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SB 54 $$ MADDEN SIMULATIONS (8-3/47-29) are Better than 95% of US here

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Posted: #101
Simulation Results so far 



SF. 34-24
KC  34-31. OT
KC. 34-27
KC. 31-24
SF. 27-21 
SF.  3O-24. OT 
KC. 38-24.  




Avg points  ( Total Wins )
KC 29.42      (4)
SF.  28.14     (3)




3 more Simulations to follow 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:


That was me and thank you. If you happen to see this, I'm curious how the referee crews work on Madden?? How is that determined and do they use the actual real characters??


I think they're just generic characters ....

But I'd like to think when the flags start flying its Tony pay the Big Corrente ...

A slew  of KC'S and  Cowboys Sims thought the season were littered with flags on the rhe other team ....
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #103
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The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
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Posted: #104
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The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Simulation Results so far 



SF. 34-24
KC  34-31. OT
KC. 34-27
KC. 31-24
SF. 27-21 
SF.  3O-24. OT 
KC. 38-24.  




Avg points  ( Total Wins )
KC 29.42      (4)
SF.  28.14     (3)




3 more Simulations to follow 


Sagarin's PR:

KC=29.52
SF=28.45


 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:



Sagarin's PR:

KC=29.52
SF=28.45




That's Wild  

Maybe I should bet some exact points scored props ....

Although the odds seem 3x as bad as roulette .....



BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #107
Pegasus World Cup 

5:34 pm est ....

Love the 2 scratches , glad the mega chalk Omaha Beach is out of the way ....

I'm going with a long shot #8 MR FREEZE 20-1 ML ...I don't think he'll go off anywhere close to that price , my guess is 10-1 ...My Numbers have him at 7-1  . ..Big Fan of Jockey Luis Saez and Mr Freeze has racesd  insome big races of late .....
Not sure if he can win, but the scratch of the Mega Chalk helps ....


$45 to win #8 

$4 ex wheel.  2,6,10 over 8 

$1 ex wheel   1,3,4,7,11,12 over 8 


10 cent super 
1st.   2,6,10
2nd.    all 
3rd.     8
4th.     All 
Cost   16.80 

10 cent super 
2,6,10
All. 
All 
8.   
Cost 16.80 



Cost $96.60 



BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
Legend
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:



That's Wild  

Maybe I should bet some exact points scored props ....

Although the odds seem 3x as bad as roulette .....




Nope, roulette odds are 37 to 1 
 
Legend
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Posted: #109
At bovada:

KC by 1 to 6 points +350
SF by 1 to 6 points +375
 
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Posted: #110

Good stuff Sac.  That pays way better than a 2 team teaser on both of the sides...    

People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
 
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Posted: #111
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

At bovada:

KC by 1 to 6 points +350
SF by 1 to 6 points +375


My gut loves these ...Thanks for pushing me in Brother 

5D/LOCAL 
has 

SF by 1-6 +420 
KC.  by 1-6.    +328 


I'll get down on SF 1-6 +420 right now for $50/210 ...



Waiting on KC 

Kind of like these on the chiefs 

Win by odd margin   +216 
Even.   +309 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #112
Madden Simulation #8 

What a crazy game !!!!

SF drives and scores on a Kittle 7 yd TD catch 7-0 

KC Mahomes is sacked and SF returns the Fumble to rhe 5 ...

SF kicks a 24 Yd FG.  10-0 

KC goes 3 and out ....

SF ends the 1st qtr with the ball ...

2nd qtr. 

SF drives to the 5 but once again settles for a FG ...13-0 

KC gets 2 first downs before Mahomes is picked off.   

SF scores in 3 plays on a 23 yard Samuels TD catch ....20-0 

KC scores in 8 plays on a Hill 17 yd TD, but the extra point is blocked.   20-6 

SF throws a hail Mary that is intercepted at the KC 4 YD LINE ....

HALFTIME SF 20-6 


KC gets to the 40 and Punts 

SF. Drives and kicks a FG 23-6 

KC gets to the 50 and Punts ....

SF goes on a long drive 

4th qtr 

SF kicks a 26 yd FG. 26-6 

SF picks off Mahomes , but is flagged for PI .. 
MAHOMES hits Hardman for 55 yard TD 13-26 ...

SF goes 3 and out ....

KC returns punt for TD , but holding puts them back at their own 45 ...

Watkins catches a 46 yd TD   20-26 ...

KC goes for the onside kick and gets it despite there being 520 left ....

KC scores on a 33 yard D Williams Run.    27-26 ...

SF drives in the final 220 and draws a huge PI at the 9 ...Kittle scores on a 4 yd catch with 47 seconds left ...Goesfor 2 but fails 32-27 

KC gets to the 17 before times runs out ...



SF WINS 32-27 

The Refs played a huge part in the finish 


o
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #113
Ok ...didn't want to play the Pick 4 , bit I got a partner 

Gulfstream 

25 cent pick 4 
Race 9      7 should be a mega chalk 
Race 10.    1,7,8,12 
Race 11.     2,3,4,10,12
Race 12.     2,6,8,10 
Cost $20 


25 cent pick 4 
Race 9.       5,6,11
Race 10.      1,7,8,12 
Race 11.      2,3,4,10,12 
Race 12.       6,10
Cost  30 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #114
Madden simulations began in 2004 and are 9-4 SU, I think they have a better spread record, maybe 10-3 .

I've followede it every year, seems to work very well. Usually comes out the friday before SB weekend.

WATCH 3 SIMS ON YOUTUBE LAST NIGHT..............................

9ERS LEAD 34-30 WITH mAHOMES DRIVING INSIDE THE RED ZONE  DOWN TO ABOUT THE 10 THEN ON 4TH DOWN PASS IN END ZONE FELL INCOMPLETE and 9ers stopped them with 11 secs left.


in another tied 10-10 in good part of 3rd  KC scores then back and forth with KC scoring again with little time left win 24-10.


the other one 9ers rip KC apart 37-9 in the 3rd and go on to win 44-22 as KC gets a late score and basically 2 meaningless scores .


watched 3...9ers won 2.
 
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Posted: #115
Also read an aricle on all that goes into program, they are now very advanced putting in size, strength and speed of each player  and the artificial intel can run the game if people don't want to play but you can play and compete vs each other.


 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Ok ...didn't want to play the Pick 4 , bit I got a partner 

Gulfstream 

25 cent pick 4 
Race 9      7 should be a mega chalk 
Race 10.    1,7,8,12 
Race 11.     2,3,4,10,12
Race 12.     2,6,8,10 
Cost $20 


25 cent pick 4 
Race 9.       5,6,11
Race 10.      1,7,8,12 
Race 11.      2,3,4,10,12 
Race 12.       6,10
Cost  30 


Knew this was burnt money 

$72 horse bets me in 2nd leg 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #117
Mohawk P5

147910
1237
1238910
12510
10

$96 for 20 center
 
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Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Pegasus World Cup 

5:34 pm est ....

Love the 2 scratches , glad the mega chalk Omaha Beach is out of the way ....

I'm going with a long shot #8 MR FREEZE 20-1 ML ...I don't think he'll go off anywhere close to that price , my guess is 10-1 ...My Numbers have him at 7-1  . ..Big Fan of Jockey Luis Saez and Mr Freeze has racesd  insome big races of late .....
Not sure if he can win, but the scratch of the Mega Chalk helps ....


$45 to win #8 

$4 ex wheel.  2,6,10 over 8 

$1 ex wheel   1,3,4,7,11,12 over 8 


10 cent super 
1st.   2,6,10
2nd.    all 
3rd.     8
4th.     All 
Cost   16.80 

10 cent super 
2,6,10
All. 
All 
8.   
Cost 16.80 



Cost $96.60 







#8 gets 2nd .....

The $4 EXACTA paid $156.40 


Was rooting hard for the 7 to catch the 8 gor 2nd , as the 10 cent super 10/8/7/3 paid $334 , and 10/7/8/3 probably would have paid $550+ 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

Madden simulations began in 2004 and are 9-4 SU, I think they have a better spread record, maybe 10-3 .

I've followede it every year, seems to work very well. Usually comes out the friday before SB weekend.

WATCH 3 SIMS ON YOUTUBE LAST NIGHT..............................

9ERS LEAD 34-30 WITH mAHOMES DRIVING INSIDE THE RED ZONE  DOWN TO ABOUT THE 10 THEN ON 4TH DOWN PASS IN END ZONE FELL INCOMPLETE and 9ers stopped them with 11 secs left.


in another tied 10-10 in good part of 3rd  KC scores then back and forth with KC scoring again with little time left win 24-10.


the other one 9ers rip KC apart 37-9 in the 3rd and go on to win 44-22 as KC gets a late score and basically 2 meaningless scores .


watched 3...9ers won 2.


Brother im shocked at how often the Madden Simulations are accurate ....

Last year I ignored them when they picked the Pats to beat and cover vs the Rams in all 5 of my Sims ..Also predicted the Under 4 of 5 ....
Spread was -2.5 / 55.5 if my memory is right 

The scores were 
27-13
24-17
35-31 
26-17
30-20
29-20


Of course my dumb arse bet the Rams and Over in a parlay ....didn't bet much , but still felt pretty stupid ...



Thank you for the post wirh additional Madden results


Best of luck Brother

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by Bruins4Life:

Mohawk P5

147910
1237
1238910
12510
10

$96 for 20 center

9 scratched race 1
Ticket cost now 76.80
 
Prospect
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Posted: #121
Early win 4

12510
All
246
1568
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:


That was me and thank you. If you happen to see this, I'm curious how the referee crews work on Madden?? How is that determined and do they use the actual real characters??

I'd think they use the actual penality stats of each team, more realistic then goimg off refs stats, but maybe I'm wrong.

If I'm right and the sims are so accurate  then that goes to show that yes refs can make calls that determine the winner, however, if a player commits a penalty and the ref does not call it won't that still be refs determining the winner  ?

Refs need to call penalties when they are committed, ref did not determine the winner the player committing the penalty did.

 
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Posted: #123
CAN AM PICK 4 

WOODBINE RACE 10.    1,2,3,4,5,7
Meadowland race 10.    1,2,3,7,8,9
Woodbine ra e 11.            10 
Meadowland race 11.      1,2,3,4,6,7,9
Cost 53.20 


W 10.     1,3,4,7
M 10.      1,2,3
W 11.       6,7
M 11.        1,2,3,4,6
Cost 24 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #124

DU, I enjoy your simulations more than the real games... bigsmile

 
 
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Posted: #125
Super Bowl MVP 

just taking some shots 
Don't want to take the mega chalk QBs 

Bosa +2200.   $30.20
 Could get a few sacks , including a game clinching one ..
Makes a ton of plays in the sims .

Frank Clark +7500.  $6.80
What if he lives on the backfield ???

Hardman +7500. $7.20 
  The forgotten man  ...Ultra fast and could be wide open at times ...


Bourne +17500. $3.20
   What if he catches the game winning TD , or scores twice ?

Gould +12500.  $4.80
 Might need to kick 5+ field goals including the game winner 

Kwon Alexander  $4
+15000. 
Would need to make many huge plays 

Suggs. +20000. 2.70
Had 2 huge games in the sims 

Sorensen +25000. $2.50
 Played like rhe MVP in the 2nd half vs Titans ...

Butker +32500.  $1.75 
Might need to kick 7+ field goals including game winner 



Might add a few more 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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