Playoff plays

Whats ur play tonight Spottie?

no post no play.  I won enough and Pittsburgh was my lean.  

Week =2 and bracket Final 8 plays 

 According to my inputs the ats results spit out a 15-4 ATS Query 2 plays qualify and I believe both of these nail em this week. 

Rams-3.5

Bills Pick 

The Bears line is just off in my opinion.  Last weeks line gave the Rams too much credibility, that’s a good thing.  

As for the Bears, This weeks line only +1.5 more points against an elite team (Packers were 9-7-1 heading into last weeks loss) The Rams the last 2 seasons 24-13 SU and ATS.  

Bills, lots of previous road teams make the Bowl after consecutive road games.  Look at the Broncos come from the pits 2 seasons ago.  It’s telling how depleted the SFC is as I see it.  

im not basing this upon stats or any of the things most on lookers see it.  Just my senses and what the bookie (linesmakers valuations) have been recently.  

Broncos opened up as a home dog is a narrative I’m fading because the final 8 bracket teams are all quality teams, at least on one side of the ball. 

At the beginning of the year I discredited the Bills, but the lines are showing me they’re credible.  I ride this theory. 

Rams and Bills have been elite a few seasons and counting. Hope they continue their journeys. 

playoffs=1 and A and p:playoffs=1 and site!=neutral and C and season>2005 and 14>t:wins>9 and 9>streak>1 and o:streak>-2 and o:wins>11 and 43>p:points>13 and line<=5 and total>38 and line<3

this query is only 7-3 ATS but my primary query is 40-15 ATS 

Thanks

rest>11 and H and p:playoffs=0 and playoffs=1 and t:wins>12 and 17>tpS(W)>8 and season>2005 and op:points<33 and line>-13

This query and play fades the Broncos and Seahawks 

3-20 ATS

PLAY ON BILLS AND 49ers 

I will be digging in to the tools later today or tomorrow

This week Plays: 

Bills 

49ers

Rams 

@greymamba

 Best wishes on yours 

p:A and p:playoffs=1 and A and streak>7

0-6 and 1-5 ATS 

Anti Texans 

Patriots 1st quarters last 6 games

outscored opponents 59-7

Patriots last 3 games:

2nd halves outscored opponents 38-7 

Patriots have not allowed a 2nd half point last 2 games. 

that an in game or half time opportunity 

p:playoffs = 1 and p:D and D and tpS(W) < 9 and p:site = away and oppS(W)>6

I’m very concerned about betting the Rams in 17 degree weather. Check their QB results in outdoor cold games. Chicago will score 24-31 I don’t trust that indoor soft team to win in this spot. CHICAGO WINS AGAIN IMO.

best wishes. 

This is only the second time in the database I use that a team will be back to back playoffs away favorites. The Rams last line of less than -7 is a power rating by the lines maker that I quantify greatly. 

On the flip side last week Bears line of a home dog as a 2 seed vs a 9-8 Packers team is another line valuation.  In the Bears case last weeks win may appear strong but I don’t think the previous line is congruent with that assessment. 

well find out. 

p:playoffs=1 and p:AF and p:margin<13

Home dogs are lives as inferior teams.  Being lined once again as the inferior team, I devalue these teams significantly.  If the Bear leap over this line once again so be it they defied the odds again.  That happens 

p:playoffs=1 and p:H and p:D and C

1-12 SU  In this situation.  I’ll ride the Rams leap up regardless of the field and weather conditions.  

I can’t seem to find it wuickly but does anyone know if the bears ever defeated a playoff foe that had less than 5 losses ? 

even in 1986 that didn’t happen 

2006 only the colts had 4 losses and they lost that superbowl. 

gl

Congratulations and good luck.

GL