I am buying out of SEATTLE -4 (-115)

playoffs=1 and site=neutral and F and total<57.5 and line<-2.5

(2-13) -10.2 points

PLAY ON :

NEW ENGLAND +4.5

PLAY ON:

1. NE +10.5 and UNDER 52 (-110) 5%

2. NE +4.5 (-110) 5%

GOOD LUCK!

The algo suggests a final score of

(25-21) NEW ENGLAND

So, a sprinkle on the DOG moneyline +195 (1.5%)

I am hoping CCC fades these plays

CCC= covers congruent capper...he knows who he is

Even without those total and line filters these DOGS have gone

(18-6) 75% ATS

There’s plenty of trends to support both sides in the game. How do you decide that one is so strong that you ignore the others? Although there are trends that are hard to ignore, they all end eventually. Have trends brought you success in past Super Bowls? 

@brn2loslive2win

 Yes, for me it is Pat's or no bet on the side.

I have never bet a Favorite since 2001, I would not want to get run over by the trend I posted.

Good Luck

My earlier Seattle pick was based on Maye's injury

Here's a trend for you.

Teams that failed to cover the spread in their Conference Championship Game are 4-10 SU and 2-11-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.

@DJK

 This is exactly my point. I’ve heard strong trends that support both sides (as you will find in basically any sporting event). Just don’t see how you can make a bet based on any specific trend in this SB.

Hard to handicap randomness,turnovers, officiating decisions ,coaching decisions and like.  Sometimes one has to disregard trends and appreciate each game as being a separate,unique event unto itself. Hence,never any certainty. All imo. How effectively does one make decisions in this setting of uncertainty and risk, potential monetary loss? Have a repeatable process with an edge?  

There is always flipping a coin,I suppose.

Good Luck

Turnovers should be in that equation. 

• Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks have 28 turnovers, and their ability to win is heavily dependent on the turnover margin, with a 77% win rate when they commit fewer turnovers than their opponent.
• New England Patriots: The Patriots have demonstrated better care of the ball with 16 total turnovers, winning 60% of their games when they hold the advantage in turnovers. 

I never was good at algebra. Any chance you could translate that angle into English for us techno challenged old farts? Thanks in advance.

Good choice. The under for certain and New England ML is solid.

This makes me love pats even more!!!  Due for a cover for the pats then 

@jowchoo

 Bro no need to try to convince others why ur taking Pats!  Im also on pats and pats ml

fyi, i rode on seattle -6.5 and seattle -2.5 the past 2 weeks… not this time around

Obviously, you are not a baccarat player.  LOL

Never buck the trend.  If you are winning with Seattle then stick with them until it loses.

I had Denver and Los Angeles in a 6 pt teaser, so I didn't have too much of sweat in the conference games.  It's too bad that I don't have something to match Seattle ML to reduce the juice to bet even more as I already made Seattle ML -205 bet at DK.  I thought about parlaying Alcaraz -300 with Seattle ML -225 which then the juice becomes -108, but I just couldn't pull the trigger after seeing how Djokovic beat Sinner in the Semi.

actually i use to play bacc often and big before!!!  I always shoot against long streaks

i just cant back seattle for 3 straight times… i just got lucky that sea chickens covered agsinst niners in santa clara, then in seattle and in seattel again… again i hit with them against SF in seattle and with them agsinst rams… i just cant see them winning it all.. just my take… also im usually a underdog backer in the SB.  Good luck with ur bet 

No problem. The only neutral site game in the playoffs by definition is the Super Bowl. So, when the totalis less than 57.5 AND

the favorite is at least by 2.5 points then since 2001 the DOG is (13-2) ATS covering the line by 10.2 pts.

If you eliminate those total/line filters the ATS is (18-6) by 8.2 pts to the DOG

Imo very hard to get in front of that kind of trend unless injuries are involved

GOOD LUCK!

@jowchoo

 Thanks brother! BOL! 

Needless to say, you cannot win in baccarat betting against any type of trends; especially when you are betting doing the Martingale.  It's much better to follow the trends since you will lose only once when the trends break.  It's as simple as that.

And now you are betting on sports thinking the same that something is "due"?  Nothing is due.  If anything the luck is due to run out for the Patriots.

The way I see it, Seattle should win as they are the better team.  Why else would the sharps be all over -3.5 when the line opened and caused it to move to -4.5 to -5?

Later comers or last minute bettors are usually wrong (think long think wrong) and I'm just hoping that they will make the bet percentage higher on the Patriots, then I will feel even better about my Seattle ML wager.  If the bet percentage stays lopsided on Seattle by the kick off, then I may have to reconsider my position and bet some on New England but definitely not on their ML.