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Posts: 297

ReadBtWtheLines

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 127

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 5:01 PM ET #276

I hear ya...same..lol..got a feeling it goes over by way of Chicago D putting a couple td's in.

Hit a nice prop on any d/st td scored in the game = +160. Best of luck tonight my friend.

Gambler1d

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 51

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 5:14 PM ET #277

Si1ly as I look around the forum almost everyone is on Detroit. I hope this is a good omen!

MarchMadness05

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 1496

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 5:16 PM ET #278

BOL buddy.

roondog248

Veteran

Joined: Jul, 2012

Posts: 1219

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 5:19 PM ET #279

Si1ly, I'm noticing that most of your losses are on O/U's.

I used your O/U plays as direction on which way to go on a 2 team O/U teaser. Although it hit (barley)... I think I'm personally going to stay away from them for a while...i believe they are harder to predict than the spread.

GB game Over 51 Pits game Under 39.5

won by 1 point won by 1.5

Jabz90

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2012

Posts: 284

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 5:26 PM ET #280

Hey Si1ly

Any thoughts on Game 7 St.louis vs Giants MLB ? :)

si1ly

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 12061

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 8:47 PM ET #281

Bear down baby

mariner24

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 2388

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 8:49 PM ET #282

Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:

Bear down baby

si1ly

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 12061

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 9:28 PM ET #283

Quote Originally Posted by roondog248:

Si1ly, I'm noticing that most of your losses are on O/U's.

GB game Over 51 Pits game Under 39.5

won by 1 point won by 1.5

I think I've just been unlucky. Lost an under on a Jets Dolphins game that went into overtime in week 3. Moosed the under in St. Louis with 27 fourth quarter points including 17 in the final few minutes. Last night's Bengals game was 4 points short with 14 minutes to go in the game and the game finished scoreless. I believe I had the game well handicapped, just got the wrong result. These things are bound to happen. I will continue to cap the games like I've been capping them and the results will be there by the end of the season. Heck, I'm making up for it by not losing a spread or moneyline wager yet this season. Got the Bears -5.5 tonight to keep the perfect winning streak alive.

bobbie18

Prospect

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 107

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 10:12 PM ET #284

what do you think si1ly with cutler out?

si1ly

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 12061

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 10:30 PM ET #285

Just finished updating my databases.. obviously still have to wait for the Bears and Lions game to finish to pull this data.. but I'm running the games that I can through the models to get some early reads on the lines.

Here's what I got for preliminary lines.

MIN -6

NYJ -1.5

CLE +1.5

GB -14.5

TEN -2.5

STL +4

PHI +4

PIT -1.5

KC +2.5

DAL +4.5

DEN -9.5

ARI +3.5

si1ly

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 12061

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 10:37 PM ET #286

Very early leans on sides:

ATL +1

WAS +5

NYG -1

DEN -6

ARI +6.5

GB -??

si1ly

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 12061

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 11:54 PM ET #287

6.5 Point Teaser - Tampa Bay +8.5 & Houston PK (-110)

1:00 EST - Green Bay Packers @ St. Louis Rams Under 45.5 (-110)

8:30 EST - Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals Over 45 (-105)

8:40 EST - Chicago Bears -5.5 (-110)

'12-13 NFL: 21-8 (72.4%) +17.70u

bobbie18

Prospect

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 107

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 11:58 PM ET #288

i got back doored by the hook, had 2 open parlays with the bears.

si1ly

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 12061

Posted: Oct. 22, 2012 - 11:58 PM ET #289

Glad I got in on the Bears early in the week. Turned out that the hook made a difference afterall. I hope that anybody who was waiting to see 6 again saw it at some point and saved a push.

Ground out a 3-2 week with an ATS victory on MNF for the second week in a row.

si1ly

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 12061

Posted: Oct. 23, 2012 - 12:01 AM ET #290

Quote Originally Posted by bobbie18:

i got back doored by the hook, had 2 open parlays with the bears.

Bears offense left a few on the board, but let's be honest, the Lions had so many red zone turnovers it was only a matter of time before the clawed their way into the endzone. I'm surprised at how ineffective the Bears offense turned out to be, but I guess after Suh drills your face 6 inches into the turf, it'll put you in check for awhile. Bears played not to lose in the second half. Tough loss man, Bears were the much better team tonight.. no question.

davopnz

Banned

Joined: Sep, 2010

Posts: 6686

Posted: Oct. 23, 2012 - 12:02 AM ET #291

man i blew account my acc this week, i hope to get back on track next week. on a massive downer right now, sucks big time

si1ly

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 12061

Posted: Oct. 23, 2012 - 12:05 AM ET #292

Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

man i blew account my acc this week, i hope to get back on track next week. on a massive downer right now, sucks big time

This was a brutal week for a lot of people I think. Even the Sharps lost their hat - all over STL, TB, CIN and they all lost ATS. Very tough week all the way around. You'll get it back.

roondog248

Veteran

Joined: Jul, 2012

Posts: 1219

Posted: Oct. 23, 2012 - 12:07 AM ET #293

I'm So Glad I bought points from 6.5 to 5.5

slowphenomenon

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 1851

Posted: Oct. 23, 2012 - 12:12 AM ET #294

i had tampa moneyline, bears -6, cincinnati -1, it was a really fun weekend.

davopnz

Banned

Joined: Sep, 2010

Posts: 6686

Posted: Oct. 23, 2012 - 12:21 AM ET #295

Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:

This was a brutal week for a lot of people I think. Even the Sharps lost their hat - all over STL, TB, CIN and they all lost ATS. Very tough week all the way around. You'll get it back.

i wish i had money management like you but i just unload and im a sucker for parlays