The Saints have a history of playing down to their competition and may be down at being eliminated from any thought of playoff contention. They also have a history of losing to teams that need to break a long chain of losing. I remember that after Tampa Bay came into the league that they went something like 27 games (as I remember, could be wrong) without winning and guess against which team they broke this spell. Correct, the Saints. There was a similar occasion but I don't remember just what the circumstances were but, again, the Saints were the victims of a loss to a bad team. I fully expect them to LOSE to the Lions but I can't bet either way, maybe a very small bet on the Lions moneyline. I hate to bet really "dog" teams like the Lions but I may risk a few bucks. The Saints cannot be trusted to beat teams, even those they are better than, like Chicago. Good luck.
The Saints have a history of playing down to their competition and may be down at being eliminated from any thought of playoff contention. They also have a history of losing to teams that need to break a long chain of losing. I remember that after Tampa Bay came into the league that they went something like 27 games (as I remember, could be wrong) without winning and guess against which team they broke this spell. Correct, the Saints. There was a similar occasion but I don't remember just what the circumstances were but, again, the Saints were the victims of a loss to a bad team. I fully expect them to LOSE to the Lions but I can't bet either way, maybe a very small bet on the Lions moneyline. I hate to bet really "dog" teams like the Lions but I may risk a few bucks. The Saints cannot be trusted to beat teams, even those they are better than, like Chicago. Good luck.
I agree with Detroit +7. I was actually surprised the line was that high. New Orleans just plays badly on the road. Detroit has come very close lately against the Vikings and Colts. I will go out on a limb and say Detroit will win this one but if not they don't lose by more than a TD to a terrible road team.
I agree with Detroit +7. I was actually surprised the line was that high. New Orleans just plays badly on the road. Detroit has come very close lately against the Vikings and Colts. I will go out on a limb and say Detroit will win this one but if not they don't lose by more than a TD to a terrible road team.
I am staying away from this game as I don't think it is a good bet, however with that being said I wouldn't bet against the Saints.
In the last 5 games the saints have scored an avg of 30.8 pts and given up 24.2 points (in regulation, if you add in OT then 24.8 pts). The Lions on the other hand are only scoring 17.8 pts and giving up 33.4.
I fully expect the saints to score their avg (30 pts) and the Lions to score around 21-23 pts. My bookie has the line at lions +6.5 so even if the lions score 23 that puts them up to 29.5. I just think the saints will cover.
I am staying away from this game as I don't think it is a good bet, however with that being said I wouldn't bet against the Saints.
In the last 5 games the saints have scored an avg of 30.8 pts and given up 24.2 points (in regulation, if you add in OT then 24.8 pts). The Lions on the other hand are only scoring 17.8 pts and giving up 33.4.
I fully expect the saints to score their avg (30 pts) and the Lions to score around 21-23 pts. My bookie has the line at lions +6.5 so even if the lions score 23 that puts them up to 29.5. I just think the saints will cover.
I am staying away from this game as I don't think it is a good bet, however with that being said I wouldn't bet against the Saints.
In the last 5 games the saints have scored an avg of 30.8 pts and given up 24.2 points (in regulation, if you add in OT then 24.8 pts). The Lions on the other hand are only scoring 17.8 pts and giving up 33.4.
I fully expect the saints to score their avg (30 pts) and the Lions to score around 21-23 pts. My bookie has the line at lions +6.5 so even if the lions score 23 that puts them up to 29.5. I just think the saints will cover.
To be fair, you need to do the number analysis when the Saints on the road compare to the Lions at HOME
I am staying away from this game as I don't think it is a good bet, however with that being said I wouldn't bet against the Saints.
In the last 5 games the saints have scored an avg of 30.8 pts and given up 24.2 points (in regulation, if you add in OT then 24.8 pts). The Lions on the other hand are only scoring 17.8 pts and giving up 33.4.
I fully expect the saints to score their avg (30 pts) and the Lions to score around 21-23 pts. My bookie has the line at lions +6.5 so even if the lions score 23 that puts them up to 29.5. I just think the saints will cover.
To be fair, you need to do the number analysis when the Saints on the road compare to the Lions at HOME
To be fair, you need to do the number analysis when the Saints on the road compare to the Lions at HOME
Having say that, I am touching this game
GL
Best of Luck to you as well. I did run the numbers, but in my opinion, while they support your theory they don't give me enough evidence to make this a play. I still think the Saints cover, but as I said still staying away from the game. Good luck though.
To be fair, you need to do the number analysis when the Saints on the road compare to the Lions at HOME
Having say that, I am touching this game
GL
Best of Luck to you as well. I did run the numbers, but in my opinion, while they support your theory they don't give me enough evidence to make this a play. I still think the Saints cover, but as I said still staying away from the game. Good luck though.
I like it, Don Juan. Anyone notice the difference in their competitiveness when Orlovsky is at the helm? Couple that with a Saints team that is bad on the road, and a Lions team that is gonna approach this game like the Super Bowl, and the Lions have my money Sunday.
I like it, Don Juan. Anyone notice the difference in their competitiveness when Orlovsky is at the helm? Couple that with a Saints team that is bad on the road, and a Lions team that is gonna approach this game like the Super Bowl, and the Lions have my money Sunday.
may want to play the over 51 if not detroit +7. we know saints can score & they really haven't stopped anyone either. This is also last chance det. has to win a game (offense has been a little better) because i don't see them winning in gb final week ... then again if you've seen my pix/record since joined covers disregard what i just said !
may want to play the over 51 if not detroit +7. we know saints can score & they really haven't stopped anyone either. This is also last chance det. has to win a game (offense has been a little better) because i don't see them winning in gb final week ... then again if you've seen my pix/record since joined covers disregard what i just said !
I have an 0-16 prop bet that I'm feeling some nerves over this week. I suppose I can hedge with a ML bet or take the points and hope they lose outright but cover the number. But I do feel like the Saints could legitimately let me down here.
I have an 0-16 prop bet that I'm feeling some nerves over this week. I suppose I can hedge with a ML bet or take the points and hope they lose outright but cover the number. But I do feel like the Saints could legitimately let me down here.
the one thing nobody is mentioning about the Saints on the road is whether the road game is a dome or not. They seem to have problems outside. For this game they will be in the dome and it will almost seem like a home game to them.
Either way I like the over and probably won't play a side.
Another note. I believe the Lions have been covering machines on the road and that they haven't really covered much of anything at home except for maybe the vikings game.
the one thing nobody is mentioning about the Saints on the road is whether the road game is a dome or not. They seem to have problems outside. For this game they will be in the dome and it will almost seem like a home game to them.
Either way I like the over and probably won't play a side.
Another note. I believe the Lions have been covering machines on the road and that they haven't really covered much of anything at home except for maybe the vikings game.
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