Record stands: 7-6 + 2,355.00 . We finally are here, this is where things are different. Defenses step up and offenses play it a little more carefully than normal. Taking Carolina + 10.5 because, they already have film on how to play against the LAR. They beat them 31/28 on 11/30 and were also 10 pt dogs @ home. A road fav has never in the history of this league have ever covered on the road being favs of 7 pts or higher, never. CAR are 5-2 ATS as dogs @ home this year. They also covered 9/14 games this year as a dog. The first game, CAR were missing 4 starters on defense and they still won. I run my numbers like I always do and I have the Rams being - 9.66 pts , my 10.5 trumps that. Also when the majority of bettors are on the team that have less wins on the season, we are 46-38 ATS since 2023. Also the Rams run play action at the highest rate in the league @ ( 37% ) guess who’s # 1 at defending the P/A , Carolina are. They’ve only allowed on average 5.6 yds per attempt against it. As far as the under is concerned, the weather report shows rain @ 10% , wind @ 16 mph , and humidity @ 60%. In the P/O’s the games slow down. Over 65% of tickets are on the over but , yet the line has been dropping all week long. CAR has the 2nd slowest offense in the league. They only run on average 57.6 plays per game. Give me CAR + 10.5 on a buy ( 0.5 - 125 ) & the U also on a buy ( 0.5 - 118 ) 2,500/2,000 & 2,360/2,000. GL and let’s go !
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Record stands: 7-6 + 2,355.00 . We finally are here, this is where things are different. Defenses step up and offenses play it a little more carefully than normal. Taking Carolina + 10.5 because, they already have film on how to play against the LAR. They beat them 31/28 on 11/30 and were also 10 pt dogs @ home. A road fav has never in the history of this league have ever covered on the road being favs of 7 pts or higher, never. CAR are 5-2 ATS as dogs @ home this year. They also covered 9/14 games this year as a dog. The first game, CAR were missing 4 starters on defense and they still won. I run my numbers like I always do and I have the Rams being - 9.66 pts , my 10.5 trumps that. Also when the majority of bettors are on the team that have less wins on the season, we are 46-38 ATS since 2023. Also the Rams run play action at the highest rate in the league @ ( 37% ) guess who’s # 1 at defending the P/A , Carolina are. They’ve only allowed on average 5.6 yds per attempt against it. As far as the under is concerned, the weather report shows rain @ 10% , wind @ 16 mph , and humidity @ 60%. In the P/O’s the games slow down. Over 65% of tickets are on the over but , yet the line has been dropping all week long. CAR has the 2nd slowest offense in the league. They only run on average 57.6 plays per game. Give me CAR + 10.5 on a buy ( 0.5 - 125 ) & the U also on a buy ( 0.5 - 118 ) 2,500/2,000 & 2,360/2,000. GL and let’s go !
This line is a solid 10 by me, what is interesting is that Road favorites of 10 points or more in the playoffs have nevercovered in the Superbowl era.........only a couple examples, 5; I beleive but no one has covered and two lost outright, look it up!
So the Rams are going to break that string?
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This line is a solid 10 by me, what is interesting is that Road favorites of 10 points or more in the playoffs have nevercovered in the Superbowl era.........only a couple examples, 5; I beleive but no one has covered and two lost outright, look it up!
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