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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    IH8ColdWeather NFL Week 10

    12 Next Last»
    Ih8coldweather
    JFEEZEE
    vankiep_0007
    Wizerguy
    Fuse
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 2969
    Posts: 28
    12 Next Last»
     
    Ih8coldweather
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 5:42 AM ET #1

    Favorites have been winning outright, going big on Wong teasers this week.


    Colts +4 (-110) - 2 units

    Steelers +3 (-110) - 2 units

    Falcons/Saints OVER 46.5 (-110) - 2 units

    Jets -2 (-110) - 2 units

     

    2 team-6 point teasers:

    Vikings -1/Chiefs -1.5 (-110) - 10 units

    Steelers +8.5/49ers -0.5 (-110) - 10 units

    Chargers -1.5/Eagles -1 (-110) - 10 units

    Teaser all six games above for a 6 team, 6 point teaser - 6 units to win 36 units.

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Favorites have been winning outright, going big on Wong teasers this week.


    Colts +4 (-110) - 2 units

    Steelers +3 (-110) - 2 units

    Falcons/Saints OVER 46.5 (-110) - 2 units

    Jets -2 (-110) - 2 units

     

    2 team-6 point teasers:

    Vikings -1/Chiefs -1.5 (-110) - 10 units

    Steelers +8.5/49ers -0.5 (-110) - 10 units

    Chargers -1.5/Eagles -1 (-110) - 10 units

    Teaser all six games above for a 6 team, 6 point teaser - 6 units to win 36 units.

     
    JFEEZEE
    JFEEZEE
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 7:10 AM ET #2

    clover

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    clover

     
    vankiep_0007
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 7:43 AM ET #3

    @Ih8coldweather

     Bol todaypeace_5clover

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    @Ih8coldweather

     Bol todaypeace_5clover

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 11:37 AM ET #4

    @JFEEZEE

     @vankiep_0007

     peace_5

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    @JFEEZEE

     @vankiep_0007

     peace_5

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 12:27 PM ET #5

    some key stats I found….

    Mike Tomlin as a dog is 59-31-3 ATS 

    Mike Tomlin as an underdog vs opponents who have a better record 30-11-1 (73%) 

     

    Kirk Cousins is 9-12-1 ATS off back to back wins 

    39 teams have fired their coach during the season since 03’ those teams are 22-17 ATS the following week.

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    some key stats I found….

    Mike Tomlin as a dog is 59-31-3 ATS 

    Mike Tomlin as an underdog vs opponents who have a better record 30-11-1 (73%) 

     

    Kirk Cousins is 9-12-1 ATS off back to back wins 

    39 teams have fired their coach during the season since 03’ those teams are 22-17 ATS the following week.

     
    Wizerguy
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 12:35 PM ET #6

    @Ih8coldweather

    clover GL buddy ! peace_5

    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
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    @Ih8coldweather

    clover GL buddy ! peace_5

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 12:43 PM ET #7

    @Wizerguy

     Thanks Wizer same to you sir peace_5

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    @Wizerguy

     Thanks Wizer same to you sir peace_5

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 12:45 PM ET #8

    COLD peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    COLD peaceclover

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 12:47 PM ET #9

    Leaning UNDER 39 Chargers/Titans - no official play

    Chargers are 7-1 to the under this year

    Herbert is 17-4 to the under dating back to last year 

    J. Harbough is 28-14-1 to the under in the last 3 years as a HC.

     

    Justin Herbert is 7-0 SU at home as a favorite of 7+ points.

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    Leaning UNDER 39 Chargers/Titans - no official play

    Chargers are 7-1 to the under this year

    Herbert is 17-4 to the under dating back to last year 

    J. Harbough is 28-14-1 to the under in the last 3 years as a HC.

     

    Justin Herbert is 7-0 SU at home as a favorite of 7+ points.

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 4:20 PM ET #10

    Colts +4 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Steelers +3 (-110) - 2 units an_horse

    Falcons/Saints OVER 46.5 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Jets -2 (-110) - 2 units an_horse

     

    2 team-6 point teasers:

    Vikings -1/Chiefs -1.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Steelers +8.5/49ers -0.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Chargers -1.5/Eagles -1 (-110) - 10 units an_horse

    Teaser all six games above for a 6 team, 6 point teaser - 6 units to win 36 units. an_horse

     

    ^ if we hit the six team, six point Wong teaser for 36 units it would be pretty sweet

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    Colts +4 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Steelers +3 (-110) - 2 units an_horse

    Falcons/Saints OVER 46.5 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Jets -2 (-110) - 2 units an_horse

     

    2 team-6 point teasers:

    Vikings -1/Chiefs -1.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Steelers +8.5/49ers -0.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Chargers -1.5/Eagles -1 (-110) - 10 units an_horse

    Teaser all six games above for a 6 team, 6 point teaser - 6 units to win 36 units. an_horse

     

    ^ if we hit the six team, six point Wong teaser for 36 units it would be pretty sweet

     
    C-70Blues
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 6:27 PM ET #11

    Why are you still betting on the Jets???

     

    Self-reliance is more important than artificial intelligence.
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    Why are you still betting on the Jets???

     

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 7:48 PM ET #12

    @C-70Blues

    Go away bro. You’re annoying. I just pick up 60 units go back into your hole.

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    @C-70Blues

    Go away bro. You’re annoying. I just pick up 60 units go back into your hole.

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 7:50 PM ET #13

    Colts +4 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Steelers +3 (-110) - 2 units moneybag

    Falcons/Saints OVER 46.5 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Jets -2 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

     

    2 team-6 point teasers:

    Vikings -1/Chiefs -1.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Steelers +8.5/49ers -0.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Chargers -1.5/Eagles -1 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Teaser all six games above for a 6 team, 6 point teaser - 6 units to win 36 units. moneybag

    peace_5

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    Colts +4 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Steelers +3 (-110) - 2 units moneybag

    Falcons/Saints OVER 46.5 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Jets -2 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

     

    2 team-6 point teasers:

    Vikings -1/Chiefs -1.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Steelers +8.5/49ers -0.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Chargers -1.5/Eagles -1 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Teaser all six games above for a 6 team, 6 point teaser - 6 units to win 36 units. moneybag

    peace_5

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2024 - 8:06 PM ET #14

    SNF:

    Lions/Texans first Q OVER 9.5 - 2 units

    David Montgomery anytime TD - 1 unit

    David Montgomery first TD +450 - 1 unit 

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    SNF:

    Lions/Texans first Q OVER 9.5 - 2 units

    David Montgomery anytime TD - 1 unit

    David Montgomery first TD +450 - 1 unit 

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2024 - 6:58 PM ET #15

    Colts +4 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

     Steelers +3 (-110) - 2 units moneybag

    Falcons/Saints OVER 46.5 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Jets -2 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

     

    2 team-6 point teasers:

    Vikings -1/Chiefs -1.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Steelers +8.5/49ers -0.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Chargers -1.5/Eagles -1 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Teaser all six games above for a 6 team, 6 point teaser - 6 units to win 36 units. moneybag

     

     

    SNF

    Lions/Texans first Q OVER 9.5 - 2 units moneybag

    David Montgomery anytime TD - 1 unit moneybag

    David Montgomery first TD +450 - 1 unit an_burningbag

     

    Up 64 units on the week, got me out of a slump that I had been on the past few weeks. The Jets are done for the season so I can go ahead and burn that futures bet but looking forward, I do believe that the superbowl is primed to be between the Chiefs and the Lions. I wish that I had grabbed this exacta matchup at the beginning of the season at Circa. I will check what the odds were as I do have the Circa odds pre-season at my office. The NFC just isn't as impressive this year as the AFC, and I still see the AFC as the gauntlet for the Chiefs to try to run through. The Chiefs are just so well coached and just find ways to win - something that you love to see in a team. If Mahomes can stay healthy, I think he will find chemistry with D-hop and Kelce looks better each week. Pacheco should be returning soon, and their defense is still an elite unit. The only threat to this team IM very humble opinion was the Bengals, who have no defense this year. I think the Bills/Ravens will both fold as Baltimore can't cover and Buffalo is still plagued with injuries on defense and I don't find their defense to be an elite, championship caliber unit. Lions offensive line is the best in the game and I think they will steam roll any opponent they face, and the thing that sets Detroit up form the rest is their MASSIVE improvement in the secondary. Yes, they have rookie corners but Carlton Davis has brought such a veteran presence to the unit and Branch and Joseph are playing PHENOMENAL. I am so impressed by Branch's ball skills in the secondary and the dude loves to come up and play the run. He is the tone setter for the defense I am going to check the Detroit futures marked going forward. 

    On to MNF......

    Rams ML (-140) - 5 units

    Over 48 (-113) - 5 units 

     

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    Colts +4 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

     Steelers +3 (-110) - 2 units moneybag

    Falcons/Saints OVER 46.5 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

    Jets -2 (-110) - 2 units an_burningbag

     

    2 team-6 point teasers:

    Vikings -1/Chiefs -1.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Steelers +8.5/49ers -0.5 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Chargers -1.5/Eagles -1 (-110) - 10 units moneybag

    Teaser all six games above for a 6 team, 6 point teaser - 6 units to win 36 units. moneybag

     

     

    SNF

    Lions/Texans first Q OVER 9.5 - 2 units moneybag

    David Montgomery anytime TD - 1 unit moneybag

    David Montgomery first TD +450 - 1 unit an_burningbag

     

    Up 64 units on the week, got me out of a slump that I had been on the past few weeks. The Jets are done for the season so I can go ahead and burn that futures bet but looking forward, I do believe that the superbowl is primed to be between the Chiefs and the Lions. I wish that I had grabbed this exacta matchup at the beginning of the season at Circa. I will check what the odds were as I do have the Circa odds pre-season at my office. The NFC just isn't as impressive this year as the AFC, and I still see the AFC as the gauntlet for the Chiefs to try to run through. The Chiefs are just so well coached and just find ways to win - something that you love to see in a team. If Mahomes can stay healthy, I think he will find chemistry with D-hop and Kelce looks better each week. Pacheco should be returning soon, and their defense is still an elite unit. The only threat to this team IM very humble opinion was the Bengals, who have no defense this year. I think the Bills/Ravens will both fold as Baltimore can't cover and Buffalo is still plagued with injuries on defense and I don't find their defense to be an elite, championship caliber unit. Lions offensive line is the best in the game and I think they will steam roll any opponent they face, and the thing that sets Detroit up form the rest is their MASSIVE improvement in the secondary. Yes, they have rookie corners but Carlton Davis has brought such a veteran presence to the unit and Branch and Joseph are playing PHENOMENAL. I am so impressed by Branch's ball skills in the secondary and the dude loves to come up and play the run. He is the tone setter for the defense I am going to check the Detroit futures marked going forward. 

    On to MNF......

    Rams ML (-140) - 5 units

    Over 48 (-113) - 5 units 

     

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2024 - 7:01 PM ET #16

    BOL clover on your play @Ih8coldweather peace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    BOL clover on your play @Ih8coldweather peace_5

     

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2024 - 7:29 PM ET #17

    @Macwestie1

     Thanks Mac peace_5 Maybe the Rams win by 1 point, then we both win/cover?

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    @Macwestie1

     Thanks Mac peace_5 Maybe the Rams win by 1 point, then we both win/cover?

     
    C-70Blues
    C-70Blues
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 6:03 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather:

    @C-70Blues Go away bro. You’re annoying. I just pick up 60 units go back into your hole.

     

    Since you don't update your record when you lose, the question is how much have you lost this season including all your future wagers?

    Self-reliance is more important than artificial intelligence.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather:

    @C-70Blues Go away bro. You’re annoying. I just pick up 60 units go back into your hole.

     

    Since you don't update your record when you lose, the question is how much have you lost this season including all your future wagers?

     
    WilliamMunny
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 9:35 PM ET #19

    That 6 team teaser was beautiful .. nice hit 

     

    I agree I think a Detroit is the best team … great idea on the futures For Super Bowl winner  Detroit is +450 in second .. KC is first +400. Ravens +600. Conference winner I have Detroit at +190

     

    definitely some value there 

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    That 6 team teaser was beautiful .. nice hit 

     

    I agree I think a Detroit is the best team … great idea on the futures For Super Bowl winner  Detroit is +450 in second .. KC is first +400. Ravens +600. Conference winner I have Detroit at +190

     

    definitely some value there 

     
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 9:42 PM ET #20

    I think 2 dimes on KC and Detroit to win Super Bowl is the play. 

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    I think 2 dimes on KC and Detroit to win Super Bowl is the play. 

     
    C-70Blues
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 6:56 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by WilliamMunny:

    I think 2 dimes on KC and Detroit to win Super Bowl is the play.

    Last year at this time people we're saying the same thing about the Eagles...

    Self-reliance is more important than artificial intelligence.
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    Quote Originally Posted by WilliamMunny:

    I think 2 dimes on KC and Detroit to win Super Bowl is the play.

    Last year at this time people we're saying the same thing about the Eagles...

     
    C-70Blues
    C-70Blues
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 5:53 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather: @C-70Blues Go away bro. You’re annoying. I just pick up 60 units go back into your hole.   Since you don't update your record when you lose, the question is how much have you lost this season including all your future wagers?

    Do we need to bump up your old post or can you give us an update on your record this season?

    Self-reliance is more important than artificial intelligence.
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    Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather: @C-70Blues Go away bro. You’re annoying. I just pick up 60 units go back into your hole.   Since you don't update your record when you lose, the question is how much have you lost this season including all your future wagers?

    Do we need to bump up your old post or can you give us an update on your record this season?

     
    Ih8coldweather
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2024 - 1:17 AM ET #23

    @C-70Blues

    You’re an absolute clown stop coming into my threads, scroll right along. I do not care to respond to peasants like you who post nothing and critique, really sad life you live.

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    @C-70Blues

    You’re an absolute clown stop coming into my threads, scroll right along. I do not care to respond to peasants like you who post nothing and critique, really sad life you live.

     
    Ih8coldweather
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2024 - 1:19 AM ET #24

    @WilliamMunny

     You can bet the exact odds

     

    Detroit to beat KC is 13/1

    KC to beat Detroit is 12/1

     

    if you have those tickets in your pocket right now it can give you some creative ways to hedge your position in the future depending on how bullish you are on either team.

    i think KC gets the number one spots and the Ravens/Bills annihilate eachother in the playoffs, and KC will end up beating either team based on talent/experience and a superior defense. The key to KC is the defense.

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    @WilliamMunny

     You can bet the exact odds

     

    Detroit to beat KC is 13/1

    KC to beat Detroit is 12/1

     

    if you have those tickets in your pocket right now it can give you some creative ways to hedge your position in the future depending on how bullish you are on either team.

    i think KC gets the number one spots and the Ravens/Bills annihilate eachother in the playoffs, and KC will end up beating either team based on talent/experience and a superior defense. The key to KC is the defense.

     
     
    C-70Blues
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2024 - 6:45 PM ET #25

    This is the time of year when teams start to show their true colors. Never confuse the top teams in early November as the sure-fire super bowl participants. Last year the Eagles were the top team. In 2020 it was the Pittsburgh Steelers. 

    And what is wrong with asking what your season totals are? You freely post your thoughts and picks and I'm curious if your winnings back up your predictions. 

    Self-reliance is more important than artificial intelligence.
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    This is the time of year when teams start to show their true colors. Never confuse the top teams in early November as the sure-fire super bowl participants. Last year the Eagles were the top team. In 2020 it was the Pittsburgh Steelers. 

    And what is wrong with asking what your season totals are? You freely post your thoughts and picks and I'm curious if your winnings back up your predictions. 

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