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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    I'm going all in on chiefs ml and under 51.5 tomorrow

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    chillinghard09
    dchance
    jpot34
    camby700
    davemsh
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    chillinghard09
    chillinghard09
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 12:46 AM ET #1

    Someone convince me otherwise I'm in a big whole I lost $1700 this weekend, I'm going to bet $531 to win $824 to get some of my money back and then if I hopefully win I'll bet 900 to win back until I'm even

     

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    Someone convince me otherwise I'm in a big whole I lost $1700 this weekend, I'm going to bet $531 to win $824 to get some of my money back and then if I hopefully win I'll bet 900 to win back until I'm even

     

     
    dchance
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 12:48 AM ET #2

    Raiders are gonna win straight up bro, don’t do it lol

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    Raiders are gonna win straight up bro, don’t do it lol

     
    chillinghard09
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 12:51 AM ET #3

    @dchance

     That's what happened to me today with cinci I was going back and forth and almost bet on them but I thought how could ravens lose in this big game and I lost my bet by 1 point and the browns burned me earlier with a missed fg. I had a horrible weekend. At first I was only down $200 then down $400 and I thought that was bad and now I'm down $1700 in a big hole... 

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    @dchance

     That's what happened to me today with cinci I was going back and forth and almost bet on them but I thought how could ravens lose in this big game and I lost my bet by 1 point and the browns burned me earlier with a missed fg. I had a horrible weekend. At first I was only down $200 then down $400 and I thought that was bad and now I'm down $1700 in a big hole... 

     
    jpot34
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:10 AM ET #4

    @chillinghard09

     Never, ever chase. This is what the books want you to do. Learn money management.

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS! Yes, I'm a sinner!!
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    @chillinghard09

     Never, ever chase. This is what the books want you to do. Learn money management.

     
    camby700
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:13 AM ET #5

    What could possibly go wrong

    peace_5

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    What could possibly go wrong

    peace_5

     
    davemsh
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:14 AM ET #6

    There is a reason for SNF and especially MNF.. cool… 

    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    There is a reason for SNF and especially MNF.. cool… 

     
    chillinghard09
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:16 AM ET #7

    @jpot34

     This is what happened to me I was down $200 ok Saturday and I thought that was a big deal and now I'm down $1900 because I was chasing that $200 and ended up chasing another 700 and then went big on the raiders and lost. I'm so sad right now I'm down to my last $531 and going to go all in tomorrow on chiefs ml and the over/under which I'm still deciding about. I'm hoping that I can go 2-0 and then bet one more time to break even. turn my $531 into $1000 and then turn that into $2000 and then ill be happy 

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    @jpot34

     This is what happened to me I was down $200 ok Saturday and I thought that was a big deal and now I'm down $1900 because I was chasing that $200 and ended up chasing another 700 and then went big on the raiders and lost. I'm so sad right now I'm down to my last $531 and going to go all in tomorrow on chiefs ml and the over/under which I'm still deciding about. I'm hoping that I can go 2-0 and then bet one more time to break even. turn my $531 into $1000 and then turn that into $2000 and then ill be happy 

     
    chillinghard09
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:17 AM ET #8

    @camby700

     What could wrong is that I lose my last bet and then I'm out for the season. I totally got mushed on browns ml and ravens -3. The la Rams ml bet was just looking for trouble I'm so mad at how my day ended I thought the ravens was a lock from the 1q they looked so good and then it ended so bad

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    @camby700

     What could wrong is that I lose my last bet and then I'm out for the season. I totally got mushed on browns ml and ravens -3. The la Rams ml bet was just looking for trouble I'm so mad at how my day ended I thought the ravens was a lock from the 1q they looked so good and then it ended so bad

     
    jpot34
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:23 AM ET #9

    @chillinghard09

     It's your money, but this usually doesn't end well. Chasing is for losers!

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS! Yes, I'm a sinner!!
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    @chillinghard09

     It's your money, but this usually doesn't end well. Chasing is for losers!

     
    chillinghard09
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:26 AM ET #10

    @jpot34

     I'm down $1900 nd devastated. I should have just played smaller when I was down $200 but I upped my bets and now I'm down a lot more. I got myself in a hole here and have $500 left to play with. I want to go all in tomorrow and then turn that into 1000 then go all in again and turn that into 2000 and then I'll only be down 500 and semi happy and could win that 500 back slower. I'm feeling devastated after today and I want to win back that 1900. How would you play it? You think I'm stupid for wanting to go 2-0 and earn it back quickly?

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    @jpot34

     I'm down $1900 nd devastated. I should have just played smaller when I was down $200 but I upped my bets and now I'm down a lot more. I got myself in a hole here and have $500 left to play with. I want to go all in tomorrow and then turn that into 1000 then go all in again and turn that into 2000 and then I'll only be down 500 and semi happy and could win that 500 back slower. I'm feeling devastated after today and I want to win back that 1900. How would you play it? You think I'm stupid for wanting to go 2-0 and earn it back quickly?

     
    camby700
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:28 AM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    @chillinghard09  It's your money, but this usually doesn't end well. Chasing is for losers!

    an_light

    Divisional matchups this year have produced unders 85% of the time 

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    @chillinghard09  It's your money, but this usually doesn't end well. Chasing is for losers!

    an_light

    Divisional matchups this year have produced unders 85% of the time 

    peace_5

     
    davemsh
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:29 AM ET #12

    @chillinghard09

     Would u still play the parlay if u were up $1700? That should be your answer to playing the parlay tomorrow . Also football is not going away. Its a new week next week.  U can easily turn $500 to $2-3k. When u get hot u get hot.  Take a few days off. Then restart up again. 

    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    @chillinghard09

     Would u still play the parlay if u were up $1700? That should be your answer to playing the parlay tomorrow . Also football is not going away. Its a new week next week.  U can easily turn $500 to $2-3k. When u get hot u get hot.  Take a few days off. Then restart up again. 

     
    jpot34
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:31 AM ET #13

    @chillinghard09

     Yes, what you want to do is not smart. It's a slow process, not a sprint. I've been messing with this hobby for 25 years and have learned what you are contemplating is crazy.

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS! Yes, I'm a sinner!!
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    @chillinghard09

     Yes, what you want to do is not smart. It's a slow process, not a sprint. I've been messing with this hobby for 25 years and have learned what you are contemplating is crazy.

     
    jpot34
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:33 AM ET #14

    @camby700

     I'm a side guy only but looks very solid trend! peace_5

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS! Yes, I'm a sinner!!
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    @camby700

     I'm a side guy only but looks very solid trend! peace_5

     
    chillinghard09
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:34 AM ET #15

    @davemsh

     I'm devastated I was so happy to have a bankroll and now it's almost gone. What unit size would you do for $500 br? I want to earn the $1700 I'm down as soon as possible. I always fuckup, I used to have a 100k bankroll that I built from 1k but I fucked up on cowboys vs bills on Thanksgiving day and lost 50k in one game and then chased it again and lost everything it hurts thinking about what I could have done with that money. But that was the and this is now, ravens and browns completely screwed me today I got really unlucky with missed fgs and bad penalties. My bankroll is $500 now and I need to accept that and come up with a plan for tomorrow and this week or else it's all gonna be gone. but I'm thinking go all in 2x and pray to God that I win and get back some of my losses. Going 2-0 would mean $500 +1000 and I would get back $1500 and only be down 400 which isn't too bad but my gut tells me to go slower but I don't like betting small units like $15 it makes the game more exciting when I have at least $100 on it 

     

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    @davemsh

     I'm devastated I was so happy to have a bankroll and now it's almost gone. What unit size would you do for $500 br? I want to earn the $1700 I'm down as soon as possible. I always fuckup, I used to have a 100k bankroll that I built from 1k but I fucked up on cowboys vs bills on Thanksgiving day and lost 50k in one game and then chased it again and lost everything it hurts thinking about what I could have done with that money. But that was the and this is now, ravens and browns completely screwed me today I got really unlucky with missed fgs and bad penalties. My bankroll is $500 now and I need to accept that and come up with a plan for tomorrow and this week or else it's all gonna be gone. but I'm thinking go all in 2x and pray to God that I win and get back some of my losses. Going 2-0 would mean $500 +1000 and I would get back $1500 and only be down 400 which isn't too bad but my gut tells me to go slower but I don't like betting small units like $15 it makes the game more exciting when I have at least $100 on it 

     

     
    chillinghard09
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:36 AM ET #16

    @jpot34

     So you do like the under for tomorrow? Looking at the cheifs last games most of them went over

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    @jpot34

     So you do like the under for tomorrow? Looking at the cheifs last games most of them went over

     
    jpot34
    jpot34
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:41 AM ET #17

    @chillinghard09

     I don't do totals. I'm still capping the game. If I bet it at all it will be 5 minutes prior to kickoff. Gotta watch the line movement and where the money flows along with other factors. Like Dave said, you need to chill so you can get off tilt mode.

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS! Yes, I'm a sinner!!
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    @chillinghard09

     I don't do totals. I'm still capping the game. If I bet it at all it will be 5 minutes prior to kickoff. Gotta watch the line movement and where the money flows along with other factors. Like Dave said, you need to chill so you can get off tilt mode.

     
    jpot34
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 2:46 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by chillinghard09:

    @jpot34  I'm down $1900 nd devastated. I should have just played smaller when I was down $200 but I upped my bets and now I'm down a lot more. I got myself in a hole here and have $500 left to play with. I want to go all in tomorrow and then turn that into 1000 then go all in again and turn that into 2000 and then I'll only be down 500 and semi happy and could win that 500 back slower. I'm feeling devastated after today and I want to win back that 1900. How would you play it? You think I'm stupid for wanting to go 2-0 and earn it back quickly?

    Why would you make 2 separate bets on one game when your down? IMHO, you're making it twice as hard to make money.

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS! Yes, I'm a sinner!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by chillinghard09:

    @jpot34  I'm down $1900 nd devastated. I should have just played smaller when I was down $200 but I upped my bets and now I'm down a lot more. I got myself in a hole here and have $500 left to play with. I want to go all in tomorrow and then turn that into 1000 then go all in again and turn that into 2000 and then I'll only be down 500 and semi happy and could win that 500 back slower. I'm feeling devastated after today and I want to win back that 1900. How would you play it? You think I'm stupid for wanting to go 2-0 and earn it back quickly?

    Why would you make 2 separate bets on one game when your down? IMHO, you're making it twice as hard to make money.

     
    chic-cardinals
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 3:16 AM ET #19

    The OP.

    You have to question whether these are real posters. 

     

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    The OP.

    You have to question whether these are real posters. 

     

     
    Ppkay
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 3:43 AM ET #20

    There so much football left.  You cant recover if you lose it all MNF.  There at least one bet a week where its has a high chance of winning. 

    You turned 1k to 100k it didnt happen over a week.

    When your hot your unstoppable.

    The same is true when your cold.  You cant buy a win.

    Do you keep betting larger amounts with each passing win?

    No one i know does.  But too much keep betting larger amounts when they lose though to recover!

    Makes no sense.

    Most of the best odds tend to come near the end of the season.  After bye weeks and during the playoffs.  

     

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    There so much football left.  You cant recover if you lose it all MNF.  There at least one bet a week where its has a high chance of winning. 

    You turned 1k to 100k it didnt happen over a week.

    When your hot your unstoppable.

    The same is true when your cold.  You cant buy a win.

    Do you keep betting larger amounts with each passing win?

    No one i know does.  But too much keep betting larger amounts when they lose though to recover!

    Makes no sense.

    Most of the best odds tend to come near the end of the season.  After bye weeks and during the playoffs.  

     

     
    Skanless1
    Skanless1
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 3:44 AM ET #21

    Don’t be stupid 

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    Don’t be stupid 

     
    BANKROLLFRESH
    BANKROLLFRESH
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    Posts: 671
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 4:10 AM ET #22

    Game over 51 for me! Will be a shootout!

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    Game over 51 for me! Will be a shootout!

     
    Packersfan12
    Packersfan12
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 7:35 AM ET #23

    It’s the only game for tonight and the public will bet the over like usual , not so fast under 51.5 is the right side. Also this is a sandwich spot for KC because they play bills next week . 80% of bets and money are on KC but the line has not moved from -7 which means sharp money is on the raiders. +7 is the correct play for tonight. Bets of luck everyone 

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    It’s the only game for tonight and the public will bet the over like usual , not so fast under 51.5 is the right side. Also this is a sandwich spot for KC because they play bills next week . 80% of bets and money are on KC but the line has not moved from -7 which means sharp money is on the raiders. +7 is the correct play for tonight. Bets of luck everyone 

     
    Drew61
    Drew61
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 7:49 AM ET #24

    @chillinghard09

    We know ur down bro stop repeating urself sounds like u been up all night and can’t sleep over these losses u had this betting is worse then drugs … I was up 900 last weekend going into Sunday night and carelessly bet all all on the losing side slept like a baby and all last week I was kicking myself … going all in and chasing is part of the betting bug need to learn to take ur Ls and move on it’s a marathon not a sprint never chase and learn to BR manage better believe me I’m taking my own advice not going all in anymore 

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    @chillinghard09

    We know ur down bro stop repeating urself sounds like u been up all night and can’t sleep over these losses u had this betting is worse then drugs … I was up 900 last weekend going into Sunday night and carelessly bet all all on the losing side slept like a baby and all last week I was kicking myself … going all in and chasing is part of the betting bug need to learn to take ur Ls and move on it’s a marathon not a sprint never chase and learn to BR manage better believe me I’m taking my own advice not going all in anymore 

     
     
    Ppkay
    Ppkay
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2022 - 7:56 AM ET #25

    Chiefs at home versus raiders today

    Gb at home versus jets next week

    Tom brady on the road versus pitts next week

    ML parlay 3 team pays 1 to 1.05

    Is a better allin.  High chance you double up that 500.

    Perfect example of there always better opportunites.

     

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    Chiefs at home versus raiders today

    Gb at home versus jets next week

    Tom brady on the road versus pitts next week

    ML parlay 3 team pays 1 to 1.05

    Is a better allin.  High chance you double up that 500.

    Perfect example of there always better opportunites.

     

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