GREAT INFO KEITH LUV THE WRITE UP AND MAKES SENSE. I WOULD HAVE TO SAY A LOT OF THE BUZZ IS ALSO ON SANCHEZ AND HOW HE HAS NOT TURNED THE BALL OVER AND HOW GOOD HE HAS BEEN PLAYING AS OF LATE AND ALSO THE ADDITION TO SANTONIO HOLMES WHICH IS A BIG KEY FOR THAT JETS OFFENSE. I ORIGINALLY LIKED THE VIKINGS JUST AS YOU DID BUT TALKED TO ABOUT 6 OTHER PEOPLE SO FAR AND THEY ARE ALL GOING TO HAVE THE VIKINGS TONITE WHICH MAKES ME HESITANT. LOCAL BOOKIE IS GOING TO BE GIVING ME HIS NUMBERS PROBABLY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR SO WE WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT HE COMES UP WITH.
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GREAT INFO KEITH LUV THE WRITE UP AND MAKES SENSE. I WOULD HAVE TO SAY A LOT OF THE BUZZ IS ALSO ON SANCHEZ AND HOW HE HAS NOT TURNED THE BALL OVER AND HOW GOOD HE HAS BEEN PLAYING AS OF LATE AND ALSO THE ADDITION TO SANTONIO HOLMES WHICH IS A BIG KEY FOR THAT JETS OFFENSE. I ORIGINALLY LIKED THE VIKINGS JUST AS YOU DID BUT TALKED TO ABOUT 6 OTHER PEOPLE SO FAR AND THEY ARE ALL GOING TO HAVE THE VIKINGS TONITE WHICH MAKES ME HESITANT. LOCAL BOOKIE IS GOING TO BE GIVING ME HIS NUMBERS PROBABLY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR SO WE WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT HE COMES UP WITH.
Thanks for the good comments and everything, glad I can help.
Bruno its been a while man, how are you doing? Hope the winners are coming in for you.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
NEW YORK JETS -4 (-120) $360 $300
I am going with my usual bet on this one. I booked a total of 84 wagers, 69 of which were on the Vikings. Biggest action I saw today was $3000 on the Jets at -4.
Here is what I said earlier...
Right now I think there is so much buzz and media in Minnesota it would be tough for me to back the Vikings tonight. Moss has never played in the West Coast style offense, he has been with the team practicing for what four days now, I realize he will be all over the field but I have to belive that Revis who knows his role and has dominated recievers year after year has the upper hand against a reciever that does not fully know where he is going or have the timing down. I also think that everyone is focusing on the whole Moss Revis thing a little too much. The Jets have only turned the ball over once on offense this season, they are scoring 26 points a game including that week one game against Baltimore. Tomlinson had a great game last week and seems to be finding his groove yet again and we all know how dangerous he can be. Looking at the line from a common sense stand point. Lets assume these teams are even. The Jets should be a 3 point favorite because of home field. Tonight they are -4.5 which is saying the Jets are 1.5 points better then the Vikings. Thats it? This team put up 9 against New Orleans who are not the team everyone thought they were and 10 against Miami. When it came to the easy win game everyone had them penciled in for against Detroit they have a rough game and win a game where the 24-10 score does not totally reflect the story of the game. Then on the other side you have the Jets who had a rough week one game which Rex Ryan admitted to have blown himself. Take that game out of the equation we see a 14 point win over New England, an 8 point win over Miami on the road and a 24 point win over the Bills. First ranked in rushing yards and not turning the ball over. Plus no one has mentioned the returns of Shaun Ellis and Calvin Pace for the Jets defense tonight, same with Antonio Holmes on offense. I think these factors alone should at least add up to 3.5 points, making the "common sense" line as I like to call it 6 or 6.5. Imagine how many people would be backing the Vikings if that was the spread.
Brett Favre is bruised and battered, even if the Jets dont get sacks tonight, they will finish the play much like hockey going into the corner and so call it "finish their check" and put a hit on favre. Every hit they lay hurts the quarterback and will slow him down.
I don't expect this one to be a wire to wire winner like it was last night, but this cover will be decided in the 4th quarter, it takes 60 minutes to win a game, I expect that tonight.
I don't have an opinion on the total which was even split more or less.
Its all Jets tonight!
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Okay here we go guys!
Thanks for the good comments and everything, glad I can help.
Bruno its been a while man, how are you doing? Hope the winners are coming in for you.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
NEW YORK JETS -4 (-120) $360 $300
I am going with my usual bet on this one. I booked a total of 84 wagers, 69 of which were on the Vikings. Biggest action I saw today was $3000 on the Jets at -4.
Here is what I said earlier...
Right now I think there is so much buzz and media in Minnesota it would be tough for me to back the Vikings tonight. Moss has never played in the West Coast style offense, he has been with the team practicing for what four days now, I realize he will be all over the field but I have to belive that Revis who knows his role and has dominated recievers year after year has the upper hand against a reciever that does not fully know where he is going or have the timing down. I also think that everyone is focusing on the whole Moss Revis thing a little too much. The Jets have only turned the ball over once on offense this season, they are scoring 26 points a game including that week one game against Baltimore. Tomlinson had a great game last week and seems to be finding his groove yet again and we all know how dangerous he can be. Looking at the line from a common sense stand point. Lets assume these teams are even. The Jets should be a 3 point favorite because of home field. Tonight they are -4.5 which is saying the Jets are 1.5 points better then the Vikings. Thats it? This team put up 9 against New Orleans who are not the team everyone thought they were and 10 against Miami. When it came to the easy win game everyone had them penciled in for against Detroit they have a rough game and win a game where the 24-10 score does not totally reflect the story of the game. Then on the other side you have the Jets who had a rough week one game which Rex Ryan admitted to have blown himself. Take that game out of the equation we see a 14 point win over New England, an 8 point win over Miami on the road and a 24 point win over the Bills. First ranked in rushing yards and not turning the ball over. Plus no one has mentioned the returns of Shaun Ellis and Calvin Pace for the Jets defense tonight, same with Antonio Holmes on offense. I think these factors alone should at least add up to 3.5 points, making the "common sense" line as I like to call it 6 or 6.5. Imagine how many people would be backing the Vikings if that was the spread.
Brett Favre is bruised and battered, even if the Jets dont get sacks tonight, they will finish the play much like hockey going into the corner and so call it "finish their check" and put a hit on favre. Every hit they lay hurts the quarterback and will slow him down.
I don't expect this one to be a wire to wire winner like it was last night, but this cover will be decided in the 4th quarter, it takes 60 minutes to win a game, I expect that tonight.
I don't have an opinion on the total which was even split more or less.
GREAT INFO KEITH LUV THE WRITE UP AND MAKES SENSE. I WOULD HAVE TO SAY A LOT OF THE BUZZ IS ALSO ON SANCHEZ AND HOW HE HAS NOT TURNED THE BALL OVER AND HOW GOOD HE HAS BEEN PLAYING AS OF LATE AND ALSO THE ADDITION TO SANTONIO HOLMES WHICH IS A BIG KEY FOR THAT JETS OFFENSE. I ORIGINALLY LIKED THE VIKINGS JUST AS YOU DID BUT TALKED TO ABOUT 6 OTHER PEOPLE SO FAR AND THEY ARE ALL GOING TO HAVE THE VIKINGS TONITE WHICH MAKES ME HESITANT. LOCAL BOOKIE IS GOING TO BE GIVING ME HIS NUMBERS PROBABLY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR SO WE WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT HE COMES UP WITH.
I agree with you with the most being on Minnesota, but I am playing New York tonight becuase the line is simply too low and there is lots of value in a good football team which is thriving as of late and takes care of the ball and maximizes posessions.
I would not ever simply fade everyone on a game if I liked the side, but when the spot is right to fade the majority of action because it makes sense, then you pull the trigger much like I am tonight.
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Quote Originally Posted by BettingPublic:
GREAT INFO KEITH LUV THE WRITE UP AND MAKES SENSE. I WOULD HAVE TO SAY A LOT OF THE BUZZ IS ALSO ON SANCHEZ AND HOW HE HAS NOT TURNED THE BALL OVER AND HOW GOOD HE HAS BEEN PLAYING AS OF LATE AND ALSO THE ADDITION TO SANTONIO HOLMES WHICH IS A BIG KEY FOR THAT JETS OFFENSE. I ORIGINALLY LIKED THE VIKINGS JUST AS YOU DID BUT TALKED TO ABOUT 6 OTHER PEOPLE SO FAR AND THEY ARE ALL GOING TO HAVE THE VIKINGS TONITE WHICH MAKES ME HESITANT. LOCAL BOOKIE IS GOING TO BE GIVING ME HIS NUMBERS PROBABLY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR SO WE WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT HE COMES UP WITH.
I agree with you with the most being on Minnesota, but I am playing New York tonight becuase the line is simply too low and there is lots of value in a good football team which is thriving as of late and takes care of the ball and maximizes posessions.
I would not ever simply fade everyone on a game if I liked the side, but when the spot is right to fade the majority of action because it makes sense, then you pull the trigger much like I am tonight.
Any chance you remember the percentages on the o/u?
Thanks in advance either way.
It was like 53% over 47% under, pretty well dead even. I did not take anything substantial on either side of the total all day long, lots of action on the sides though.
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Quote Originally Posted by Supaman33:
Keith,
Any chance you remember the percentages on the o/u?
Thanks in advance either way.
It was like 53% over 47% under, pretty well dead even. I did not take anything substantial on either side of the total all day long, lots of action on the sides though.
Sounds good, thanks for the quick response. Supposedly pouring at the stadium. I am across the river and there is a ton of thunder and lightning outside.
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Sounds good, thanks for the quick response. Supposedly pouring at the stadium. I am across the river and there is a ton of thunder and lightning outside.
JUS GOT IT IN JETS -4. LOCAL HAS GOT EVEN AMOUNT OF MONEY ON EACH SIDE BUT LOT MORE BETS ON THE VIKES. ALSO HE JUST GOT HAMMERED WITH PHONE CALLS FOR THE UNDER DUE TO THE WEATHER.
GOOD LUCK
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JUS GOT IT IN JETS -4. LOCAL HAS GOT EVEN AMOUNT OF MONEY ON EACH SIDE BUT LOT MORE BETS ON THE VIKES. ALSO HE JUST GOT HAMMERED WITH PHONE CALLS FOR THE UNDER DUE TO THE WEATHER.
Thanks and unfortunatley I can't say good luck tonight
No worries, as I feel the same way. But I wish you all the best in the long run.
I would like to give you my thoughts on tonight...
It's hard for me to believe that there is not relatively equal action on tonight's game, and a major factor in your choice seems to be that at your book you received a lot of one sided action on the vikes. Although that may be true, it's hard for me to believe that there are not a lot of bets on the 3-1 Jets as well. Also, hard for me to believe that there are gonna be a lot of sharps in Vegas on the MNF favourite.
On the field, I'm anticipating the Vikes to play extremely well out of their bye. Remember that BF pretty much missed camp and it showed pre-bye as they were not clicking on offense. I expect that to be erased tonight and the Moss addition is a complete X-factor.
Although I am high on this Jets team, I'm not big on asking them to cover chalk, especially against good defenses. Hard to say how the Holms addition will help Sanchez and the passing game, but the Vikes are very hard to run aginst so I anticipate this landing on Sanchez's shoulders. That may not be a good thing, considering the weather and the Minny pass rush.
That's my two cents.
BOL
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Quote Originally Posted by keith.line:
Thanks and unfortunatley I can't say good luck tonight
No worries, as I feel the same way. But I wish you all the best in the long run.
I would like to give you my thoughts on tonight...
It's hard for me to believe that there is not relatively equal action on tonight's game, and a major factor in your choice seems to be that at your book you received a lot of one sided action on the vikes. Although that may be true, it's hard for me to believe that there are not a lot of bets on the 3-1 Jets as well. Also, hard for me to believe that there are gonna be a lot of sharps in Vegas on the MNF favourite.
On the field, I'm anticipating the Vikes to play extremely well out of their bye. Remember that BF pretty much missed camp and it showed pre-bye as they were not clicking on offense. I expect that to be erased tonight and the Moss addition is a complete X-factor.
Although I am high on this Jets team, I'm not big on asking them to cover chalk, especially against good defenses. Hard to say how the Holms addition will help Sanchez and the passing game, but the Vikes are very hard to run aginst so I anticipate this landing on Sanchez's shoulders. That may not be a good thing, considering the weather and the Minny pass rush.
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JETS! 
But I wish you all the best in the long run.
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