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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    HUGE PLAY TONIGHT

    «First Previous 12
    dcbets4lf
    rhgambler
    RSampsell
    Verdict
    vanzack
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 5403
    Posts: 36
    «First Previous 12
     
    dcbets4lf
    dcbets4lf
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 11:50 AM ET #26

    @SportsIntuition

     an_cheers good call SI

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    @SportsIntuition

     an_cheers good call SI

     
    dcbets4lf
    dcbets4lf
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 11:53 AM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    @chickenheadant  I don't care about "clicks" or anything else but winning. And I'm just trying to contribute and help us win. And you know you are winning when trolls show up and try to find fault with other things. First, their obsession was with [-20] and that didn't work, so now we are on the word "huge". What's next? Oh wait, "an uphill battle with regression".  Trolls literally pray that those who are winning lose. How pathetic do you have to be to wish bad things for others?

     

    I know you know but pay no attention to these trolls. People just want to try to drag others down, especially when they are successful. It's as American as apple pie. It's bonkers when you think about it. Keep doing what you're doing, the majority on here thank you for your picks. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    @chickenheadant  I don't care about "clicks" or anything else but winning. And I'm just trying to contribute and help us win. And you know you are winning when trolls show up and try to find fault with other things. First, their obsession was with [-20] and that didn't work, so now we are on the word "huge". What's next? Oh wait, "an uphill battle with regression".  Trolls literally pray that those who are winning lose. How pathetic do you have to be to wish bad things for others?

     

    I know you know but pay no attention to these trolls. People just want to try to drag others down, especially when they are successful. It's as American as apple pie. It's bonkers when you think about it. Keep doing what you're doing, the majority on here thank you for your picks. 

     
    rhgambler
    rhgambler
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 1:03 PM ET #28

    an_cheersmoneybag

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    an_cheersmoneybag

     
    RSampsell
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 1:45 PM ET #29

    @Verdict

    Hope this clears things up 

    Here ya go

    GOY - 48-52% chance of winning

    POD - 48-52% chance of winning

    LOCK - 48-52% chance of winning

    Can't Miss pick - 48-52% chance of winning

    Inside information - 48-52% chance of winning

    Hot Pick - 48-52% chance of winning

    Huge play - 48-52% chance of winning

    Lead, Follow or get the hell out of the way
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    @Verdict

    Hope this clears things up 

    Here ya go

    GOY - 48-52% chance of winning

    POD - 48-52% chance of winning

    LOCK - 48-52% chance of winning

    Can't Miss pick - 48-52% chance of winning

    Inside information - 48-52% chance of winning

    Hot Pick - 48-52% chance of winning

    Huge play - 48-52% chance of winning

     
    Verdict
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 1:52 PM ET #30

    @RSampsell

     So if I put this in my "Power Totals Number"  > Don't even ask. It all comes down to a coin flip at a slightly better %. Thanks for taking the time to educate me. Good Luck clover

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    @RSampsell

     So if I put this in my "Power Totals Number"  > Don't even ask. It all comes down to a coin flip at a slightly better %. Thanks for taking the time to educate me. Good Luck clover

     
    vanzack
    vanzack
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    Posts: 60107
    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 1:56 PM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by RSampsell:

    @Verdict Hope this clears things up  Here ya go GOY - 48-52% chance of winning POD - 48-52% chance of winning LOCK - 48-52% chance of winning Can't Miss pick - 48-52% chance of winning Inside information - 48-52% chance of winning Hot Pick - 48-52% chance of winning Huge play - 48-52% chance of winning

    Dont forget the -120 on every bet that SportsTuition pays for.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by RSampsell:

    @Verdict Hope this clears things up  Here ya go GOY - 48-52% chance of winning POD - 48-52% chance of winning LOCK - 48-52% chance of winning Can't Miss pick - 48-52% chance of winning Inside information - 48-52% chance of winning Hot Pick - 48-52% chance of winning Huge play - 48-52% chance of winning

    Dont forget the -120 on every bet that SportsTuition pays for.

     
    SportsIntuition
    SportsIntuition
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    Posts: 2127
    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 4:03 PM ET #32

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    Quote Originally Posted by RSampsell: @Verdict Hope this clears things up  Here ya go GOY - 48-52% chance of winning POD - 48-52% chance of winning LOCK - 48-52% chance of winning Can't Miss pick - 48-52% chance of winning Inside information - 48-52% chance of winning Hot Pick - 48-52% chance of winning Huge play - 48-52% chance of winning Dont forget the -120 on every bet that SportsTuition pays for.

     

    30-18-1 NFL

    35-27 CFB

    20 games over .500.

    To keep simple:

    Every Pick is to win 1 unit

    Every loss is at [-20]

    65 wins = 65 units won

    45 losses = 54 units lost

    Total combined units = 11 units won

    And still at the targeted season goal of 60%.

    Life is good no matter how you try to spin it.

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    Quote Originally Posted by RSampsell: @Verdict Hope this clears things up  Here ya go GOY - 48-52% chance of winning POD - 48-52% chance of winning LOCK - 48-52% chance of winning Can't Miss pick - 48-52% chance of winning Inside information - 48-52% chance of winning Hot Pick - 48-52% chance of winning Huge play - 48-52% chance of winning Dont forget the -120 on every bet that SportsTuition pays for.

     

    30-18-1 NFL

    35-27 CFB

    20 games over .500.

    To keep simple:

    Every Pick is to win 1 unit

    Every loss is at [-20]

    65 wins = 65 units won

    45 losses = 54 units lost

    Total combined units = 11 units won

    And still at the targeted season goal of 60%.

    Life is good no matter how you try to spin it.

    peace_5

     
    vanzack
    vanzack
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    Joined: Nov, 2001
    Posts: 60107
    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 5:08 PM ET #33

    @SportsTuition

     

    65-54 is not 60%.

    It is 54.6%.  

    Congratulations on 54.6%.  That is definitely not a horrible situation, and will be even more HUGE over the next 100 picks.

    peace_5

     

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    @SportsTuition

     

    65-54 is not 60%.

    It is 54.6%.  

    Congratulations on 54.6%.  That is definitely not a horrible situation, and will be even more HUGE over the next 100 picks.

    peace_5

     

     
    SportsIntuition
    SportsIntuition
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    Posts: 2127
    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 5:51 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    @SportsTuition   65-54 is not 60%. It is 54.6%.   Congratulations on 54.6%.  That is definitely not a horrible situation, and will be even more HUGE over the next 100 picks.

    My math is correct, yours is an attempt to try distort the numbers.

    The combined record of 65-45, which is independent of units won-lost, is 59.09% which is at the targeted range of my 60% goal.

    Wins-losses and units won are always independent of each other.

    Like I stated from the start, stay focused on the wins-losses and calculate your profit based on your actual numbers from your book.

    All that matters at the end of the day is what YOU make, not what I make.

    Many of us see and know what you are trying to do.

    And not even twisting and turning things to try to make look worse than reality will discredit anything posted here, or the integrity of how they were posted and tracked.

    But it's amazing to think that the one guy who never posts his own records is trolling and trying to discredit someone who actually does post his.

    The irony, and we know why.

    peace_5

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    @SportsTuition   65-54 is not 60%. It is 54.6%.   Congratulations on 54.6%.  That is definitely not a horrible situation, and will be even more HUGE over the next 100 picks.

    My math is correct, yours is an attempt to try distort the numbers.

    The combined record of 65-45, which is independent of units won-lost, is 59.09% which is at the targeted range of my 60% goal.

    Wins-losses and units won are always independent of each other.

    Like I stated from the start, stay focused on the wins-losses and calculate your profit based on your actual numbers from your book.

    All that matters at the end of the day is what YOU make, not what I make.

    Many of us see and know what you are trying to do.

    And not even twisting and turning things to try to make look worse than reality will discredit anything posted here, or the integrity of how they were posted and tracked.

    But it's amazing to think that the one guy who never posts his own records is trolling and trying to discredit someone who actually does post his.

    The irony, and we know why.

    peace_5

     

     

     
    vanzack
    vanzack
    Legend
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    Joined: Nov, 2001
    Posts: 60107
    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 5:59 PM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @SportsTuition   65-54 is not 60%. It is 54.6%.   Congratulations on 54.6%.  That is definitely not a horrible situation, and will be even more HUGE over the next 100 picks. My math is correct, yours is an attempt to try distort the numbers. The combined record of 65-45, which is independent of units won-lost, is 59.09% which is at the targeted range of my 60% goal. Wins-losses and units won are always independent of each other. Like I stated from the start, stay focused on the wins-losses and calculate your profit based on your actual numbers from your book. All that matters at the end of the day is what YOU make, not what I make. Many of us see and know what you are trying to do. And not even twisting and turning things to try to make look worse than reality will discredit anything posted here, or the integrity of how they were posted and tracked. But it's amazing to think that the one guy who never posts his own records is trolling and trying to discredit someone who actually does post his. The irony, and we know why.

    @SportsTuition

    I understand now.  Your 60% goal is picking -120 favs. 

    Got it.

    I prefer to concentrate on profitability than record.  But personal choice.  Carry on, and continued success.

    peace_5

     

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @SportsTuition   65-54 is not 60%. It is 54.6%.   Congratulations on 54.6%.  That is definitely not a horrible situation, and will be even more HUGE over the next 100 picks. My math is correct, yours is an attempt to try distort the numbers. The combined record of 65-45, which is independent of units won-lost, is 59.09% which is at the targeted range of my 60% goal. Wins-losses and units won are always independent of each other. Like I stated from the start, stay focused on the wins-losses and calculate your profit based on your actual numbers from your book. All that matters at the end of the day is what YOU make, not what I make. Many of us see and know what you are trying to do. And not even twisting and turning things to try to make look worse than reality will discredit anything posted here, or the integrity of how they were posted and tracked. But it's amazing to think that the one guy who never posts his own records is trolling and trying to discredit someone who actually does post his. The irony, and we know why.

    @SportsTuition

    I understand now.  Your 60% goal is picking -120 favs. 

    Got it.

    I prefer to concentrate on profitability than record.  But personal choice.  Carry on, and continued success.

    peace_5

     

     
     
    SportsIntuition
    SportsIntuition
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    Joined: Mar, 2020
    Posts: 2127
    Posted: Oct. 27, 2023 - 6:48 PM ET #36

    @vanzack

     
    I focus on both records and profit because the combination of the two tells the real story.

    You choose to focus on profit so you don't have to talk about the other half of the story, which is average at best.

    And [-20] is the assumed worst case scenario to paint the ugliest picture for people but you and I both know that all picks posted here aren't [-20].

    And you also know that my vig for buying the the half point is often less than [-20] because of the books I use.

    You're a smart guy, at least according to you, so stop trying to manipulate things and gaslight the situation, acting like others here are stupid.

    There are some very smart people around here and they can see right through your nonsense.

    Carry on.

    peace_5

     

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    @vanzack

     
    I focus on both records and profit because the combination of the two tells the real story.

    You choose to focus on profit so you don't have to talk about the other half of the story, which is average at best.

    And [-20] is the assumed worst case scenario to paint the ugliest picture for people but you and I both know that all picks posted here aren't [-20].

    And you also know that my vig for buying the the half point is often less than [-20] because of the books I use.

    You're a smart guy, at least according to you, so stop trying to manipulate things and gaslight the situation, acting like others here are stupid.

    There are some very smart people around here and they can see right through your nonsense.

    Carry on.

    peace_5

     

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