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#1
Week 7 and down 23 units. No more time for playing around. If you’ve been following don’t quit yet, we’ll turn this around very quickly.
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys (big play #3)
Been waiting for this one to hit 7 all week. You won’t find a better spot to back the Giants all year. I noticed a few people saying the Giants will beat the Cowboys this weekend, but no real reason as to why. I’ll be taking them for a large 7 units, so I’ll give 7 reasons why I love them.
Reason #1, everyone knows how the Cowboys went into Seattle and beat them. It takes a lot of energy and effort just to play in Seattle as they are easily the most physical team in the league. I went back and tested this and since 2010 – home favorites after playing in Seattle are 2-11 ATS.
Reason #2, this is a must-win for the Giants. The Cowboys and the Eagles are now atop the division at 5-1, while the Giants have a possibility to drop to 3-4 and three games back in the division. They will be all-in here.
Reason #3, the Giants got embarrassed on SNF this past weekend, scoring a whopping 0 points. Certain Road Dogs coming off a game as an underdog where they scored 0 points are 27-5 ATS.
Reason #4, the Cowboys are at there best as underdogs, but they have one of the worst records in the league in recent years as a favorite. Since Jason Garrett took over the helm in 2010, the Cowboys are the worst in the league against the spread as a Home Favorite at 6-20 ATS.
Reason #5, Victor Cruz. I’ve mentioned it before, but I love backing a team the first game when they lose a star player. Remember my 5 unit play on the Vikings a couple weeks ago in what was Teddy Bridgewater’s first start? The Giants love Victor Cruz, they will rally around him and put a great effort to show they can win without him and for him.
Reason #6, the Giants will be playing with double revenge, as the Cowboys swept them last season for the first time in years.
Reason #7, NY also fits a strong system play of mine which is 78-24 ATS and 10-1 ATS prior to a bye week.
Reason #8 (bonus), Road dogs with a 40% WP or higher after losing on the road last week are 8-2 ATS prior to a bye week. This makes sense as decent teams hate to go into a bye week off 2 straight road losses. I absolutely love the Giants to cover this inflated spread.
Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams
Seattle is not the team they were a year ago but people have yet to realize it yet. They’ve lost a total of 11 players that accounted for 58 years of NFL experience since there SuperBowl run, including 3 players that accounted for 11.5 sacks and 91 tackles. There offense has also been terrible as there passing game ranks dead last in the league.
St Louis is perceived as a terrible team, but they’re far from it. I mentioned this earlier, but if the refs didn’t call that offensive pass interference last week that shouldn’t have been a flag, the Rams would have gone up 17-3 or 21-3 at halftime to the 49ers. That call and the subsequent blown coverage leading to a 80 yard TD pass completely deflated the Rams at halftime. San Francisco has more sacks and a better pass defense YPG than the Seahawks thus far, so Austin Davis shouldn’t have a harder time in this game like people think. Divisional home dogs that just lost a game as divisional home dogs have performed exceptionally well over the years.
Yes the Seahawks are off a loss but this is the Rams Superbowl. Rams lose this game and there season is finished. Jeff Fisher has also covered 60% of his games as a coach when his team is an underdog and 67% of games as an underdog against a divisional opponent.
1:00pm
Falcons +4 first half (2x)
Vikings +6 (2.5x)
Rams +7 (3x)
Raiders +10.5 / Steelers +4 (3x)
4:00pm
Giants +7 -125 (7x)
Giants +250 (1x)
Cowboys Under 27 (1x)
4 Team Teaser
Alabama PK , Giants +20, Rams +20.5, Steelers +10 (2x)
2014 NFL YTD: -23.2 Units
2013 NFL Regular Season: +104.76 Units
2013 NFL Playoffs: 6-2 ATS
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