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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    *** NFL Sunday Ticket *** Week 2

    123 Next Last»
    LeagueCapper
    kvngr
    HOFDEG
    Ikid2groove035
    undermysac
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 17044
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    123 Next Last»
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 6:44 PM ET #1

    Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Redskins

    I talked about the Chiefs as being highly underrated, but I haven’t discussed the other team I’m very high on this season. I know the Colts are in a bounceback spot and are a popular pick this week, but I’m very high on the Redskins this year. I took them to win their division at +660 ($750 to win $5k) as I think this team has a very good chance to take the crown from the Eagles, and I’ll be backing them this Sunday again after taking them last week against Arizona.

    The Colts are in a decent spot this week - they should have beaten the Bengals as they were outscored 17-0 to end the game. 

    However, Washington is a top 10 team in the league this year in my opinion, and have a stellar defense. Their defense can shut down a lot of teams and Luck doesn’t have the line up front to protect him. +6 looks enticing for a good QB like Luck, but I think Washington takes care of business.

    Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    The Eagles have had 10 days to prepare for this game since their opening game was last Thursday, but let’s not forget what Nick Foles numbers were in a home game. 19/34 (55%) for 117 yards – 3.4 yards per attempt! And, that was in a home game where they won the time of possession battle. If you think the Eagles coaching staff are confident in their offense heading into this game in Tampa Bay, then see this:

    • Free agent QB Paxton Lynch visited the Eagles on Tuesday. Lynch was cut from the Broncos after just 4 starts.
    • The Eagles signed 3 WRs to the Practice Team on Tuesday
    The Bucs will have a below average defense this year, but the Eagles don’t have the personnel to exploit it right now. I expect this to be a victory for the Bucs but will gladly take the 3.5 points for insurance as the Eagles offense will struggle to convert first downs in this game.

    Note – Teasing the Bucs crossing all key numbers up to +10.5 in this spot against a weak offense is a very strong #, so I’ll be using that as an anchor this week.

    Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

    Early statement game for Green Bay. Besides the Chiefs, the Packers are my other top play of the weekend. The fact that Green Bay was down 20-0 to the Bears last week means literally nothing for this game. The Vikings single handedly ended Aaron Rodgers season last year, the Packers season last year, and the championship hopes of the entire city last year. It happened so early in the season when Green Bay was 4-1 and a NFC SuperBowl favorite which made it that much harder on the team. Additionally, many players in the locker room felt it was a dirty hit on Rodgers.

    • “It’s devastating, no question about it,” receiver Randall Cobb said.
    • “He’s the heartbeat of this team,” receiver Davante Adams said.
    • “We all understand the magnitude of what Aaron means to our football team,” McCarthy said. “I didn’t like the hit. It was unnecessary. Illegal, whatever. But it was totally unnecessary in my opinion,”
    • Receiver Jordy Nelson picked one word to describe Rodgers’ impact. “Everything,” he said.
    • “He’s the best player in the league,” left tackle David Bakhtiari said. “To see him on the ground for an extended period of time is not good.”

    I know Minnesota is a great team, but Green Bay will be all in this game. Everybody will be giving 110% – especially knowing Rodgers is playing hobbled; and the crowd will be electric. I expect the Packers to win this game in a rout. (This is the only game I haven't bet yet, obviously a no-play if Rodgers is out)

    New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars

    Taking a look at the entire schedule for my Pats this year, this is the one game that will be the toughest to win. The two hardest road games will be in Jacksonville here, and Pittsburgh in week 15 – however, the PITT game is late in the year when the Pats will be a lot healthier and have incorporated their new players into the system better. 

    At the moment, they are still working in a ton of new players - Edelman has been suspended, Cooks left the team, Amendola left the team, Dion Lewis left the team, Mitchell left the team, Malcolm Butler left the team, etc. Additionally, the RBs on New England are all injured right now.

    Brady has always found a way to win with whoever is on the roster as their team changes year to year more than any in the league, and while their defense will be greatly improved due to their increased pass rush - Jacksonville has had this game circled for the past 8 months. This isn’t the best time for New England to go into Jacksonville and win in a very hostile environment.

    • Redskins -6 (2x)
    • Colts Under 21.5 (1x)
    • Packers -1 (5x)      
    • Bucs +3.5 -120 (3x)
    • Eagles Under 23.5 (1x)
    • Jaguars +103 (4x)

    • Bucs +10.5 / Seahawks +10 -120 (1x)
    • Bucs +10.5 / Jags +7 -120 (1x)
    • Bucs +10.5 / Cowboys +4 -120 (2x)

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Redskins

    I talked about the Chiefs as being highly underrated, but I haven’t discussed the other team I’m very high on this season. I know the Colts are in a bounceback spot and are a popular pick this week, but I’m very high on the Redskins this year. I took them to win their division at +660 ($750 to win $5k) as I think this team has a very good chance to take the crown from the Eagles, and I’ll be backing them this Sunday again after taking them last week against Arizona.

    The Colts are in a decent spot this week - they should have beaten the Bengals as they were outscored 17-0 to end the game. 

    However, Washington is a top 10 team in the league this year in my opinion, and have a stellar defense. Their defense can shut down a lot of teams and Luck doesn’t have the line up front to protect him. +6 looks enticing for a good QB like Luck, but I think Washington takes care of business.

    Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    The Eagles have had 10 days to prepare for this game since their opening game was last Thursday, but let’s not forget what Nick Foles numbers were in a home game. 19/34 (55%) for 117 yards – 3.4 yards per attempt! And, that was in a home game where they won the time of possession battle. If you think the Eagles coaching staff are confident in their offense heading into this game in Tampa Bay, then see this:

    • Free agent QB Paxton Lynch visited the Eagles on Tuesday. Lynch was cut from the Broncos after just 4 starts.
    • The Eagles signed 3 WRs to the Practice Team on Tuesday
    The Bucs will have a below average defense this year, but the Eagles don’t have the personnel to exploit it right now. I expect this to be a victory for the Bucs but will gladly take the 3.5 points for insurance as the Eagles offense will struggle to convert first downs in this game.

    Note – Teasing the Bucs crossing all key numbers up to +10.5 in this spot against a weak offense is a very strong #, so I’ll be using that as an anchor this week.

    Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

    Early statement game for Green Bay. Besides the Chiefs, the Packers are my other top play of the weekend. The fact that Green Bay was down 20-0 to the Bears last week means literally nothing for this game. The Vikings single handedly ended Aaron Rodgers season last year, the Packers season last year, and the championship hopes of the entire city last year. It happened so early in the season when Green Bay was 4-1 and a NFC SuperBowl favorite which made it that much harder on the team. Additionally, many players in the locker room felt it was a dirty hit on Rodgers.

    • “It’s devastating, no question about it,” receiver Randall Cobb said.
    • “He’s the heartbeat of this team,” receiver Davante Adams said.
    • “We all understand the magnitude of what Aaron means to our football team,” McCarthy said. “I didn’t like the hit. It was unnecessary. Illegal, whatever. But it was totally unnecessary in my opinion,”
    • Receiver Jordy Nelson picked one word to describe Rodgers’ impact. “Everything,” he said.
    • “He’s the best player in the league,” left tackle David Bakhtiari said. “To see him on the ground for an extended period of time is not good.”

    I know Minnesota is a great team, but Green Bay will be all in this game. Everybody will be giving 110% – especially knowing Rodgers is playing hobbled; and the crowd will be electric. I expect the Packers to win this game in a rout. (This is the only game I haven't bet yet, obviously a no-play if Rodgers is out)

    New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars

    Taking a look at the entire schedule for my Pats this year, this is the one game that will be the toughest to win. The two hardest road games will be in Jacksonville here, and Pittsburgh in week 15 – however, the PITT game is late in the year when the Pats will be a lot healthier and have incorporated their new players into the system better. 

    At the moment, they are still working in a ton of new players - Edelman has been suspended, Cooks left the team, Amendola left the team, Dion Lewis left the team, Mitchell left the team, Malcolm Butler left the team, etc. Additionally, the RBs on New England are all injured right now.

    Brady has always found a way to win with whoever is on the roster as their team changes year to year more than any in the league, and while their defense will be greatly improved due to their increased pass rush - Jacksonville has had this game circled for the past 8 months. This isn’t the best time for New England to go into Jacksonville and win in a very hostile environment.

    • Redskins -6 (2x)
    • Colts Under 21.5 (1x)
    • Packers -1 (5x)      
    • Bucs +3.5 -120 (3x)
    • Eagles Under 23.5 (1x)
    • Jaguars +103 (4x)

    • Bucs +10.5 / Seahawks +10 -120 (1x)
    • Bucs +10.5 / Jags +7 -120 (1x)
    • Bucs +10.5 / Cowboys +4 -120 (2x)

     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 6:45 PM ET #2

    NFL YTD: 6-2 +14.95 units 
    Reply
    NFL YTD: 6-2 +14.95 units 
     
    kvngr
    kvngr
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 7:57 PM ET #3

    Nice post,thanks.Good luck this week  like the skins as well.
    Reply
    Nice post,thanks.Good luck this week  like the skins as well.
     
    HOFDEG
    HOFDEG
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 8:27 PM ET #4

    no thoughts on mia/nyj?

    Reply

    no thoughts on mia/nyj?

     
    Ikid2groove035
    Ikid2groove035
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 8:30 PM ET #5

    Why is Viking giving so much? Books know Rodgers ain’t playing?  Honesty they weren’t that impressive on offense vs the 49ers - 

    Reply

    Why is Viking giving so much? Books know Rodgers ain’t playing?  Honesty they weren’t that impressive on offense vs the 49ers - 

     
    Ikid2groove035
    Ikid2groove035
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 8:33 PM ET #6

    NM post 5 wrong Game an_violin

    Reply

    NM post 5 wrong Game an_violin

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 8:54 PM ET #7

    Interesting thoughts.

    Best of Luck this week
    Reply
    Interesting thoughts.

    Best of Luck this week
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:28 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by HOFDEG:

    no thoughts on mia/nyj?


    There are things to like on each side of that one. Dolphins have a better team, but I have a feeling the NY crowd will be going crazy in their home opener after the blowout win on MNF they just had. Those fans have been waiting for a winning season for a while and finally believe they have a good team. Not anything I would base a bet on solely, however I think it gives more meaning this week since Tannehill hasn't played a road game in over a year. I could see that causing a turnover or two.

    Still torn on this one because Miami does have the better team, but last week was the better spot to bet them. If you do like Miami bet it now because Jets shouldn't be -3 and will probably close -2. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by HOFDEG:

    no thoughts on mia/nyj?


    There are things to like on each side of that one. Dolphins have a better team, but I have a feeling the NY crowd will be going crazy in their home opener after the blowout win on MNF they just had. Those fans have been waiting for a winning season for a while and finally believe they have a good team. Not anything I would base a bet on solely, however I think it gives more meaning this week since Tannehill hasn't played a road game in over a year. I could see that causing a turnover or two.

    Still torn on this one because Miami does have the better team, but last week was the better spot to bet them. If you do like Miami bet it now because Jets shouldn't be -3 and will probably close -2. 
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:29 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Interesting thoughts.

    Best of Luck this week

    Thanks mate, you as well
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Interesting thoughts.

    Best of Luck this week

    Thanks mate, you as well
     
    HOFDEG
    HOFDEG
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:40 PM ET #10

    thank you, best of luck my man
    Reply
    thank you, best of luck my man
     
    bearsfan111
    bearsfan111
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:43 PM ET #11

    The Vikings have the Packers number GB was lucky to beat the Bears if Fuller makes the easy pick the Pack would be looking at o-2 IMO 
    I like the others , not bashing  just adding my .02 worth BOL
    Reply
    The Vikings have the Packers number GB was lucky to beat the Bears if Fuller makes the easy pick the Pack would be looking at o-2 IMO 
    I like the others , not bashing  just adding my .02 worth BOL
     
    ByTheBay
    ByTheBay
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:45 PM ET #12

    LC,

    Where can we get the 7 point teaser at -120?

    Reply
    LC,

    Where can we get the 7 point teaser at -120?

     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:51 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by bearsfan111:

    The Vikings have the Packers number GB was lucky to beat the Bears if Fuller makes the easy pick the Pack would be looking at o-2 IMO 
    I like the others , not bashing  just adding my .02 worth BOL

    Absolutely correct they were lucky to win last week. Again though, last week's game means nothing here.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bearsfan111:

    The Vikings have the Packers number GB was lucky to beat the Bears if Fuller makes the easy pick the Pack would be looking at o-2 IMO 
    I like the others , not bashing  just adding my .02 worth BOL

    Absolutely correct they were lucky to win last week. Again though, last week's game means nothing here.
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:52 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by ByTheBay:

    LC,

    Where can we get the 7 point teaser at -120?


    5dimes
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ByTheBay:

    LC,

    Where can we get the 7 point teaser at -120?


    5dimes
     
    ByTheBay
    ByTheBay
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:55 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    5dimes

    Mine is showing ties reduce -135 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    5dimes

    Mine is showing ties reduce -135 
     
    mashup
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:58 PM ET #16

    Don’t know about the bucs. Saints couldn’t put a hand on Fitzpatrick but that won’t happen with the eagles that are 8 deep on the d line.
    I think we might see the old fitz in this one. Good luck tho 
    Reply
    Don’t know about the bucs. Saints couldn’t put a hand on Fitzpatrick but that won’t happen with the eagles that are 8 deep on the d line.
    I think we might see the old fitz in this one. Good luck tho 
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 9:59 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by ByTheBay:


    Mine is showing ties reduce -135 

    Check again, mine shows 7.5 points for -135. 7 is -120. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ByTheBay:


    Mine is showing ties reduce -135 

    Check again, mine shows 7.5 points for -135. 7 is -120. 
     
    In2it
    In2it
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    Posts: 2656
    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 10:12 PM ET #18

    Great stuff League Capper, but not sure what you mean by this and I don't even see a wager this week on the Chiefs.

    Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

    Early statement game for Green Bay. Besides the Chiefs, the Packers are my other top play of the weekend. The fact that Green Bay was down 20-0 to the Bears last week means literally nothing for this game.

    BOL!!!!

    Reply
    Great stuff League Capper, but not sure what you mean by this and I don't even see a wager this week on the Chiefs.

    Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

    Early statement game for Green Bay. Besides the Chiefs, the Packers are my other top play of the weekend. The fact that Green Bay was down 20-0 to the Bears last week means literally nothing for this game.

    BOL!!!!

     
    ByTheBay
    ByTheBay
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 10:17 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Check again, mine shows 7.5 points for -135. 7 is -120. 

    Interesting. My NFL ties reduce 6.5 is -120.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Check again, mine shows 7.5 points for -135. 7 is -120. 

    Interesting. My NFL ties reduce 6.5 is -120.
     
    ByTheBay
    ByTheBay
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 10:26 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Check again, mine shows 7.5 points for -135. 7 is -120. 

    Is your 7 points ties reduced?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Check again, mine shows 7.5 points for -135. 7 is -120. 

    Is your 7 points ties reduced?
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 10:37 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by In2it:

    Great stuff League Capper, but not sure what you mean by this and I don't even see a wager this week on the Chiefs.

    Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

    Early statement game for Green Bay. Besides the Chiefs, the Packers are my other top play of the weekend. The fact that Green Bay was down 20-0 to the Bears last week means literally nothing for this game.

    BOL!!!!


    Chiefs play posted in separate thread
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by In2it:

    Great stuff League Capper, but not sure what you mean by this and I don't even see a wager this week on the Chiefs.

    Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

    Early statement game for Green Bay. Besides the Chiefs, the Packers are my other top play of the weekend. The fact that Green Bay was down 20-0 to the Bears last week means literally nothing for this game.

    BOL!!!!


    Chiefs play posted in separate thread
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 10:38 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by ByTheBay:


    Is your 7 points ties reduced?

    That's odd, i've used 7 point teasers with them for years at -120. And yeah its ties reduce. I would go into their live help section and ask them why, as a couple of my buddies get the same lines with them at -120 as well.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ByTheBay:


    Is your 7 points ties reduced?

    That's odd, i've used 7 point teasers with them for years at -120. And yeah its ties reduce. I would go into their live help section and ask them why, as a couple of my buddies get the same lines with them at -120 as well.
     
    ByTheBay
    ByTheBay
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 10:52 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    That's odd, i've used 7 point teasers with them for years at -120. And yeah its ties reduce. I would go into their live help section and ask them why, as a couple of my buddies get the same lines with them at -120 as well.

    I did just that. Looks like it’s a promotion to choose from when signing up, which is probably what you have. I am requesting it now. 

    Hopefully this helps others.

    Thanks for the timely responses.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    That's odd, i've used 7 point teasers with them for years at -120. And yeah its ties reduce. I would go into their live help section and ask them why, as a couple of my buddies get the same lines with them at -120 as well.

    I did just that. Looks like it’s a promotion to choose from when signing up, which is probably what you have. I am requesting it now. 

    Hopefully this helps others.

    Thanks for the timely responses.
     
    In2it
    In2it
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    Posts: 2656
    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 10:55 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Chiefs play posted in separate thread

    Thanks.....saw it after I asked.  Great analysis and appreciate all the hard work!!!  BOL!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Chiefs play posted in separate thread

    Thanks.....saw it after I asked.  Great analysis and appreciate all the hard work!!!  BOL!
     
     
    ByTheBay
    ByTheBay
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 11:35 PM ET #25

    LC,

    I know you mentioned you would be on the 49ers a lot this season. Is this not a good spot for them at home against the Lions? Do you anticipate them winning but not covering 6?

    Reply
    LC,

    I know you mentioned you would be on the 49ers a lot this season. Is this not a good spot for them at home against the Lions? Do you anticipate them winning but not covering 6?

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