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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    don't get fooled again week 2

    123 ... 181920 Next Last»
    phixer
    Hitman74
    pappadoc
    azdrag2769
    amp1080
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    phixer
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:26 PM ET #1

    i began the week with two basic leans:
    under at the arrowhead and the broncos covering +3.5
    i also said that i will either play both or one of those leans or would not touch the game on tnf at all
    later i finalized the under bet

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    i began the week with two basic leans:
    under at the arrowhead and the broncos covering +3.5
    i also said that i will either play both or one of those leans or would not touch the game on tnf at all
    later i finalized the under bet

     
    phixer
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:28 PM ET #2

    NFL Week 2: TNF KC Chiefs vs DEN Broncos Totals


    The hardest triggers to pull on a single game days are the unders. Especially when the line is released as high as 46 points total and the Broncos are on one end and the Chiefs on another as the Chiefs have just scored 27 in Houston and the Broncos “are bound to score” a bunch after being limited to only 19 in Denver. We are used to associate Payton Manning with high scoring. The last time around in Arrowhead the teams scored 45 points with the totals set at 49 and there were only two overs in last 10 meetings between the teams. All because of the perception the overs are fashionable but not reasonable. Another major reason for pulling the trigger on under is the fact that despite 7 out of 10 bettors so far out of 9,267 totals bettors – took over. Yet, the totals line dropped. That can be only because of the big money on under or RLM when Vegas is inviting us to take over by lowering the line. One way or another – risking 5 units to check the cards of the script creators is worth for me.

    I know how hard it is to go Under in prime time.It takes all the fun out of watching the game if you’re not a fan of one of the teams. Yeap. Vegas has been cashing big on that with the public and why change what works?

    This is a 5 Units Play

    Under 42  -110 (now it is 42.5)   550$

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    NFL Week 2: TNF KC Chiefs vs DEN Broncos Totals


    The hardest triggers to pull on a single game days are the unders. Especially when the line is released as high as 46 points total and the Broncos are on one end and the Chiefs on another as the Chiefs have just scored 27 in Houston and the Broncos “are bound to score” a bunch after being limited to only 19 in Denver. We are used to associate Payton Manning with high scoring. The last time around in Arrowhead the teams scored 45 points with the totals set at 49 and there were only two overs in last 10 meetings between the teams. All because of the perception the overs are fashionable but not reasonable. Another major reason for pulling the trigger on under is the fact that despite 7 out of 10 bettors so far out of 9,267 totals bettors – took over. Yet, the totals line dropped. That can be only because of the big money on under or RLM when Vegas is inviting us to take over by lowering the line. One way or another – risking 5 units to check the cards of the script creators is worth for me.

    I know how hard it is to go Under in prime time.It takes all the fun out of watching the game if you’re not a fan of one of the teams. Yeap. Vegas has been cashing big on that with the public and why change what works?

    This is a 5 Units Play

    Under 42  -110 (now it is 42.5)   550$

     
    Hitman74
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:28 PM ET #3

    BOL tongiht Phixer.  Appreciate your insights.
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    BOL tongiht Phixer.  Appreciate your insights.
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:28 PM ET #4

    kc chiefs vs den broncos totals  /\
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    kc chiefs vs den broncos totals  /\
     
    pappadoc
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:28 PM ET #5

    BOL PHIXER
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    BOL PHIXER
     
    azdrag2769
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:29 PM ET #6

    BOL to you either way phixer. Thanks for your insight and picks always!!!
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    BOL to you either way phixer. Thanks for your insight and picks always!!!
     
    amp1080
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:30 PM ET #7

    gl phix, will be following your threads all season
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    gl phix, will be following your threads all season
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:31 PM ET #8

    yeah, almost forgot to post the continuous record since i am used to have one long thread - this time i decided to make a thread each week to prevent from people being tortured looking for my pick for an hour :)

    after week one - 6 wins, no losses and one oush  4,425$ profits generated in the process
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    yeah, almost forgot to post the continuous record since i am used to have one long thread - this time i decided to make a thread each week to prevent from people being tortured looking for my pick for an hour :)

    after week one - 6 wins, no losses and one oush  4,425$ profits generated in the process
     
    elemental
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:31 PM ET #9

    love it phixer, your logic is sound..good luck!
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    love it phixer, your logic is sound..good luck!
     
    mastatee
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:38 PM ET #10

    BOL phixer
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    BOL phixer
     
    Hitman74
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:47 PM ET #11

    [Quote: ....after week one - 6 wins, no losses and one oush  4,425$ profits generated in the process
    [/Quote]

    That's good enough for me!    


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    [Quote: ....after week one - 6 wins, no losses and one oush  4,425$ profits generated in the process
    [/Quote]

    That's good enough for me!    


     
    UHQB
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:51 PM ET #12

    Nice. Would love to see some of your leans for Sunday.

    Today I'll tease KC to +3 with the Under. I'm not an Alex Smith fan by any means. He's still your dink n dunk passing QB. 
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    Nice. Would love to see some of your leans for Sunday.

    Today I'll tease KC to +3 with the Under. I'm not an Alex Smith fan by any means. He's still your dink n dunk passing QB. 
     
    manstar10
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:54 PM ET #13

    The under is the right play here even though the over looks juicy AF. going to be a strong defensive game with a ton of running (clock killing) BOL
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    The under is the right play here even though the over looks juicy AF. going to be a strong defensive game with a ton of running (clock killing) BOL
     
    MrFace
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:54 PM ET #14

    Love that you're doing weekly threads this year! In past seasons it could honestly get a bit out of control. BOL
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    Love that you're doing weekly threads this year! In past seasons it could honestly get a bit out of control. BOL
     
    MrFace
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:54 PM ET #15

    Love that you're doing weekly threads this year! In past seasons it could honestly get a bit out of control. BOL
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    Love that you're doing weekly threads this year! In past seasons it could honestly get a bit out of control. BOL
     
    lbckhmersk8er
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 2:56 PM ET #16

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    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:03 PM ET #17

    Much fortune This season Phixer, I'm on it. New thread each week, is 10 times better.
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    Much fortune This season Phixer, I'm on it. New thread each week, is 10 times better.
     
    Skillz78
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:17 PM ET #18

    Mostly a lurker and I read your thread for week 1. Really enjoyed the read/break downs. Sadly didn't chase but man you were money especially Sunday Night. I'll be checking out your threads from now on. 
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    Mostly a lurker and I read your thread for week 1. Really enjoyed the read/break downs. Sadly didn't chase but man you were money especially Sunday Night. I'll be checking out your threads from now on. 
     
    AndrewJC
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:32 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 2: TNF KC Chiefs vs DEN Broncos TotalsThe hardest triggers to pull on a single game days are the unders. Especially when the line is released as high as 46 points total and the Broncos are on one end and the Chiefs on another as the Chiefs have just scored 27 in Houston and the Broncos “are bound to score” a bunch after being limited to only 19 in Denver. We are used to associate Payton Manning with high scoring. The last time around in Arrowhead the teams scored 45 points with the totals set at 49 and there were only two overs in last 10 meetings between the teams. All because of the perception the overs are fashionable but not reasonable. Another major reason for pulling the trigger on under is the fact that despite 7 out of 10 bettors so far out of 9,267 totals bettors – took over. Yet, the totals line dropped. That can be only because of the big money on under or RLM when Vegas is inviting us to take over by lowering the line. One way or another – risking 5 units to check the cards of the script creators is worth for me.I know how hard it is to go Under in prime time.It takes all the fun out of watching the game if you’re not a fan of one of the teams. Yeap. Vegas has been cashing big on that with the public and why change what works?This is a 5 Units PlayUnder 42  -110 (now it is 42.5)   550$

    Thank you sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    NFL Week 2: TNF KC Chiefs vs DEN Broncos TotalsThe hardest triggers to pull on a single game days are the unders. Especially when the line is released as high as 46 points total and the Broncos are on one end and the Chiefs on another as the Chiefs have just scored 27 in Houston and the Broncos “are bound to score” a bunch after being limited to only 19 in Denver. We are used to associate Payton Manning with high scoring. The last time around in Arrowhead the teams scored 45 points with the totals set at 49 and there were only two overs in last 10 meetings between the teams. All because of the perception the overs are fashionable but not reasonable. Another major reason for pulling the trigger on under is the fact that despite 7 out of 10 bettors so far out of 9,267 totals bettors – took over. Yet, the totals line dropped. That can be only because of the big money on under or RLM when Vegas is inviting us to take over by lowering the line. One way or another – risking 5 units to check the cards of the script creators is worth for me.I know how hard it is to go Under in prime time.It takes all the fun out of watching the game if you’re not a fan of one of the teams. Yeap. Vegas has been cashing big on that with the public and why change what works?This is a 5 Units PlayUnder 42  -110 (now it is 42.5)   550$

    Thank you sir
     
    acitalianman13
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:37 PM ET #20

    Locked in . thanks phixer
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    Locked in . thanks phixer
     
    TheBull112
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:43 PM ET #21

    Phixer,

    The game total is going to be 43... 20 -20. Field goal for the win or in overtime. I have Broncos for the first quarter. 1st Half and Game.
    1st Qrter Broncos mL (+120) for 2.25 units
    1st Half Broncos mL (+140) for .75 units
    1st Half Broncos +2.5 for 1.5 units.
    Game Broncos +3.5 for 1.5 units.
    Game Broncos mL (+150) for .75 units.
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    Phixer,

    The game total is going to be 43... 20 -20. Field goal for the win or in overtime. I have Broncos for the first quarter. 1st Half and Game.
    1st Qrter Broncos mL (+120) for 2.25 units
    1st Half Broncos mL (+140) for .75 units
    1st Half Broncos +2.5 for 1.5 units.
    Game Broncos +3.5 for 1.5 units.
    Game Broncos mL (+150) for .75 units.
     
    VEGASMONK
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:44 PM ET #22

    thanks phixer BOL and will be on that play aswell. Also leaning towards denver +3. The media outlets and articles are all writing off manning as he will not be able to stand a chance against the KC defense especially with his clear lack in arm strength and accuracy. Seems like the same scenario where everyone was writing off brady as being too old and not being able to get it done after the KC matchup last year. But also i am thinking of being cautious and wating to c how this game plays out because DENVER has a big Sunday NIGHT matchup in DETROIT. 
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    thanks phixer BOL and will be on that play aswell. Also leaning towards denver +3. The media outlets and articles are all writing off manning as he will not be able to stand a chance against the KC defense especially with his clear lack in arm strength and accuracy. Seems like the same scenario where everyone was writing off brady as being too old and not being able to get it done after the KC matchup last year. But also i am thinking of being cautious and wating to c how this game plays out because DENVER has a big Sunday NIGHT matchup in DETROIT. 
     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:47 PM ET #23

    GL on the Total Phixer
    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    GL on the Total Phixer
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:48 PM ET #24

    Get it phix.

    Giving a little sight to the blind aye...you are kind
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    Get it phix.

    Giving a little sight to the blind aye...you are kind
     
     
    downndirty23
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2015 - 3:57 PM ET #25

    Thank u for the insight and pick bol
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    Thank u for the insight and pick bol
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