What is going on fam! New year of Football, thank god the NFL is back. Just got back from Vegas to register for the Circa Millions, first time doing this. I hope everyone had an excellent summer and is ready to get back in on the action. I have a lot of futures action that will try to recap, but for now I am going to post my week 1 plays. I did get these lines early because, well, if you wait until 2 days before the games start you wont get CLV or the best of the number. After all, these lines have been posted all summer and have been beat into place.
NYG +7 (-120) - 5 unit play
Steelers -2.5 (-130) - 4 unit play
Broncos -7 (-120) - 5 unit play
Yes, I realize these lines have all moved, except for the Steelers -2.5. I would still play the Giants at +6 and the Steelers at -2.5, I would not put Denver in -120 teasers if you can still find a Denver -8.5 (some books have 9?)
NYG - I think the Giants can be sneaky good. Russel Wilson or Jaxon Dart at QB is an upgrade from Daniel Jones, and their O-line, when healthy, has the capability of being a solid unit. The defense is what is the most impressive, however. They have, probably, three best edge rushers in Brian Burns, Kayvon Thibideaux, and Abdul Carter. They also have Dexter Lawrence in the middle. Who is getting double teamed and who is going to have a free edge rush? Just too many points for a divisional game against a Commanders squad that should regress back to the mean. Their O-line is no match for this front 7. I love Jayden McDaniels but could he have a Sophomore slump like CJ Stroud?
Steelers - Have arguably one of the best defensive units. The Jets start Justin Fields at QB. Can the guy throw? How is he going to move the ball against this defense. One could say the same about Rodgers but I like the Steelers in this revenge spot for AR. The deciding factor in this game is the fact that the Jets O-line will not be able to block the Steelers pass rush. Alija-Vera Tucker, their first round pick, is hurt once again with another season ending injury. Safe to say this guy probably isn't going to be playing much longer in the NFL. They move Joe Tippman, their starting C to Guard and Josh Meyers, who actually played center for the Packers moves to C. A lot of shifting for the line before the game. I think Fields will be under duress all game and I see him good for a couple of sacks and an INT to set the Steelers up in good field position.
season @Ih8coldweather 
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