**NFL WILDCARD WEEKEND PLAYS***

Quote Originally Posted by Mack05:

Prime I posted this on another thread. I don't want a slanging match with you. Let's debate football..

These silly theories and looking for things that simply are not there.Saints have been blowing teams away because they are a good football team. The Lions were desperate to win yesterday. Win and they are away to New York/Dallas and they would fancy their chances and have momentum going into the playoffs. Lose and its off to to a 13-3 team on fire and a serious dent to the confidence.

Don't over think (that is what you are doing) the facts are simple. Detroit couldn't beat a team playing backups with nothing to play for. They now have to go on the road to the hottest team in football. People are focusing way to much a last year, which has nothing whatsoever got to do with this year. The Saints will use last year as motivation, that's the only stat you have to worry about from last year. The Lions have already been beaten by the Saints and this is the last place they would have wanted to go (bar Green bay)..

The problem for Detroit is that they are far too one dimensional. They don't have a rushing game, so the Saints can afford to drop extra players back in coverage. Detroit is 26th against the rush and I see NO running more then expected. If the run gets going how can they stop Brees? They can't. New Orleans is a FAR better football team then Detroit. That is the only stat that matters. So far this season anytime Detroit has faced top ranked opposition it hasn't covered the spread. The line is set this high to reel in the Lions Backers and it seems many on this site has fallen for the Line.

Fade Detroit in a dome against a top team always! If you don't have balance on offense against the top teams you get exposed (as has been proven)..This will be Detroit playing catchup and Stafford making mistakes. Saints will win by more then 14 this time...

Good football teams don't lose must win games against their biggest rivals playing backups! This is the point that is just not registering with you.

If they win they have a legitimate shot at beating the Giants and then who knows. They haven't beaten (or covered the spread) against the elite teams in the NFC. Green Bay, San Francisco, New Orleans. They couldn't get it done last week when they badly needed to and know you expect a team who hasn't shown any kind of winning mentality against the top teams to suddenly turn it on!

The public preception that Detroit is not a very good team is spot on and I am quite sure will cost you again. There is no hidden agenda or secret here. Even if Detroit covers, New Orleans was the correct play pre game based on Factual Evidence...

1) New Orleans has covered the spread in every home game this season..
2) Detroit has failed to cover the spread against the better teams this season....

To bet against New Orleans (even if you are lucky enough to get a back door cover) is the incorrect play and your reasons for playing it are either invalid of incorrect...Detroit is too one demensional on offence and too atrocious on defense to keep this close..

Quote Originally Posted by _keyser_soze_:

Quote Originally Posted by PARMATJ25:

Quote Originally Posted by PARMATJ25:

Bet us

Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Russell, you have got to be the most ignorant posters I have ever encountered........you give no thought to the words that spew out of your mouth, hence your ignorant self. I suggest you buy a hooker or a male hooker in your case & let them go to town on you.................

Quote Originally Posted by tonyrome:

geez, I think you need a break....lol.

I would NEVER go against Saints at home.

Quote Originally Posted by dcowboys:

saints -6.5 and over 53 (-105)

GL with yours

Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

I really like one play on Saturday & will let my roll ride on this game..............

Wow. You learned nothing going against the Saints with Atlanta? Remember how certain you were Atlanta was going to cover, maybe even win? They didn't even cover your teaser for gosh sakes! Here, you're saying you won't be surprised if Lions win SU! You said the exact same thing about Atlanta!!!!
Let me just say, I will be more than surprised if Det even covers the spread. In fact, I will probably drop dead of shock if they don't get blown out!

Anyway, I'm opposite you on all three of your picks.
I like NO at home in Prime Time where they DOMINATE! You can look back at my arguments I made for picking NO against Atl on your thread and I'll just say ditto here, again.
KEY:  NO, AT HOME, ON PRIME TIME!  That's all you need to know.

I will fade Hou who has proven to me they have a staff of idiots who game plan and play call like morons based on what I saw them do vs Car, @ Indy, and then home against Ten. They had a legit shot at playing for #2 seed which is HUGE for that team, and all they had to do was beat a couple of cellar-dwellers on their upcoming schedule. Instead of playing to win, they played not to lose, which in my opinion is losing football. They blew their chance to beat Car at home, then played extremely unimaginative offensive FB @ Indy with run, run, pass and run, run, run play calling. Then, after their chances for #2 seed were shot to hell and the only intelligent motivation for their final reg season game would have been to rest up and get ready for the wild card round, what did they do? The opposite! They succeeded in getting Yates a separated shoulder, and played a hard game against a motivated Ten team which surely has taken a physical toll on the team. This Houston team is the very epitome of stupidity. They absolutely deserve to lose to Cin and I believe they will, unless magically their mentally deficient brain trust of idiot play callers and game planners suddenly become geniuses overnight, which I highly doubt.

Last, Den at home vs Detroit? LOL. This game is a mismatch, even if Big Ben is on one leg. Tebow has been stinking it up, now he's facing a very good defense. I think it's quite possible that the Pit defense will score more than the Den offense via pick 6 and/or fumble recovery for TD. I'm pretty sure the Pit offense should also be good for at least a TD or 2. I'm at a complete loss to see how Den is going to score at all. They were completely exposed as frauds by NE, then got a shellacking by a terrible Buf team (seriously? BUFFALO!), then were held to THREE POINTS by KC AT HOME in a MUST WIN game to secure the division! Lucky for them, SD played spoiler and knocked off Oak...  They have no chance on Sunday.

Anyway, as always....BOL

Quote Originally Posted by AJCAcura:

When you start talking about the Saints winning 8 in a row ATS at home, you are right, winning 9-0  is a far stretch and it has to end sometime... HOWEVER if you bet at the beginning of the season that the saints would end up 8-0 at home ATS, your odds would have been pretty good on your money... but each week, it is a new game in and of itself... it is a 50/50 shot (if you take out the possibility of a push)... you can’t look at it statistically as  it being hard to go 9-0 because that doesn’t matter in this equation…. The only thing about them going 8-0 at home is to show that they can do it.... on roulette, the wheel could land black 15 times in a row... and the odds of it landing black for a 16th time is still 42.1% for that single spin.... here they will cover, lose, or push... no matter the outcome, the previous outcomes will not have had any bearing on it... Take a statistics class, Roulette and craps are the professors’ favorite examples when talking about probabilities.

Reverse the situation, if the saints were 0-8 ATS at home, would many people be saying bet on the saints cuz they have to win sometime?   No everyone would be saying stay away from them…. In this case, it is hard to say to bet them because it is a lot of pts… but statistically speaking, I believe the only logical play here is to pick the saints at home.