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Huge potential situational bet for Week 2.

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by nikki_santoro:

this looks extremely square but im buying it to -3 or -4 Seattle

Wilson has improved drastically from last year and it will show Sunday.. the big difference in this game is the days to prepare.. Seattle has 10 days San Diego 6.. The chargers wont be able to run and will be in dump off mode which wont work also, we all know gates will be a non factor Sunday...take a look at what the hawks have done to graham in the last couple matchups.. 

Chargers Def also looked great bc they didnt have to worry about staying in their lanes with a non mobile QB in palmer... ill take the bait at seatlle -4

I agree with the other poster about buying points. If you're buying points don't bet the game. However ill quote your post because I think people should take note on the fact you pointed out SD D not staying in there lanes with Palmer....Wilson will be a different game style, he always is and SD D won't be able to handle him with the run option turned on. SEA -5.5 for me.
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

Quote Originally Posted by nikki_santoro:

this looks extremely square but im buying it to -3 or -4 SeattleWilson has improved drastically from last year and it will show Sunday.. the big difference in this game is the days to prepare.. Seattle has 10 days San Diego 6.. The chargers wont be able to run and will be in dump off mode which wont work also, we all know gates will be a non factor Sunday...take a look at what the hawks have done to graham in the last couple matchups.. Chargers Def also looked great bc they didnt have to worry about staying in their lanes with a non mobile QB in palmer... ill take the bait at seatlle -4
By this post, there is 0% chance you make money betting football.  Buying points.  lol  Geez.  When will people learn?  If you have to buy points to make a bet, don't make the bet.  Only true degenerates buy points.


Buying points is for degenerates???
Not true lol but you're intittled to your opinion. Good luck with your bet.
 
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Posted: #53
Well, my sources say that SD's Gates is OUT against the Hawks.
I locked Sea -5.5 for some Free money.
I also locked Det +2.5 for some more FREE money.
 
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Posted: #54
Lots of tough lines this week.
A third Free money play --Tampa bay -5.5 against the Rams who lost key player in Long and by gosh coach is in the hot seat. 

A fourth Free money play --Oak +3 @ home against Houston which won 2 games last year and won this year against the worst team in FB. 
staying away from all other games in week 2.
 
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Posted: #55
Silly comment. Have you ever bet the Money Line on a favorite? That is exactly the same thing as buying points. More silliness (sic..ha) Do you know why points spreads were created? See 1940s and books that could not make money.
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:


By this post, there is 0% chance you make money betting football.  

Buying points.  lol  Geez.  When will people learn?  If you have to buy points to make a bet, don't make the bet.  Only true degenerates buy points.
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:


I'm not betting them to win outright.  That is just my prediction.  And to overreact after a home win against a team that lost their RB and RT is shortsighted.  If they're so good,  you think they go 16-0?  They won't.  They may go 14-2, but this will be one of their losses, IMO.  

Papa I watched them all last year and saw them this year I am not overreacting.  They could go 16-0 but I think 14-2 13-3 is more likely.  They got a great team with a superb defense.  Taking the points isn't a bad play but money line will not hit, Seahawks will win this game.  Gl this week I am going to pass on this game I can't bet against the Hawks.
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by imsparty1:

Well, my sources say that SD's Gates is OUT against the Hawks.
I locked Sea -5.5 for some Free money.
I also locked Det +2.5 for some more FREE money.


Gates' backup is actually an upgrade to the position….
 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by imsparty1:

Silly comment. Have you ever bet the Money Line on a favorite? That is exactly the same thing as buying points. More silliness (sic..ha) Do you know why points spreads were created? See 1940s and books that could not make money.
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

By this post, there is 0% chance you make money betting football.  Buying points.  lol  Geez.  When will people learn?  If you have to buy points to make a bet, don't make the bet.  Only true degenerates buy points.

Love the comment and the picks.
I have all of them and added colts -3 .
At the end of the day we all hope to come up on top. Degenerate if you bet out of your means, degenerate won't know when to stop after being in a hole (chasing money) etc etc but to buy points? Some people buy points to close out a already confident bet or to avoid a push etc etc. again just my opinion but I'm also not one to judge ones betting ways. I wish everyone all the luck this weekend.
 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by imsparty1:

Silly comment. Have you ever bet the Money Line on a favorite? That is exactly the same thing as buying points. More silliness (sic..ha) Do you know why points spreads were created? See 1940s and books that could not make money.
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

By this post, there is 0% chance you make money betting football.  Buying points.  lol  Geez.  When will people learn?  If you have to buy points to make a bet, don't make the bet.  Only true degenerates buy points.

Love the comment and the picks.
I have all of them and added colts -3 .
At the end of the day we all hope to come up on top. Degenerate if you bet out of your means, degenerate won't know when to stop after being in a hole (chasing money) etc etc but to buy points? Some people buy points to close out a already confident bet or to avoid a push etc etc. again just my opinion but I'm also not one to judge ones betting ways. I wish everyone all the luck this weekend.
 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by LVcapper3:

Seahawks 10 days rest

Chargers 6 days rest

Not a smart move, seattle cruises here

 

I think this is a big factor. Seattle -6

 
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Posted: #61
Shango there is a chance this line will go up to +6 or +6.5 by game time..... public will be all over Seattle....

Every team gets up to play the Superbowl champs..... Seattle is good on the ride but nowhere near the team they are at home. Chargers have enough physicality to bang with them. 


 
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Posted: #62
road*
 
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Posted: #63
I am a huge Seahawks game and the Chargers +6 play is spot on.  The Seahawks playing poorly on the road is not the issue; playing on grass will be.  This defense, which dominates opponents with speed, will not be as effective on grass.  GL Papa.  
 
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Posted: #64
Any team can beat any other team any given Sunday! Never count out any team when placing a bet on them SU or ATS!!!
 
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Posted: #65
Word. Line went up to 6 but now back to 5.5
 
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Posted: #66
Situationally. great numbers and texture for the SD cover. From on paper and what i know about these two teams the risk isn't worth the reward. SD'a defense did look good last week most of the game but I see their offense sputtering against the hawks. SD plays ugly, unfocused and don't think their offense is much improved from last season. gameplan to shut down Floyd and Allen and SD is in real trouble. SD is gonna have to shut down the run to stay close like they did in AZ but its gonna be tough. It's the NFL and we know any team is upset prone but just not enough points for me here. BOL
 
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Posted: #67
Personally, I don't like Seattle.

Professionally, this team is head and shoulders above the rest of this league. They play smart, they have great team speed, and they have workman like attitudes now that Golden Tate has been dealt.

Rivers has always been mediocre, the passing game and running game are mediocre. Just not seeing it here.

Seattle is my NFL pick of the week.
M4N
 
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Posted: #68
 
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Posted: #69

NFL should be called the overreaction league.. Far too often, people fade the teams that lose badly the week before, and favor the teams that kill the week before.. 

As the season wears on , you learn there are teams that you never play, and those that you never fade...  

We are only week 2, but I think it's too premature to start fading the 'Hawks here. in this spot.. To me , it's a  no play or 'Hawks.  

 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by imsparty1:

Well, my sources say that SD's Gates is OUT against the Hawks.
I locked Sea -5.5 for some Free money.
I also locked Det +2.5 for some more FREE money.

Those bets will both lose.  
 
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Posted: #71
Negative. Det +2.5 is free money.
 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by AdamD:

Negative. Det +2.5 is free money.

lol
 
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Posted: #73
:) ...your avatar shakes the confidence of my picks
 
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Posted: #74

We think exactly alike Papa, check out what I said on Monday in my post....I completely agree and have had this one circled since the opening Seachalk game....Lets rock baby I think they pull it off and upset all together!

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101945625

I got a wole bag of other similar predictions with spots I am foreseeing tonight, may make a post about some leans regarding that. Pop in and let me know what you think If i do. BOL

 
 
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Posted: #75
I'm all over the Chargers +6 here.  I see this being a close game, a roughly 3-5 point Seattle win, but won't be surprised to see the Chargers upset the SB champs either.  Chargers will be up for this game, while I can see a let down for the Seahawks
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