Posted:
#101
Why would anyone in their right mind touch this game......these 2 teams are so unpredictable I wouldn't touch it with a 10' pole
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The BIGGEST (and maybe the BEST, yes I said it) WRITE-UP on the board for this Sunday: DOLPHINS@JETS
Posted:
#102
I trul believe this game will be a tight one , probably coming down to a field goal either way. But , judging on recent play by both teams , I have to say I believe Miami does pull.this one out and continue their playoff push. ( which, by the way , I think they will blow in the last couple weeks ) Good luck . everyone.
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Posted:
#104
Quote Originally Posted by shivaseven:
scalabrine:
It's often been said that the public bets teams and wiseguys bet numbers. What would the number have to be for you walk away from betting the Dolphins?
-3.5 dolphins. This one will be close but the fins will pull it out. I wouldn't may 3.5 on the road though.
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Posted:
#105
Quote Originally Posted by MikeyBotz:
This analogy is absolutely fantastic. 
I'm new to the site so I'm not going to bash but "C'MON MAN", Jets have one of the best defensive lines in the league and the Dolphins left side of their offensive line is in shambles. Jets squeak out a win here because of the defense and the fact that Mike Wallace can't catch a ball.
Gotta love guys like this.
It's almost like Rex Ryan hired them for bluster and bravado PR.
Jets have one of the best D lines in the league but these same guys fail to mention how bad their cover corners are in Cromartie and Dee Milner. Guess who will be on Wallace this week.: Dee Milner. They are among if not the WORST in the league.
And Wallace will catch his balls this week...more than a couple...
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Posted:
#106
Quote Originally Posted by HoldingXYZ:
Yeap and to sum things up... THere are teams at certain points of the season that beats good teams and losses to bad ones... In retrospect they win when they are away and lose when they come home... If you sit there and do a count like i do... You will find a winning pattern... Offcoarse it takes alot of work and every year is different.. The torch gets handed of to another city each year... Listen to Scalabrine,, he knows his stuff... 
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Posted:
#108
In honor of Colin Cowherd and his AWFUL "Blazing 5" picks....I made a list of 5 picks that are my initial top 5 leans. I MIGHT play them all in Vegas or just a few of them. I don't like playing TOO many games because that can possibly lead to a bankroll disaster if not careful.
(BUT with all due respect to Cowherd, last year he did pretty damn solid with his "Blazing 5") 
My top 5 plays on the card would be as follows:
Chicago, Miami, Houston, San Diego, and NYG.
Again these are subject to change. But after doing a little research (and I mean a little) these are the 5 that I would probably play. I've been slumping BAD in NFL betting the last few weeks (maybe Vegas is what I need to come out of that slump?) 
Lol but in all honesty, I would take a 3-2 card and run like hell 
My biggest fear is going out there and getting overly excited and start doing stuff I normally wouldn't haha.
I enjoy having more or less a 1 on 1 chat/discussing games in a small group so I will probably use this thread as a place to do that. I HATE popping into various threads, making a post, and then never visiting that thread again. Haha. Let's kill the books this weekened buddy 
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Posted:
#109
All the things the OP posted is why I would take the Jets here.
They know they've been playing poorly, they will now put extra effort, focus and energy into this weeks practice to right the ship.
That's called "REGRESSION TO THE MEAN".
The Jets are playing on a unsustainable poor level of play, and the further a team plays below their averages they tend to play that much further above their averages when they come-out of that poor play.
Don't be surprise if that describes the Jets this weekend.............................
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Posted:
#110
for anyone to put all this work all the money all this thought on a coin flip game is crazy .These 2 teams going nowhere when its all said and done is not the game to make such a stand on .That being said The Jets match up better with the pourus dolphins than most .We all know Genos struggles ,But we also seen him play some decent ball this year . Jets secondary is there weakness ,but there not playing against any type of recievers that they have seen in the past few weeks .Miami sinner turmoil has stopped them in there tracks . The jets don't outclass to many teams but Miami is one of them .But it s division and these 2 teams do have some crazy games between the 2 over the years .Jets are the choice if u breakdown the game but to put a lot of cash behind them is just a amature bettors play .Take the Jets small .or add them to a parlay with the Giants and the Chiefs
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Posted:
#111
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
All the things the OP posted is why I would take the Jets here.
They know they've been playing poorly, they will now put extra effort, focus and energy into this weeks practice to right the ship.
That's called "REGRESSION TO THE MEAN".
The Jets are playing on a unsustainable poor level of play, and the further a team plays below their averages they tend to play that much further above their averages when they come-out of that poor play.
Don't be surprise if that describes the Jets this weekend.............................
theclaw,
Just out of curiosity, why can you say that the above theory will come to fruition this week? I mean, couldn't you say the same thing every week about Jacksonville and Tampa Bay? Or Philly when they were slumping? Or Washington?
I mean I guess my point is. Isn't it impossible to tell when a team is going to "come out of their slump"? If you used the "regression to the mean" theory for every team that is slumping, it seems like it is a total crapshoot?
I could be missing something though. BOL 
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Posted:
#114
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
All the things the OP posted is why I would take the Jets here.
They know they've been playing poorly, they will now put extra effort, focus and energy into this weeks practice to right the ship.
That's called "REGRESSION TO THE MEAN".
The Jets are playing on a unsustainable poor level of play, and the further a team plays below their averages they tend to play that much further above their averages when they come-out of that poor play.
Don't be surprise if that describes the Jets this weekend.............................
Yes the jets have been playing poorly and Mia isnt doing so hot either... They both have the same record... Nows the time to watch the movement... The line is set very correctly...
Its Jets vengeful backers at home VS MIA with the same record...
The most clear cut question is where the action is... The chips will be in before game time,, and some fries during halftime...
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Posted:
#118
Quote Originally Posted by ad1260:
In honor of Colin Cowherd and his AWFUL "Blazing 5" picks....I made a list of 5 picks that are my initial top 5 leans. I MIGHT play them all in Vegas or just a few of them. I don't like playing TOO many games because that can possibly lead to a bankroll disaster if not careful.
(BUT with all due respect to Cowherd, last year he did pretty damn solid with his "Blazing 5")
My top 5 plays on the card would be as follows:
Chicago, Miami, Houston, San Diego, and NYG.
Again these are subject to change. But after doing a little research (and I mean a little) these are the 5 that I would probably play. I've been slumping BAD in NFL betting the last few weeks (maybe Vegas is what I need to come out of that slump?) Lol but in all honesty, I would take a 3-2 card and run like hell
My biggest fear is going out there and getting overly excited and start doing stuff I normally wouldn't haha.
I enjoy having more or less a 1 on 1 chat/discussing games in a small group so I will probably use this thread as a place to do that. I HATE popping into various threads, making a post, and then never visiting that thread again. Haha. Let's kill the books this weekened buddy
A 3-2 card would be nice! My only disagreements are SD which I am laying off of and the Skins or nothing. But you could be right on these. Haven't studied them at length.
I will watch your picks and hope you hit. But concentrate on poker. That is where you'll get the most satisfaction winning $.
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Posted:
#119
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
All the things the OP posted is why I would take the Jets here.
They know they've been playing poorly, they will now put extra effort, focus and energy into this weeks practice to right the ship.
That's called "REGRESSION TO THE MEAN".
The Jets are playing on a unsustainable poor level of play, and the further a team plays below their averages they tend to play that much further above their averages when they come-out of that poor play.
Don't be surprise if that describes the Jets this weekend.............................
The problem with this theory is that the Jets mean is much lower than where you think it is....
It's not the league's mean we are dealing with when it comes to the jets. They have their own among the below average team's in the league and that bar is not high.
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Posted:
#120
Quote Originally Posted by MTFN50:
for anyone to put all this work all the money all this thought on a coin flip game is crazy .These 2 teams going nowhere when its all said and done is not the game to make such a stand on .That being said The Jets match up better with the pourus dolphins than most .We all know Genos struggles ,But we also seen him play some decent ball this year . Jets secondary is there weakness ,but there not playing against any type of recievers that they have seen in the past few weeks .Miami sinner turmoil has stopped them in there tracks . The jets don't outclass to many teams but Miami is one of them .But it s division and these 2 teams do have some crazy games between the 2 over the years .Jets are the choice if u breakdown the game but to put a lot of cash behind them is just a amature bettors play .Take the Jets small .or add them to a parlay with the Giants and the Chiefs
for anyone to put all this work all the money all this thought on a coin flip game is crazy .These 2 teams going nowhere when its all said and done is not the game to make such a stand on .That being said The Jets match up better with the pourus dolphins than most .We all know Genos struggles ,But we also seen him play some decent ball this year . Jets secondary is there weakness ,but there not playing against any type of recievers that they have seen in the past few weeks .Miami sinner turmoil has stopped them in there tracks . The jets don't outclass to many teams but Miami is one of them .But it s division and these 2 teams do have some crazy games between the 2 over the years .Jets are the choice if u breakdown the game but to put a lot of cash behind them is just a amature bettors play .Take the Jets small .or add them to a parlay with the Giants and the Chiefs
It's a coin flip to you and a two headed coin to me, someone who's watched the Jets every game this season. And I am writing this even after watching the NO and NE wins and that should tell you all you need to know.
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Posted:
#121
Quote Originally Posted by Mason525:
There is no reason to wager on this game, it's a 3-4 point game and either team could win this division matchup....much smarter plays out there this week. Let the rookies waste their time trying to figure out this one..
So you're telling someone who has watched the jets play his entire life to look for 'smarter plays' like say Houston/NE when I've seen Houston play one time this year? How is that a smarter play for me? Maybe it is for you but not for me. And that goes for any two teams outside of these two that I haven't watched all year.
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Posted:
#124
Quote Originally Posted by Slovak:
The only flaw with this logic is the fact that Ivory only had limited carries in those games. It wasn't like he rushed 20 times for 11 yards against Cincy. He's averaging 4.3 YPC on the year which isn't too shabby.
Yes he had only 5 yards against the Bills back in September(when the Jets were still trying to figure out their running back situation), but you didn't mention the 98 yards and a score that he had against them just 2 weeks ago.
The only flaw with this logic is the fact that Ivory only had limited carries in those games. It wasn't like he rushed 20 times for 11 yards against Cincy. He's averaging 4.3 YPC on the year which isn't too shabby.
Yes he had only 5 yards against the Bills back in September(when the Jets were still trying to figure out their running back situation), but you didn't mention the 98 yards and a score that he had against them just 2 weeks ago.
He rushed for 98 yards vs the bills and they got crushed when the whistle sounded showing the problems run quite deep offensively with the Jets.
He was limited in practice yesterday and given his hobbled state, it is more probable you will see lesser than greater output Sunday.
Bilal Powell backs him up for a reason. He's a backup.
Poor running game means the pass is forcde and that is not what you want to do right now with Geno being your QB.
All this points to a Dolphins win. It will be slim in my opinion but the Dolphins will win which is why I posted.
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Posted:
#125
Quote Originally Posted by HoldingXYZ:
Yeap and on the Back end Pitt smashes the jets right after that win... But that WLWLWLWL ,, just broke off.. If anything,, you might want to compare this game with the BALTIMORE PITT GAME... Spreads about right,, First half home team,, second half away team... Away team full game?
I stay away from halftime plays.Yeap and on the Back end Pitt smashes the jets right after that win... But that WLWLWLWL ,, just broke off.. If anything,, you might want to compare this game with the BALTIMORE PITT GAME... Spreads about right,, First half home team,, second half away team... Away team full game?
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