First week Playoff Home dogs

playoffs=1 and p:playoffs=0 and HD and line>2 and day!=Sunday

A home dog not playing on Sunday when their line is greater than +2 (that eliminates the Bears )

9-2 ATS 

Texas last season won a playoff game as a home dog vs the Chargers.  

Plays ON: 

Steelers

Panthers 

Rams were a home dog also last season on MNF in wildcard round vs Vikings & won SU.

I have the Rams making the Super Bowl and this line gives them a lot of credibility to achieve that. 

in this case though it’s too much credibility to the line.  The History, even only 11 previous results, proves this. 

That game was played in Arizona because of the fires in SoCal.

Players and teams and what they have done in the current season?

playoffs are different

Past road playoff teams laying -7 or more are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS 

Clearly it is not the sample size I trust fully but the results are congruent and indicative of what I believe is a hole in betting mindsets.  In the playoffs what happened in the regular season is now you see it now you don’t (in some cases).

I will say if the best teams, lower seeds, were to be involved, I would give these quality teams more credibility but that’s not the case with the 5 seeded Rams. The Rams are good but seeded 5th and lined this way, history has shown this is a potential set up for failure.

Then after this game if they win that bring less attention because of the failure. 

That also gives the Rams credibility after being lined so high.

If the Rams advance as they should, I will ride them the rest of the way based upon this line valuation. 

Rams and Patriots are my best fades this week and I suspect I will minimum win one of these.  My expectations are 2-0

Playoff away favorites of <=-4 are 0-4 ATS 

Playoff away favorites of less than 3 are 0-6 ats since 2010 and since 1994 away favorites of 6.5 or more are 0-4 ats

LA Rams by 21+…based on motivation and body of work…

good luck 

yea let’s add to the ROI on these. 

What about da bears

[Quote: Originally Posted by yorosan]What about da bears[/Quote

Packers -111 but not my elite play 

they better pick up the pace or yet another unsuccessful ATS spread attempt for  your very poor ROI this season 

@spottie2935

On the same sides Spottie! Good luck to both of us! Still pondering the Sunday games. Watching the line and injury report in the 49ers-Eagles game in particular. Leaning SF at +6. 

Good luck guys thx for stopping in 

Panthers 

1-0 Bears probably cover but I bet packers small size. 

we’ll see

m

GL  on your plays mah man @spottie2935 

@Macwestie1

Now 0-7  and 0-5

All the Noah blah blah about old and out of date history 

“the game has changed from those old seasons“The books haven’t changed and those smart one are still making the lines and killing the weak. 

Bears did win and cover. I’m my other thread I got a small piece of the +350 but not the elite +1400 or higher.