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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Posted: #2501

an_police Key stat in handicapping...

NFL Teams with best point differential:

 

+162  Dallas   (8 - 3)

+140    49ers    (8 - 3)

+127    Ravens  (8 - 3)

+104    Buffalo  (6 - 5)

 +88     Miami   (8 - 3)

 
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Posted: #2502

*Corrected version (lost 2 more units)

 

HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
     BoL to all those who put in the work!

 

 L -3.80u  Lions-1 -380  *BB
W+4.0u   LIVE BET PACKERS -200 *BB 4u
W+1.0u   LIVE BET PACKERS -280 *BB
W+1.0u   K'Boys -4 -420
W+1.0u   Niners -320      *BB
W+1.0u   Niners -1 -310    *BB
W+3.0u   LIVE BET DOLPHINS -3.5 -334 *BB 3u

So far this week: 6 - 1  +7.2 units  an_2drinks (5 - 1 *Best Bets)

Last week:  17 - 4   +45.8 units  an_bounce  (10 - 1 *Best Bets!)

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAA football last week:  15 - 6   +41.0 units        (9 - 3 *Best Bets)

NCAA football this week:  13 - 1  +58.25 units     (12 - 0 *Best Bets)

===============================================

 

football_c1 2-weeks combined:  51 - 12   +152.25 u    (36 - 5 *Best Bets!)

...NOTE: thru Friday Nov 24

 
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Posted: #2503

FLORHAM PARK, N.J. --

Despite a shaky performance Friday, career backup Tim Boyle will remain the Jets starter.

Boyle, in his Jets' starting debut, was sacked seven times, attempted only four passes over 10 air yards and was intercepted twice -- including a Hail Mary that was returned 99 yards for a touchdown by safety Jevon Holland in the Miami Dolphins' 34-13 rout.

Saleh's other options are Trevor Siemian, the No. 2 quarterback Friday,

and just-benched Zach Wilson.

Asked about Siemian after the game, Saleh said, "I'm not there yet."

 
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Posted: #2504

@fubah2

Nice record, Fubah2. Keep 'em coming, good luck and happy Thanksgiving!  

 
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Posted: #2505

Quote Originally Posted by Fuse:

GL today peace_5peaceclovercloverclover

Thanks, FUSE!  Hope you do well too! clover thumbs_up

 

In fact I'm going to check YOUR thread to see what you have for a good prop worth tailing today!

an_cheers

 
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Posted: #2506

@fubah2

 No worries, at least ur honest about it

 

GL today f2an_cheers

 
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Posted: #2507

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Which teams "might" try to position themselves for top draft pick by not playing to win all their remaining games? If they are going to "tank" I would hope they at least don't do it in front of home town faithful. So I am looking at those teams who are in contention for that prized #1 pick (or #2 is great also) but who are playing ON THE ROAD, where they can easily disguise their loss by claiming "it was a tough road game"
  assuming that is the case then the away teams today who actually hope to  (want to ??) lose their games are carolina, new england and then chicago on mnf

giants prolly won't give up bcuz they r playing infront their fans

 

#1 draft is the ultimate booby prize thumbs_up

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
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Posted: #2508

Titans -1.5 -163

Bucs +7.5 -265

AZ +3.5 -140

Broncos -1.5 -105

 
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Posted: #2509

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105
added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u

 
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Posted: #2510

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

@fubah2 Nice record, Fubah2. Keep 'em coming, good luck and happy Thanksgiving!

THANKS, Europa! Good to see you again! Hope you and your bets are doing well!

I am going to need that good luck wish now that Baker Mayfield has been hurt and I went heavy on him on the opening drive.....sigh.....

 
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Posted: #2511

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u

BUCS suck worse than I thought...

 
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Posted: #2512

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...
Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY.....

If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price....

 
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Posted: #2513

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price....

Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet.... angry

 
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Posted: #2514

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price.... Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet....
For example, I can't buy off the Bengals now (dog) because the fav (Steelers) lead and the ML on them is now -700....an_shake too much and far too risky as a scoop&score or pick 6 or any turnover near the RZ can blow up the buyback real bad......

 
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Posted: #2515

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price.... Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet....For example, I can't buy off the Bengals now (dog) because the fav (Steelers) lead and the ML on them is now -700.... too much and far too risky as a scoop&score or pick 6 or any turnover near the RZ can blow up the buyback real bad......

adding BRONCOS -121 *BB 5u

 
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Posted: #2516

BIG FAT LOSER early games ...paint_help

 

SUNDAY, Nov 26: most from pinnacle
W+1.0u    Titans -173             *BB
W+1.0u    Titans -2.5 -140
W+1.0u    Titans -1.5 -163
L -1.55u   Bengals +3.5 -155
pushed     Texans +3 -145       *BB
W+1.0u    Bucs +7.5 -265
L -8.25u   Bucs +4.5 -275      *BB 3u

 

 
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Posted: #2517

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price.... Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet....For example, I can't buy off the Bengals now (dog) because the fav (Steelers) lead and the ML on them is now -700.... too much and far too risky as a scoop&score or pick 6 or any turnover near the RZ can blow up the buyback real bad...... adding BRONCOS -121 *BB 5u
Adding LIVE BET, no score 1stQ, Eagles ball about 4 mins left....EAGLES -188 *BB 3u

 

 
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Posted: #2518

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price.... Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet....For example, I can't buy off the Bengals now (dog) because the fav (Steelers) lead and the ML on them is now -700.... too much and far too risky as a scoop&score or pick 6 or any turnover near the RZ can blow up the buyback real bad...... adding BRONCOS -121 *BB 5uAdding LIVE BET, no score 1stQ, Eagles ball about 4 mins left....EAGLES -188 *BB 3u
adding another LIVE BET...LV lead unexpectedly 7 - 0....driving on KC again!...Raaayduhs! +9.5 -450 *BB

 
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Posted: #2519

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price.... Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet....For example, I can't buy off the Bengals now (dog) because the fav (Steelers) lead and the ML on them is now -700.... too much and far too risky as a scoop&score or pick 6 or any turnover near the RZ can blow up the buyback real bad...... adding BRONCOS -121 *BB 5uAdding LIVE BET, no score 1stQ, Eagles ball about 4 mins left....EAGLES -188 *BB 3uadding another LIVE BET...LV lead unexpectedly 7 - 0....driving on KC again!...Raaayduhs! +9.5 -450 *BB
And the LV drive stalls....then Raiders miss a chipshot FGA..... LUCKY Chiefs!!

 

 
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Posted: #2520

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price.... Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet....For example, I can't buy off the Bengals now (dog) because the fav (Steelers) lead and the ML on them is now -700.... too much and far too risky as a scoop&score or pick 6 or any turnover near the RZ can blow up the buyback real bad...... adding BRONCOS -121 *BB 5uAdding LIVE BET, no score 1stQ, Eagles ball about 4 mins left....EAGLES -188 *BB 3uadding another LIVE BET...LV lead unexpectedly 7 - 0....driving on KC again!...Raaayduhs! +9.5 -450 *BB

an_light BEFORE ANYBODY GETS ALL EXCITED ABOUT the Raaaaayyyduuhs being up 2 TDs......chill (including me) football_c1  The Chiefs are one of the top teams in the NFL and though they are not GREAT on the road, they are always competitive, and they *WILL* mount a comeback....don't know they cover the original line though.....but I am taking them now after that second TD....LIVE BET on CHIEFS early 2Q, down 0 - 14:

CHIEFS +10.5 -270 *BB 5u

 ....Now I have a cool shot at a middle too! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #2521

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price.... Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet....For example, I can't buy off the Bengals now (dog) because the fav (Steelers) lead and the ML on them is now -700.... too much and far too risky as a scoop&score or pick 6 or any turnover near the RZ can blow up the buyback real bad...... adding BRONCOS -121 *BB 5uAdding LIVE BET, no score 1stQ, Eagles ball about 4 mins left....EAGLES -188 *BB 3uadding another LIVE BET...LV lead unexpectedly 7 - 0....driving on KC again!...Raaayduhs! +9.5 -450 *BB BEFORE ANYBODY GETS ALL EXCITED ABOUT the Raaaaayyyduuhs being up 2 TDs......chill (including me)   The Chiefs are one of the top teams in the NFL and though they are not GREAT on the road, they are always competitive, and they *WILL* mount a comeback....don't know they cover the original line though.....but I am taking them now after that second TD....LIVE BET on CHIEFS early 2Q, down 0 - 14: CHIEFS +10.5 -270 *BB 5u  ....Now I have a cool shot at a middle too!
Adding LIVE BET-  as KC is driving to the RZ, still down 0 - 14 mid-2Q, on the road....CHIEFS +8.5 -300 *BB 5u

 
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Posted: #2522

@fubah2

 juicy but hard to see chiefs losing by more than 7an_cheers

 
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Posted: #2523

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Titans -1.5 -163 Bucs +7.5 -265 AZ +3.5 -140 Broncos -1.5 -105added LIVE bet, opening drive, no score,.....BUCS +4.5 -275 *BB 3u BUCS suck worse than I thought...Brainfart.....forgot my own personal philosophy about riding hot streaks.... DON'T!!! .....bad idea......streaks end abruptly.....And so this is likely to be the case TODAY..... If I can I'm going to buy back some bets at a reasonable price.... Yep...don't like it when I originally bet a dog...any dog....because once they get down significantly, the price to buy it back by taking the FAV who is also leading by a larger score is prohibitive.......Just another reason WHY I prefer NOT to bet dogs...... Buybacks are a profitable part of my capping arsenal and it's pretty much GONZO once a fav gets way ahead of my dog bet....For example, I can't buy off the Bengals now (dog) because the fav (Steelers) lead and the ML on them is now -700.... too much and far too risky as a scoop&score or pick 6 or any turnover near the RZ can blow up the buyback real bad...... adding BRONCOS -121 *BB 5uAdding LIVE BET, no score 1stQ, Eagles ball about 4 mins left....EAGLES -188 *BB 3uadding another LIVE BET...LV lead unexpectedly 7 - 0....driving on KC again!...Raaayduhs! +9.5 -450 *BB BEFORE ANYBODY GETS ALL EXCITED ABOUT the Raaaaayyyduuhs being up 2 TDs......chill (including me)   The Chiefs are one of the top teams in the NFL and though they are not GREAT on the road, they are always competitive, and they *WILL* mount a comeback....don't know they cover the original line though.....but I am taking them now after that second TD....LIVE BET on CHIEFS early 2Q, down 0 - 14: CHIEFS +10.5 -270 *BB 5u  ....Now I have a cool shot at a middle too!Adding LIVE BET-  as KC is driving to the RZ, still down 0 - 14 mid-2Q, on the road....CHIEFS +8.5 -300 *BB 5u

LIVE BET, late 2Q.....CHIEFS driving deep, but still down 7 -  14;

CHIEFS -1.5 -250 *BB

 
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Posted: #2524

Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:

@fubah2  juicy but hard to see chiefs losing by more than 7

Exactly...... they will keep it very close, on either side of the outcome!

 

 

 
 
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Posted: #2525

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: @fubah2  juicy but hard to see chiefs losing by more than 7 Exactly...... they will keep it very close, on either side of the outcome!

TOUCHDOWN CHIEFS!! to tie it at 14  an_2drinks

If the Raiders can score at least ONCE more I should have my middle!!

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