HUGE MNF PLAY

25-14-1 NFL 

 28-19 CFB 

TONIGHT: UNDER 51

This total is off by at least 10 points.

Might have another pick on the side later.

Thank you for posting. Tailed you last few days and am up on your picks! Following here also, GL tonight

auto 

@LAC63

@CalBear2009

@rhgambler

@Paal

@D-Town

 Thank you.

How about a little lunch time math:

Let's assume [-20] for all picks posted, including "GOY" type plays.

Let's assume all picks played equally for 1 unit.

What is the current "win" total?

25-14-1 NFL = +8.2 units

28-19 CFB = +6.2 units

That's a total of 14.4 units overall.

You can put how many zeros you want after 14.4 and it will be significant regardless of how much someone personally bets.

Now, back to MY reality.

Many have witnessed how buying the hook saved me a good handful of times, which resulted in a win.

Specifically, I am 4-2 on "GOY" type picks and won 2 by the hook which resulted in a win, not a push.

I also play the "GOY" type picks for 3-5 times my normal wager.

So, again, when you start to factor in MY reality, you might begin to understand why I choose to buy the hook if it involves certain key numbers.

And most of my picks DO involve key numbers.

In summary, if you just look at my worst case scenario, assuming every pick is [-20], I am still up a lot for the season.

Again, buying the hook is insignificant to people like me who win consistently.

For 99% of bettors who lose big consistently, it's a complete waste of time and a losing proposition.

@SteamCave

@ONENESS129

HUGE 

Ha ha how is it off by 10 points or more? Actually they were off only by 2. The OVER it is 

Now that is comedy. Let's look back in this in a month.

GL

"The reason paying a premium for points works for me is because I am so good"

The irony is not lost.

He is forgetting that almost all books are charging -135 juice to move off of 3 and 7 these days. The -120 juice off 3 and 7 are not easy to find. I do not have a problem if someone wants to buy a 1/2 point, but paying -135 for it is ridiculous and thats what both my books charge, and thats what MGM and Caesars charge.

@Fuse

@SportsIntuition

Fixed it for you troll.

Now put your ego away and the need to be "right" based on your own perspective.

Im sure he is just forgetting.

Like I said...  Lets check back when sample size is big enough to judge fairly.

For now, keep having fun and trying to ignore math.  Math catches up with everyone, even winners like yourself.

@Kadejax

 Not easy but not impossible either.

Follow the picks and insert your own numbers because at the end of the day that's all that matters.

@vanzack

 Approaching 90 picks which is a "large" sample by most people's definition but I will humor you in a month.

In the meantime, check your ego.

The ego is the trickster, it can make you look stupid at times and even kill you.

Oh, and don't forget to include your win-loss record with your units too!

It's easy to bury a losing record in "positive" units.

I'm sure you understand this.

Actually, profit is the only thing that matters.  Not winners.  And your profit is less than it should be because you throw money away on insurance.

Look - do what you want - thats up to you.  But dont advocate it like it is a good idea to others.  It isnt.  Math does apply to you, no matter how hard you try to use anecdotal evidence to the contrary.