NFL TODAY PLAYOFF PLAYS (1/11)

YTD (NFL):  85-77-6 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 18-16-1 ATS)

I was really really bad for probably the last 3-4 weeks in the NFL. Took an awesome season and made a mess of it.  Obviously losing players in game and betting on teams that then pull starters is a tough proposition but others have handicapped games and done well over this period so I'm less angered and more perplexed.  That being said, my Ravens whom I've historically done extremely well handicapping are playing today though I've lost so much earned money over the past month it almost makes me post with some trepidation.  That being said, I always encourage you to do your own research.  Here are my plays for today:

LAC (-2.5):  I was going to play this at 3 and then got 2.5 so I'll jump all over it.  Over the past 10 games, the Chargers are 8-2 ATS while the Texans are 4-5-1 ATS.  That should give you an idea of how the teams are playing coming into this game.  I also really don't like when teams pull their players early in a game which is what the Texans did vs. the Titans last week.  One drive for Nico Collins and CJ Stroudt when they have not been playing well over the past month isn't really how I'd like to see the Texans coming into this affair, even if it is at home.  Furthermore, the Chargers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 played vs. the Texans and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 played in Houston.  I know it's hard to take a road team in the playoffs, especially the wild card round, but the Chargers are healthier (if you can believe that) and have a far better coach who has been in games of this magnitude throughout his career.  I like DeMarco Ryan but I think he is one and done, along with the rest of the Texans.

PITTSBURGH (+10)...bought half point:  I'm not even sure you need to buy the half point because these games are generally close outside of the last time these two squared off.  And in that game, the first of the current losing streak for the Steelers, the Ravens had a full offensive attack and the Steelers were without George Pickens, who generally speaking is their best and only receiver.  The Ravens were and still are susceptible to TE's and Pat Freiermuth has been really solid of late.  But the Ravens have played rock solid defense over the past month and a half and the Steelers are just stuck in the mud on offense.  For me I think the fact that Zay Flowers is out of this game gives Lamar one less weapon that can stretch the field and while Mark Andrews has been awesome and should probably score again, I think it's going to be hard to fully trash the Steelers, despite the Ravens averaging about 30 points at home.  If the Steelers D comes to play, I think you will get a far closer affair as both coaches are top notch and know one another well.  I'm thinking something like 24-20 type of game or even 24-17.  Not to mention the Steelers have scored considerably more on the road and that in of itself is why I decided not to play the UNDER.

Hoping everyone is as excited for these games as I am.  Heavy slate of college basketball as well so stay selective and disciplined.  As for myself, I just need to stay on course and get out of this slump.  With that said, keep comments positive, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Good luck LA.  

Good luck on your plays 

I don't see Balty scoring 30+ like the last 4 weeks. Without Flowers and this being the playoffs we can wipe away one TD off the board. I see Balty scoring anywhere from 21 to 27 pts. I'll peg my prediction score to 24 for Balty. Now if Ravens defense can continue to assume their form and with Steelers struggles in the redzone, hard for me to see Steelers putting up more than 14. This has backdoor potential written on it. Could see the score being 24-13 or 24-16.

GL 

LAC 3rd Away game in a row, covering the 1st 2.  Sometimes hard to cover all three...that's my monkey wrench

Can't disagree but with money coming in on Houston I don't see them winning and NOT covering.  And I just haven't been all that impressed with Houston's offense of late I just think CJ Stroudt is lacking some energy and in many cases urgency.  Plus Fiairbirn hasn't been having a great season at K and that could come into play whereas the LAC kicker has been great.

Anyways, that's why they play the games...

I learned the hard way the ATS regular season doesn't translate post season. I have Houston, but I should've also taken the Under---but I hate those over/unders--lol

I am on Pitt+10 (-125) I also bought the 1/2 pt...

My "goof play"very short money...all ML hous/bal/buff/phil/wash/minn  9 to 1 odds...  although can't rule out the "LA wild fire angle" where one LA team gets in.

This fool is ice cold lately 

@BET2WIN4

 But he post a record!

Ouch BUT, We'll get 'em today. I already put my games in, but not to sway, I'll post later. Glad not taking the Hout under after all.  My "Goof" bet still in play, although I have a feeling it's the LAR that will be my downfall.

@LAGameofInches

 Need you back!!!

Why - need a fade.

Or, just another of his ghosts proclaiming his greatness.

Fake record 85-79

Standard odds 110/100 that's 79 L's X 110  = -$8,690.00.

85 W's X $100 = + $8,500.00

Do the math. Add the extra juice from games where he paid -120 to -150 and lost. Where's the profit?

Now do his REAL record: 83-86.

At standard odds 110/100 he would be down $1,160.00

With juice from losses where he put out -120, -130, and -150 he's down about $1,300.00.

And much more with his college football losses added in.

The losses were even greater for anyone who started tailing after he won a few games at the beginning of the season, because over his last 111 picks, using his own fake records, he's 51-60, 45%. And lying about winning, as usual.

Records DO matter. The majority of visitors here are viewers, not posters. They come here looking for a winning handicapper to follow. To them records, honest records, DO matter. They matter a lot.

And the guys that point out the perpetual cheaters here aren't haters or jealous (Jealous of what - a insecure guy with no life, no or integrity, who's so desperate to get "respect" from strangers on the internet that he cheats on a regular basis and lies when caught? No.)

83-86, -$1,300.00. Or, as he'll call it, "ANOTHER winning season for ME! NINE in a row now!"

"I'm often GREAT, but I'm ALWAYS good!"

"I'm a professional sports bettors - I do this for a living!"

I get it - some of you tail because you can't handicap your own plays and lost money. But if you tail based on what you want to believe to be true, not facts and what is true, you're going to keep losing. Such as tailing a guy who is 51-60 on his last 111 picks.

@VeritasAlways

 Dam.

I'm personal could care less about records.  I appreciate the reason more.  Maybe I miss something.  Maybe I'll learn something. All of us are just guessing.

There are a few who hit over 60% winners consistently year over year in this forum.

There are those to consistently pick losers.  Great fades.

More than records the viewers is what counts to me.  Especially if it a name you see over and over.

There insight is valuable.  No matter how you use the info.