Just some info for MNF

Question

Yesterday when the public was on a team over 70%, that team lost outright.

SF 77% Minny 23%
Det 73% Tenn 27%
Pitt 71% Oak 29%

Green Bay 72% Seattle 28%

Makes me feel better about my play:

Seattle +3.5

7-0 on the year!

trant308 · Answer

Yesterday when the public was on a team over 70%, that team lost outright.

SF 77% Minny 23%
Det 73% Tenn 27%
Pitt 71% Oak 29%

Green Bay 72% Seattle 28%

Makes me feel better about my play:

Seattle +3.5

7-0 on the year!

Metallica2467 · Answer

GL Viet Bro

KobezKing · Answer

the only thing that scares me is the public does win sometimes. and the books cleaned up on those games. maybe public takes this one. but i myself like seattle

T_Rav1088 · Answer

No way man...there are no such thing as traps. Its vegas's goal to get 50/50 action remember

Thats why we see games above OVER AND OVER again and people still step in the same holes. Its amazing. This is like a hand of poker. What would the book open this line at to get 50/50 action? -6? 7? Then WHY is the number only 3? Who do you think they want you to take...

Give me Seattle + the points FTW GL man.

trant308 · Answer

Thanks peoples.I think Vegas will let one hit. GB or the over. More people are on GB and GB moneyline than the total. I&#39;d rather see that happen. They wouldn&#39;t take a huge hit if Seattle won outright with so few on them.

trant308 · Answer

I also forgot to mention Indianapolis 71% Jacksonville 29% It was a 4 for 4 day yesterday with 71% or more going against the public!

PokerFunds · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by T_Rav1088]  No way man...there are no such thing as traps.  Its vegas&#x27;s goal to get 50/50 action remember&#xD;&#xA;Thats why we see games above OVER AND OVER again and people still step in the same holes.  Its amazing.  This is like a hand of poker.  What would the book open this line at to get 50/50 action?  -6? 7?  Then WHY is the number only 3?  Who do you think they want you to take...&#xD;&#xA;Give me Seattle &#x2B; the points FTW  GL man.  [/Quote]Based on this, I took Seattle &#x2B;3 tonight, GL and great post

nwcrazy · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by T_Rav1088]  No way man...there are no such thing as traps.  Its vegas&#x27;s goal to get 50/50 action remember&#xD;&#xA;Thats why we see games above OVER AND OVER again and people still step in the same holes.  Its amazing.  This is like a hand of poker.  What would the book open this line at to get 50/50 action?  -6? 7?  Then WHY is the number only 3?  Who do you think they want you to take...&#xD;&#xA;Give me Seattle &#x2B; the points FTW  GL man.  [/Quote]The books are baiting people to take GB. And they&#x27;re catching a lot of fish. IMO, many of those taking GB are swayed by the popularity of Rogers and the aura of Green Bay more than they&#x27;d care to admit...and putting objectivity aside.I don&#x27;t mind tho&#x27;...I&#x27;ve made a nice withdrawal today and put 1/2 of my remaining balance on Seattle &#x2B;3.

TheSource2Win · Answer

There are no "fixed" games, people.  Vegas wants one and ONLY one thing... 50/50 on the line so they clean up juice regardless of the outcome.  Period.  Tonight&#x27;s line is right on the money.  Stop the conspiracy theories and cap the game.

Pasteur · Answer

Honestly it&#x27;s hard for me to believe people still think like this.  This was true once upon a time...maybe decades ago.  If their goal was to get 50/50 action on each side, don&#x27;t you think they&#x27;d achieve their goal more often?  Do you really think they just suck at this and can&#x27;t get it right?  Most games have lopsided action on them, and it isn&#x27;t because vegas "didn&#x27;t see it coming".

trant308 · Answer

Anyone mentioned anything about &#39;fixed&#39; games?? No we didn&#39;t.. The public perception of GB destroying Chicago last week makes it seem like they are invincible. If this line was right on the money, it would be GB -7 or more because of that game. So much money is on GB, why is the line still -3 and -3.5?? It should be -5 or -6 by now, but it&#39;s not.

benhogan76 · Answer

Pretty sure week 1 it was 1-2, but 7-0 last 2 weeks and I think at least 6 of them won SU.

IgetMoney101 · Answer

public got slaughtered yesterday  Vegas throws "them" a bone tonight to keep them betting

joshfactor · Answer

lots of examples of public teams winning. never make a play strictly on who bets it, even brandon lang wins sometimes.

trant308 · Answer

Traps are for crabs. So don&#39;t get caught in one...lol

LineKiller28 · Answer

My first 6 years capping I was convinced of the conspiracy...."steam"..."traps" etc.....I became a sage, a true wizard disseminating information as if I was a G5 status.......result: All losing years...Last 6 years capping, I realized its all silly BS and just started capping the games. Result? All profitable years.Just cap the game boys, no bookie friend of mine or book manager ever gave a shit where the score landed at the end...

trant308 · Answer

And with the way these Refs calling the games, I expect the 12th man to get involved in plenty of flags thrown for them tonight.

apeterson8809 · Answer

ALL TRENDS COME TO AN ENDGO PACK GO!GO PACK GO!GO PACK GO!GO PACK GO!

IBD1UNV · Answer

There are no trap games. The only &quot;thing&quot; that makes games look like traps are the perception of the team. Public only remember 1-2 weeks ago. Seattle hung in there at Ari while Philly yesterday got whooped. Then they will also remember a shitty road team that came in to seattle as a favorite also lost and lost bad. So now that gb has a similar situation people are taking seattle? I dont buy it. If GB played seattle 10 games this year i would take gb prob 8 out of he 10 times....today is a big game for gb. If they lose they will fall to 1-2

Hustlehard23 · Answer

It was a big game for the Saints too...and well....

YouWish · Answer

(1) remember, "vegas wants 50/50" means 50% of the $$ coming in, not 50% of bets..

(2) all consensus sites have different numbers, how do we know any of them are correct, and not trying to persuade us one way or the other?..

Bet_The_House · Answer

People tend to forget about the ml bets when saying 70% are on one side... alot of the world prefers to bet the ml rather than the spread

T_Rav1088 · Answer

Its even documented now...guys like RJ bell go on Cowherd all the time.  These casinos are being run by risk guys, who know exactly how much risk to leave themselves vulnerable to.  They have sides just like we do.  There aren&#x27;t &#x27;trap&#x27; games that are fixed, but there are games that they know more than we do about (we being the general public) and when they happen they&#x27;re perfectly fine collecting an 80/20 split.

Just some info for MNF

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