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'10-11 NBA:  90-67  (57.3%)  +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P:  30-16  (65.2%)  +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB:  8-1  (88.9%)  +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P:  11-4  (73.3%)  +7.00u
'10-11 MLB:  97-66  (59.8%)  +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P:  9-3  (75.0%)  +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF:  16-21  (43.2%)  -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P:  9-6  (60.0%)  +1.65u
'11-12 NFL:  42-35  (54.5%)  +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P:  5-5  (50.0%)  -0.40u
'11-12 NCAAB:  9-3  (75.0%)  +5.70u
'11-12 NCAAB-P:  5-3  (62.5%)  +1.60u
'11-12 NBA:  77-80  (49.0%)  -13.28u
'11-12 NBA-P:  23-20  (53.2%)  +2.30u
'11-12 NHL-P:  2-1  (66.6%)  +1.10u
'11-12 MLB:  130-86 (60.2%)  +38.27u
'11-12 MLB-P:  1-1 (50.0%)  +0.35u

'12-13 NFL:  19-6  (76.0%)  +17.85u


Afternoon

6.5 Point Teaser - Tampa Bay +8.5  &  Houston PK (-110)

1:00 EST - Green Bay Packers @ St. Louis Rams Under 45.5 (-110)


SNF:

8:30 EST - Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals Over 45 (-105)


MNF:

8:40 EST - Chicago Bears -5.5 (-110)
 
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Posted: #2
good luck with your plays
Rw
 
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MVP
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GL today man 
 
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Good luck, man!
 
Captain
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im just itching to play the Rams ML
 
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Love the Cincinnati over. Gl
 
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that's all s1ly?????
 
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Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals Over 45
 
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Prospect
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Posted: #12

Silly...really having a hard time pulling the trigger on TB...read up on your insight in your other thread...curious though as to why there is no play on TB +2?

 

Best of Luck today and thanks for all your work and patient, thoroug explanations.  

 
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Quote Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

im just itching to play the Rams ML

I put them in a lottery ticket parlay for shits and giggles:

NE ML ; STL ML ; TB ML ; MIN ML ; HOU ML
 
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Go get Em silly
 
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Quote Originally Posted by mj81:

Silly...really having a hard time pulling the trigger on TB...read up on your insight in your other thread...curious though as to why there is no play on TB +2?

 

Best of Luck today and thanks for all your work and patient, thoroug explanations.  


It's an ugly number to play an underdog, I felt this game was better invested in by means of a teaser which could cross the key numbers of 3 ; 4 ; 7 and in my case I got in at Tampa +2 so 8 with the hook.  It also avoids going against playing a road favorite off a bye week - a profitable historical trend ATS.
 
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Posted: #17
Good luck buddy
 
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Green Bay's defense is in a tough spot, playing their third road game in four weeks.  I think they'll play a bend but not break game allowing the Rams to establish the run, but avoid big plays.  I see a fast moving clock and my models agreed projecting a total at 40.  I'm weary of going against a Packers offense that seemed to finally 'click' last week.  Rather than invest in the Rams on the side - I see more value in the under.  No matter how I draw this game up, I don't see the total getting much past 40.
 
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gl si1ly
 
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Quote Originally Posted by WAIWAI:

that's all s1ly?????

For now, finding 5 plays I like in a single week is pretty good.  Oddsmakers are in the business of setting tight lines, if they made every game accessible for guys like me, they'd be out of business.  It's simply hard to find that many games that have valuable lines and a high probability of success that fits my risk profile.  Also surprising that 3 of those games happened to be in prime time games.  I had entirely avoided the prime time spots in the first few weeks because the lines were very tight.
 
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Posted: #22

gl sir!

 
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thanks for your info man
 
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Posted: #24

Silly....you're a true professional.  Thank you.

 
 
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