Posted:
#1
OK odds makers simply use power ratings offfense defenses home field and cocahes then take into consideration injuries then the public perception of the squares betting certain teams all the time and that spread is inflated 2 to 3 points every time
SO tonight we have two teams that not have lived up to expecations and two very difernt styles of play ONE the Vikings have a pea shotter offense and is on the QB merry go round already only 4 weeks into season have switched QB's 3 times !
A coach that was nothing more than an offensive coordinator with Philly and Eagles offense florouished under his play calling !
HE Cant get Spit from Minny's offense !
Sainst have best offense in league and red hot QB in Brees have faced far better teams than Minny has played and beaten them in reality should be 3-1 or 4-0 every game came down to wire at Denver at washington their two losses !
BEAT The BUCS at HOME as a 3 point chalk Tampa is NOW 3-2 with a 3 point loss at denver !
THE only win Vikes had was at home vs Panthers who were on 1st road game in a dome and defnse was hurting at the time !
replay that game today Panthers would smoke Vikings in MINNY
ooooooo yeah that WAS old bones 1st game at QB ferrorte he hasnt done chit since !
got yanked last week at Titans and they went with cry baby Jackson now they out GUS back in not exactly my idea of asconfident HC in QB's is it ?
I should stop right there but lets look at the numbers of points scored and points allowwed
SAINTS have scored 111 pts allowwed 100 so they are +11 points in 4 games +2.75 points per game
Round off to PLUS 3 ppg
Viqueens have scored 71 pts have allowed 82 points so they are -11 points per game also -2.75 PPG round off to - 3
NOW when you havenegative number vs postive to get differnce between two teams you ADD the numbers together + 3 + a - 3 = 6
ON the zero line looks like this
SAINTS +6------0------Vikings -6
SO now the spread is saints 3
well ya know what your gonna get dont you
SAINTS +3 ppg - 3 spread = 0
VIKES -3 PPG + spread 3 = 0
and guess what no matter what spread you useYOUR going to get same results !
10 points 17 points etc... you will get 0
as far as rankings on Defense forgettabbouttit Vikings very stout agsint the RUN and Pass
Saints ner bottom ranked 27th defense
20th aginst the RUN 29th aginst the Pass
VIKES 3rd aginst run 17th agaisnt the PASS
OFFENSE wise a mirror not even close
Sainst pasing 1 running is 25th
ranked 3rd on offense over all
VIKES 6th running 19th passing
ranked 14th overall
ANOTHER thing i look at is Wagerlines surviovor picks well when i see this i just scream lock
leader board first two pages the people who have 7 wins or more
14 people have saints 2 have vikings
2 people have overs two people have unders
so it's 77% all on NO to win and cover
NOT good at all and i bet it hits 80% by game time In surviovor picks !
ONE RULE on MNF gmes YOU must pick the winner of the game 90% of the time regradless of the spread !
usaually only 2 or 3 DOGS COVER and lose the game !
WE alaredy have two losing DOGS so expect one more this year !
SO now knowing the chances of VIKINGS winning this game outright I say go for THE ML
+140 because i dont think Saints will win by 1 or two points here !
EITHER trash this Vikings team like the DID SF last week who play very much like VIKINGS DO BUT SF defennse stinks ranked 22nd overall !
Offense ranked 12th only 2 points better than VIKES 14th ranked offense !
Sainst streak of winning two games in a ROW at home is sparse (info on yahoo sports) VIKINGS road games not good at all past 5 years !
MNF aaway 1 win at GB as a 7 point dog won the game in 2005
GB was horrible that year !
Saints havent had too many HOME MNF games
weel past two years 2-0 dog and fav vs falcons
NOT much there at all a weak div rival for NO !
I SAY MINNY ML +140 over or unders is a toossup i get 45.5 points it's set at 46.5
hm wait a sec here
Vikes allow 20.5 PPG round off to 21
Saints allow 25 ppg OMG freaking GAWDDDDDD
46 points and it's at 46.5 I knew that total was too close
Have to say it's all defense of VIKES controlling this game keeping brees on bench with RUN RUN RUN
long drives !
IF Saints offense controls this game long 5 minute drives each time vikes defnse will be gasping in 2nd half and saints will romp to a blow out win by 3 td's
and it goes overs by large marigin !
Ferrorte is below average NON pro Bowl QB Tavaris Jackson already benched !
PHEW
lack of confidence IN QB's team lacks ledaer ship in locker room !
ok frget about it VIKES Money line 2 units !
if i lose i'm still plus for the week !
DID have great LUCK today WON $200 on scratch off lottery ticket with my last $20 in pocket hope the luck carries OVER !
so it's WIN WIN situation for me i have nothing to lose by betting tonights game !
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