Posted:
#26
Seattle at Dallas
By Josh Jacobs
The Turkey is the centerpiece of the Thanksgiving Holiday as the Cowboys are the sports icon in the annual Thanksgiving Classic. So what better way to spend the holiday then to eat like a horse, drink like a fish and then to relax in the recliner with three NFL games ranging from 12:30 to 8:15 p.m. EST?
Getting right down to business has Dallas at 25-14-1 during Thanksgiving play dating back to 1966. The longest winning streak has seen America’s Team go for six wins in a row (from 1980 to 1985) while one tie was sprinkled in against the 49ers in 1969.
Alright so there’s the history lesson but what about some angles that the bettor can use to harness the most out of this matchup?
Seattle is taking the field this time around. Things have been less then happy in the Seahawks locker room. The last three games have been lost by an average margin of 3.7 PPG. But the real issue is Seattle’s problems at getting outgained in almost every conceivable category. Since Week 5 the Seahawks have been outyarded by an incredible 186.8 YPG.
Scoring 15.3 PPG in the last six is good reason for Seattle’s 5-1 record on the ‘under’. There’s a problem with a low scoring contest to emerge on Thursday. The Cowboys have gone 7-4 on the ‘over’ this season and are a near perfect 4-1 on the ‘over’ in five home games. In the last six of eight games Dallas scored 23.7 PPG while giving up 28.2 PPG to produce a sizzling 6-2 record on the ‘over’.
Brobury Sports has the Cowboys listed as 13-point home favorites with a total set at 46½. Seventy-one percent of the betting public is entrusting their money on Dallas in this contest while an unsupportive 53 percent of the public has decided to go for the +600 money line bet (bet $100 to make $600).
The X Factor for being on the right side of this total will rest in the health status of Seattle’s roster. Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is only two games removed from recovering with nerve problems in his back and has turned in problematic performances since his return. The Seattle slinger has found his receivers for a low 54.3 passing percentage with a combined 273 yards, three scores and a damaging five interceptions.
Dallas has been a monster by cashing in five straight times in head-to-head games with the Seahawks. In what some may find surprising, books decided to make the Cowboys a ‘dog in each of those five contests. And let’s not forget the impeccable 4-1 record on the ‘under’.
It’s hard not to talk about the team from the ‘Big D’ without mentioning Tony Romo. Romo returned from a broken pinkie finger in Week 11, throwing just 198 yards with one score and two picks in a 14-10 win over the Redskins. But the field general found his way back onto the path last week after going deep for 341 yards with three trips into the end zone. On the season Romo is in possession of an 18/7 touchdown-interception ration.
One thing of note is that Romo’s only two defeats this season have resulted when the star QB has tossed 38 or more attempts. The Dallas signal caller is averaging 33.3 passing attempts this season.
There’s a large discrepancy in seasonal stats between the teams but Seattle feels it’s getting closer to taking its third win of the season. Are the double-digit points too rich for your blood or can a Cowboys team looking to make their push into a wild card spot in the NFC show what home field advantage is all about in this game?
Just remember that although the Seahawks have given gamblers something to cheer about with a 3-1 ATS record when playing on natural grass a 1-5-1 ATS billing on turf could stand in the way of placing that bet.
If Seattle continues to allow teams to build on 401.7 passing YPG it has in the last three there’s no doubt that Romo and the Cowboys will have us sleeping before the Turkey has us laid out on the couch.
Kickoff is scheduled to begin at 4:15 p.m. EST with FOX providing coverage for this contest.
By Josh Jacobs
The Turkey is the centerpiece of the Thanksgiving Holiday as the Cowboys are the sports icon in the annual Thanksgiving Classic. So what better way to spend the holiday then to eat like a horse, drink like a fish and then to relax in the recliner with three NFL games ranging from 12:30 to 8:15 p.m. EST?
Getting right down to business has Dallas at 25-14-1 during Thanksgiving play dating back to 1966. The longest winning streak has seen America’s Team go for six wins in a row (from 1980 to 1985) while one tie was sprinkled in against the 49ers in 1969.
Alright so there’s the history lesson but what about some angles that the bettor can use to harness the most out of this matchup?
Seattle is taking the field this time around. Things have been less then happy in the Seahawks locker room. The last three games have been lost by an average margin of 3.7 PPG. But the real issue is Seattle’s problems at getting outgained in almost every conceivable category. Since Week 5 the Seahawks have been outyarded by an incredible 186.8 YPG.
Scoring 15.3 PPG in the last six is good reason for Seattle’s 5-1 record on the ‘under’. There’s a problem with a low scoring contest to emerge on Thursday. The Cowboys have gone 7-4 on the ‘over’ this season and are a near perfect 4-1 on the ‘over’ in five home games. In the last six of eight games Dallas scored 23.7 PPG while giving up 28.2 PPG to produce a sizzling 6-2 record on the ‘over’.
Brobury Sports has the Cowboys listed as 13-point home favorites with a total set at 46½. Seventy-one percent of the betting public is entrusting their money on Dallas in this contest while an unsupportive 53 percent of the public has decided to go for the +600 money line bet (bet $100 to make $600).
The X Factor for being on the right side of this total will rest in the health status of Seattle’s roster. Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is only two games removed from recovering with nerve problems in his back and has turned in problematic performances since his return. The Seattle slinger has found his receivers for a low 54.3 passing percentage with a combined 273 yards, three scores and a damaging five interceptions.
Dallas has been a monster by cashing in five straight times in head-to-head games with the Seahawks. In what some may find surprising, books decided to make the Cowboys a ‘dog in each of those five contests. And let’s not forget the impeccable 4-1 record on the ‘under’.
It’s hard not to talk about the team from the ‘Big D’ without mentioning Tony Romo. Romo returned from a broken pinkie finger in Week 11, throwing just 198 yards with one score and two picks in a 14-10 win over the Redskins. But the field general found his way back onto the path last week after going deep for 341 yards with three trips into the end zone. On the season Romo is in possession of an 18/7 touchdown-interception ration.
One thing of note is that Romo’s only two defeats this season have resulted when the star QB has tossed 38 or more attempts. The Dallas signal caller is averaging 33.3 passing attempts this season.
There’s a large discrepancy in seasonal stats between the teams but Seattle feels it’s getting closer to taking its third win of the season. Are the double-digit points too rich for your blood or can a Cowboys team looking to make their push into a wild card spot in the NFC show what home field advantage is all about in this game?
Just remember that although the Seahawks have given gamblers something to cheer about with a 3-1 ATS record when playing on natural grass a 1-5-1 ATS billing on turf could stand in the way of placing that bet.
If Seattle continues to allow teams to build on 401.7 passing YPG it has in the last three there’s no doubt that Romo and the Cowboys will have us sleeping before the Turkey has us laid out on the couch.
Kickoff is scheduled to begin at 4:15 p.m. EST with FOX providing coverage for this contest.
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