Mac, good stuff as usual. Glad to see some actual talk rather than the usual picks threads which are running rampid.
I just grabbed the Giants -6.5 myself.
Looks like we are on the same page concerning a lot of those games. I've been looking at Pitt and Indy more and more the last couple of days. The one game my gut is SCREAMING though is the Cards. I usually find it hard to go against my gut! A lot can change from Wednesday to Sunday on Week 1, so nothing in stone yet. I'll be back before kickoff.
Your card looks like a winner! 
Saw this thread and looked at the Week 1 lines. Two games that jumped out to me was Minny +4.5 and Washington +3.5. Take a look at SB champs and how they fare game 1, it aint pretty.
eagles secondary may be overrated with hobbs, samuel, mikell, allen, but there front 7 is going to be a force. Sims was a steal, Stewy is back in the middle, and Graham and Cole on the outside. Mcdermott's second year. Philly's D will be fine. Rodgers got sacked a shit ton last year. If our ends get consistent pressure, Philly runs with this game.
It looks like we are gonna have a very similar card. I swore I wasn't gonna mess around with any of those home dog/road fav games, but there's a couple I just can't pass up on.
Indy -1. Can't turn down Manning at such a short price. I like Houston and they always play Indy tough, but I think you are right about the PRESSURE of that game. Gonna be business as usual for Peyton and company, but the Texans are gonna be playing in this home opener with the weight of the world on their shoulders. Manning hasn't lost a regular season game in 23 months and that's one of the few "trends" I don't mind backing.
Arizona -3.5. Obviously you want to get this at 3, but I believe there is a better shot of it jumping to 4 rather than 3, so I locked it at 3.5. Not much to say here other than I think Arizona is better at practically every position on the field. The Rams are a toilet bowl team and unless Bradford comes out like Superman, the Cards should handle them fairly easy.
Giants -6.5. We spoke about this one earlier in the thread. Honestly I'm not as confident as I was a few days ago, but that is my own fault. Would it have killed me to take a look at the weather forecast before I locked this up? Looks like the remnants of that tropical storm will be coming through tomorrow and Eli sucks dick in the elements. The slightest bit of wind and the man cannot throw a ball. It doesn't look to be TOO bad out there, but rain and moderate wind have me second guessing things just a bit.
Philly/Pack Over 46. Like this play(rare for me to play totals) and hopefully the weather doesn't effect what I THINK is gonna be a shootout.
Jets -2.5. I think the Jets are gonna bring it Monday night. I think Baltimore is overrated in a lot of aspects and while I like Flacco, he was not so hot last year on the road. I don't see them doing much of anything on offense and the Jets should grind out a nice victory.
I looked long and hard at Pitt, Buffalo, Cincy, and Cleveland, but ultimately decided to pass. This is a shitty batch of games and with an entire season ahead, I don't feel the need to push the envelope in Week 1. In fact, if this wasn't Week 1, this may have been only a one or two game card for me.
Mac, cheers to a successful season. Thanks for letting me chime in your threads the last couple years. I appreciate your insight and writeups, and the back and forth helps me out in my capping process. Hit em hard this year!
It looks like we are gonna have a very similar card. I swore I wasn't gonna mess around with any of those home dog/road fav games, but there's a couple I just can't pass up on.
Indy -1. Can't turn down Manning at such a short price. I like Houston and they always play Indy tough, but I think you are right about the PRESSURE of that game. Gonna be business as usual for Peyton and company, but the Texans are gonna be playing in this home opener with the weight of the world on their shoulders. Manning hasn't lost a regular season game in 23 months and that's one of the few "trends" I don't mind backing.
Arizona -3.5. Obviously you want to get this at 3, but I believe there is a better shot of it jumping to 4 rather than 3, so I locked it at 3.5. Not much to say here other than I think Arizona is better at practically every position on the field. The Rams are a toilet bowl team and unless Bradford comes out like Superman, the Cards should handle them fairly easy.
Giants -6.5. We spoke about this one earlier in the thread. Honestly I'm not as confident as I was a few days ago, but that is my own fault. Would it have killed me to take a look at the weather forecast before I locked this up? Looks like the remnants of that tropical storm will be coming through tomorrow and Eli sucks dick in the elements. The slightest bit of wind and the man cannot throw a ball. It doesn't look to be TOO bad out there, but rain and moderate wind have me second guessing things just a bit.
Philly/Pack Over 46. Like this play(rare for me to play totals) and hopefully the weather doesn't effect what I THINK is gonna be a shootout.
Jets -2.5. I think the Jets are gonna bring it Monday night. I think Baltimore is overrated in a lot of aspects and while I like Flacco, he was not so hot last year on the road. I don't see them doing much of anything on offense and the Jets should grind out a nice victory.
I looked long and hard at Pitt, Buffalo, Cincy, and Cleveland, but ultimately decided to pass. This is a shitty batch of games and with an entire season ahead, I don't feel the need to push the envelope in Week 1. In fact, if this wasn't Week 1, this may have been only a one or two game card for me.
Mac, cheers to a successful season. Thanks for letting me chime in your threads the last couple years. I appreciate your insight and writeups, and the back and forth helps me out in my capping process. Hit em hard this year!
Established in 1995,
Let's cash again this season.
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