering all the way past 2 TDs seems like decent value...
I've got both the Saints game and the Colts game figured to play pretty close, dl. Either adding to the home team or the roadie, would probably cover , IMO. Probably Buffalo plus the 16 or so would be the way I'd go. Colts don't seem to be the type of team to blow anyone out and besides 2 games I think, Buff. played pretty close in the others., BOL whatever you decide.
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I've got both the Saints game and the Colts game figured to play pretty close, dl. Either adding to the home team or the roadie, would probably cover , IMO. Probably Buffalo plus the 16 or so would be the way I'd go. Colts don't seem to be the type of team to blow anyone out and besides 2 games I think, Buff. played pretty close in the others., BOL whatever you decide.
I thought about DEN... if I had to tease tho I would think that KC would be the play at that many points... I wonder if mcgahee being out will effect them...
I like CLE because I think that batch at QB is not a winning formula... i could live with leftwich, but I think that batch is a different story and even scarier is what if batch were to get hurt as he is not the most mobile or durable player at this point in his career...
not sure about the o/u
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I thought about DEN... if I had to tease tho I would think that KC would be the play at that many points... I wonder if mcgahee being out will effect them...
I like CLE because I think that batch at QB is not a winning formula... i could live with leftwich, but I think that batch is a different story and even scarier is what if batch were to get hurt as he is not the most mobile or durable player at this point in his career...
Im actually more scared of batch being qb than I was of leftwich because batch is more of a pure passer now that he is a little older and everyone knew that leftwich wasnt do that good passing now with his god awful throwing motion.Goodluck to you tho.And in the past batch has had some success as the backup in pitt
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Im actually more scared of batch being qb than I was of leftwich because batch is more of a pure passer now that he is a little older and everyone knew that leftwich wasnt do that good passing now with his god awful throwing motion.Goodluck to you tho.And in the past batch has had some success as the backup in pitt
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