With the "sharps" dominating the season thus far, atleast by reverse line movement is concerned, as RLM is 8-1 this NFL season when the line moves 1 point + opposite a 60%+ public consensus, here are 2 that may turn out to fall into this system...
WASHINGTON +2.5
ARIZONA +6.5
Lets wait and see how the numbers turn out, but it looks like there will certainly be a public consensus on N.O. and Green Bay (as usual)
It is still early in the week, but so far all sites have GB at +70% consensus, most right around 75%. Even though it has only moved 1/2 point, the move from 3 to 2.5 is more signifigant than most other numbers....Again it is early, but Washington a definite lean if you want to ride the system success...
Good Philly team? They possibly stumbled into a better than average team with a spread style offense/running QB threat. Now i'd say they're back to average at best. Running game issues, pass protection issues, and certainly discipline with the penalties (not the least of which involves the blind side reverting back to Jason "best LT in football" Peters with the Vick injury). On top of the fact that McNabb was only 8/19 for 125. I don't think that game showed so much to deem Washington a viable threat. Then again, they are the public for a reason...
/eagles fan
//somehow the NFC East became the NFC West REAL fast
Im sure there was plenty of sharp money on Miami, however, we did NOT see reverse line movement in that game. Public was on New England, line moved towards New England, so not enough sharp money on The Phins to apply to this theory....
Im sure there was plenty of sharp money on Miami, however, we did NOT see reverse line movement in that game. Public was on New England, line moved towards New England, so not enough sharp money on The Phins to apply to this theory....
Do you even know what you're talking about?
The line opened at NE -1 and got bet to Miami -1 with 63% on NE .
Maybe you should have a look at this if you think the line moved toward NE
https://www.covers.com/sports/odds/linehistory.aspx?eventId=27852&sport=nfl
My point is "sharp" money doesnt mean jack anyway
Do you even know what you're talking about?
The line opened at NE -1 and got bet to Miami -1 with 63% on NE .
Maybe you should have a look at this if you think the line moved toward NE
https://www.covers.com/sports/odds/linehistory.aspx?eventId=27852&sport=nfl
My point is "sharp" money doesnt mean jack anyway
Sharp money is 8-1 on reverse line movement friend, and if you want to count Miami 8-2..still a hell of a trend. BETUS had the line move towards PATS, and considering this is the book i primarily use, is what I am going by,
With the "sharps" dominating the season thus far, atleast by reverse line movement is concerned, as RLM is 8-1 this NFL season when the line moves 1 point + opposite a 60%+ public consensus, here are 2 that may turn out to fall into this system...
WASHINGTON +2.5
ARIZONA +6.5
Lets wait and see how the numbers turn out, but it looks like there will certainly be a public consensus on N.O. and Green Bay (as usual)
where do you see the reverse line move? vegaseinsider is not real sometime.
I have a statistical spreadsheet that I use. I take the concensus from insider and use BETUS lines (open to ending). If there is a Public consensus of 60% or greater + Steam of 1.5 points or more in the opposite direction, than I am considering it RLM in my statistics.
Just my breakdown, others have there own "definition". BOL!!
This is all correlation....nothing close to causation. You might get lucky and have it be profitable this year, but it will be nothing more then luck. I don't think any sort of RLM had anything to do with the 34 injuries the Packers had and the fact that Crosby bounced one off the goal post. But to each their own.
This is all correlation....nothing close to causation. You might get lucky and have it be profitable this year, but it will be nothing more then luck. I don't think any sort of RLM had anything to do with the 34 injuries the Packers had and the fact that Crosby bounced one off the goal post. But to each their own.
I respect your opinion, and this is nothing I am upping my units on, but is definitly a strong trend so far this year. I am not someone to use 1 trend as a sole basis for plays, but I do like to use them in the process of making my picks and feel that RLM is something to continue to look at in that process. To each their own my friend, hope you have a proofitable season 
Week 1: NYG/Carolina (L) , Indy/Hou (W), KC/SD (W)
Week 2: NO/SF (W)
Week 3: Minn/Det (W), Atl/NO (W), Sea/SD (W)
Week 4: Cinci/CLE (W) Car/NO (W)
Week 5: NONE Qualify
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