San Francisco 49ers

I will be here win or lose, I do this for a living and have been doing so for a long time, Carolina +2.5 and +120 money line bet Monday at the south point, again I want to thank jimmy vaccaro for the great line he gave me, his opinions have been terrible and it just so happens I bet against his last 3 and got the best number in the world. thank you jimmy v, sincerely you know who.

Interesting thing about the 9ers is, they have not done well ATS on the road in the playoffs unless you got the early line.

Last week if you did not get in before going to 3 you pushed but could of won fading the 9ers as some books did go to 3.5

Last year VS Atlanta on the road had you not got the early line under 4 you either pushed or lost at 4.5, with many here on the site grabbing Falcons +4.5.

By fading the 9ers on the road in playoffs you'd could be 3-0 ATS getting the best line but only 2-1 backing the 9ers on the road getting the best line, including the SB road loss as a favorite as well.

I would not call that value on a team that is so razor thin covering the spread on the road that one needed to get in early or risk pushing or losing, to me that sounds an awful like a overvalued team when the money really likes the team pushes the line  up.

A lot of talk about how the 9ers are hot, the hottest team coming into the playoffs does not do as well as people think, in fact no hottest team has  posted a winning spread record throughout the playoffs since I first posted this about hot teams back in 2009.

And one could of won fading the 9ers last week or worst case pushed, we'll see if this years version of the hottest team will do better than those in the past.

 

 

No reason to stop riding this team and rollover. Not going to wait around and fired early on the ML.

Risking 3.18 to win 5.22


Don't see any reason this isn't a coin flip game. These teams know each other inside and out and I expect a dogfight. Autobet here in a tight game with a great team as a dog. Hawks have an edge on D, but SF has more playmakers. Seattle's offense has struggled to finish up the season and they don't really have any pass catchers that scare you.

Not buying SEA HFA here either. This SF team is too experienced and playing with too much confidence. I have a tough time seeing them wilt. Don't really care what happened here the last two times. Throw last year's game out. It was a horrible spot for SF and Harbaugh said they had nothing left after that NE game the week before. Everything that could have went wrong did for SF in Week 2. They are a much improved team and aren't going into a new environment. They've been in this stadium before and won't melt down because of the crowd. They'll lose because the Seahawks make more plays.

Flip a coin. Odd feeling the Hawks feel the pressure here. SF is surging and is that crowd going to get a little antsy if the pass game struggles again? There were murmurs in the Saints game.

Winner of this game should win the Super Bowl. These are easily the two most complete teams in the league. The remaining AFC teams have big holes and are very good matchups for SF and SEA.


GL.

 

Nice work Mac.    Where do you stand on San Fran against the Hawks and the 12th man?

Man was I off on SF, they are the team to beat in the NFC and sb, good job, I wont make this mistake again, I will be on sf and Denver,,Denver will probably win going away vs pats

win going away? hmmmmm

This is the first time one could of made money backing the team with the most straight up wins coming into the playoffs since at least 2008, I haven't looked beyond that.

However, if 9efs lose this week one could of made money fading 9ers as well getting the best available lin in GB game of +3.5..

Which would then be 6 straight years making money fading the team with the most consecutive wins entering the playoffs.

 

I agree ...I think SF takes Super Bowl this year ....they match up well with whoever wins between Denver and pats ....I say Denver beat pats 30-26 and niners win 19-14 and then .......niners beat Denver 27-24.....how you like dem apples?!

Andarmac, are you the guy with the ”darts”?”

HAV THE FAITH,,TAKIN SAN/FRAN 1H,,AND DENVER 1H,,,

AGREE OR DISAGREE,FOLKS ITS ALL ABOUT THE MONEY...

WHICH TEAMS HAVE THE BEST DRAWING POWER...

SAN/FRAN AND DENVER,,

WATCH FOR THE REF'S RED FLAG IN EACH GAME...........

Have looked at this game quite a bit and have a strong case of buyer's remorse.

Would only be a 1 unit loss if SF loses as I was playing with house money. May hedge off some with a bet on the Hawks ML.

Seattle is the play here.

They are simply the better team and they are the better team even when SF is healthy like they are now. The Niners had a good matchup against GB and great matchup against a bunch of rookies in Carolina last week who made many playcalling mistakes and took several dumb penalties on the field. They weren't ready for the playoffs, as expected. Newton moved the football on this secondary last week with mediocre talent at receiver. Wilson is a better QB and should do the same IMO.

SF faces a much better QB and a much better defense this week on the road for the 4th consecutive week. Seattle is going to win this game for the same reason I liked them to win the Saints game: They have the better QB and better defense at home. Simple as that.

I'll end up rooting for SF because they will win the Super Bowl if they win this week and I'll cash the rollover, but my thinking is Seattle is the play here.

Andy,

Andarmac, so you're rooting for both sides? Or if SF happens to win, then you like them to win the SB. But wouldn't be surprised if Seattle ends up taking this game? What about spread?

On the same side as you. My friends are SF fans and we've discussed in depth on how healthy SF has become which has completed their team. They are the hottest team in the NFL. Before the playoffs started they were my SB pick.

I won't bet on the game b/c I would bet SF and I think this game is a push. 23-20 final for SEA.

I genuinely believe SEA is in major trouble this week. SF is going to beat them up, but SEA won't break. I believe the x-factor is when I watched the SEA games in SEA, I find the refs to allow their DB to get away with a lot. I know this is just a guess, but I consider it an educated guess. Their secondary rarely get calls against them and this will factor into the game.

You can run on SF and Lynch will be a factor. Gore will do his part, but won't dominate. SEA wins the turnover game. Boldin plays a major part in the game b/c he's a gamer. SEA walks out on Sunday wounded by victorious.

Going to be an NFL fan and enjoy the game. SF should win, but not this year. I believe next year is SF year. They will win their division, get home field. Reminds me of years ago when the powers shifted from SF to Dallas.  Soon SF, but not yet.

Good Luck this wknd.

Thanks for posting Mac.  This board sorely misses you.    

Ahh, sorry to see you on SF, Andy. I hit Seattle -3.5 and think they roll. I'll come back with some more thoughts later in the week. Glad u to see u posting again.

MathGuy81 - I did flip-flop on last year's Super Bowl and have flipped on other games in the past as well at this stage of the season (a moronic flip to PIT in that Super Bowl after riding that Packer train hard that season). Maybe I over think the games at this point of the season.

I may still let the rollover ride and hope for the best. Have a few days to decide, but upon closer examination I do think Seattle is the play. To me they are the better team and have been the best team in the league all season. Kap can be wildly inconsistent and throws 3-5 terrible passes a game. Those balls get picked off against Seattle, and I think the SF playmaker edge isn't as pronounced as I thought. Sherman will shut one of those WR completely down and Vernon Davis has never been able to do anything against this version of SEA's LB and Safeties. In 4 games against SEA in the last two seasons Davis has 6 catches for 67 yards...in 4 games!

Raidernator76 - No clue about the spread. Not sure what to do yet about taking Seattle ML. And yes, if SF does win here I believe they win the Super Bowl. Both AFC teams are going to get beaten up by either SF or SEA. Neither team has a good D and they will be exposed. Manning can't throw downfield and SEA's corners will jam his WR so his screens won't work and SF's linebackers will run them down with their speed. New England switched to a power run team because their receivers are pathetic and Brady has regressed significantly. NE won't be able to run on SF or SEA and their backs and LB will eat those rinky-dink receivers for lunch.

FrozenTundra - Gl bud.

mushroomspore - Good to see you. I agree that SF can win anywhere and it helps they've played here before. They won't be intimidated. I'm just not sure they can make more plays and Kap can go a full game without turning it over against the best secondary in years.

Having major second thoughts buddy. I think Seattle is the side.

SF will win a close one, its there time, this is a first for Seattle, like how your Carolina team that had never been there, Seattle in same position but you like Seattle now? I think your over thinking this game, anyways Denver should beat pats by 20

Sucks to see flip flop again. Good luck, hope you don't regret it like the GB/PITT SB.. The mental fortitude that this team has shown is nothing short of heroic. Road win Arizona, Road win GB, Road win Carolina.. Nextup Seattle..