Did you make any money betting on NFL this season? Cause, I did. See how

Quote Originally Posted by Mick960:

Quote Originally Posted by 14allall41: The law of probabilities says there should be occasional failures in the system we pursue. The thing is we have no system besides one that says there are no winning systems or the formulas but it is all about the adaptation. However, today's game has some ingredients I find hard to resist. There is a guru in today's NFL. At least among the coaches. Andy Reid. If you read my previous posts you should know the mastermind behind the Chief's "win but no cover" policy. The other thing Andy Reid represents is the list of values few of the Super Bowl winning coaches in the league underwent studying while working under him. The most important value is "do not embarrass an opposing head coach" under no circumstances. In a professional world and especially among those disciples of Andy Reid everything is allowed and possible except making another professional look like a ..... (you know what). And like Frank Zappa RIP once wrote - "if anything bad ever happens to your eyesAs the result of some sort of conflict with anyone named Nanook The only way you can get it fixed upIs to go trudging across the tundra mile after mileTrudging across the tundra right down to the parish of St. Alfonzo". Well, I wonder if a rookie coach Stefanski knows where the parish of St. Alfonzo is. As he should since he tried to fake the punt in his first game in the League against the Super Bowl winning John Harbaugh - the disciple of Andy Reid. And he did it on the first opportunity he had without needing it (fake punt). I mean, if you need points bad at the end of the game or as some sort of strategical move in the game, or, if you're Mike Tomlin and you want to spice up the game, then yes. Go for it. But, coming in the first game to home of John Harbaugh and try to mess with him in his kitchen much before anything - that is a statement move and that failed statement move cost Stefanski a game in a blowout fashion. Yes. He gained the team's attention for the games to come so that tactical failure proved as strategic victory in a long run. But, in AFC North,  the revenges on lost games this season when home advantages hardly matter, do not happen. but failed insult to Harbaugh, more so after that. The question is will the Ravens cover the -3 line? The answer is within the post: if not that insult factor - I would be very careful with assuming that the Ravens will only win because they are stronger and the need a win... on Holiest of the Holiest - Monday Night Football, but, Vegas somehow manipulated the public opinion making people to believe the Browns of this season are able to beat the Ravens and as I write this post the public is fairly divided in number of the bets as well as in money invested so I see no reason to not to support the ravens and go with them all the way here. But, again, be careful not to take me as more than someone who handicaps the battery of the games hoping to win the most. Law of the probabilities. Please remember. One game at a time and no big wagers. Normal, average bet. That is all.  Ravens -3 I think most of the people do not really your explanations about the mechanics behind the reason of your pick - like myself - and rather have the ready fish on the plater than go and learn how to fish. I know the first thing I do is placing the bet and then promising myself to read what you wrote after the game hoping it will win whether I will read it or not. But, I thing that is wrong and you are trying to teach us how to handicap. One way or another,I have a suggestion. Decode your write up and force us to read. Like this: all the bold letters. Or number them. rav -3

Quote Originally Posted by HeyJoe:

Quote Originally Posted by Mr_Coffee_Shop: @14allall41 I saw the hug between Harbaugh and Jackson after Harbaugh saved a game delay penalty by calling a timeout running all the way down the field. That was a testimony to as how motivated the Ravens are in this game. The connection between the coach and the quarterback on that level can only be actual when they share a personal agenda. I think... Stop thinking and stop jinxing. Pleeeeease. Come on

Quote Originally Posted by Mick960:

I think most of the people do not really your explanations about the mechanics behind the reason of your pick - like myself - and rather have the ready fish on the plater than go and learn how to fish. I know the first thing I do is placing the bet and then promising myself to read what you wrote after the game hoping it will win whether I will read it or not. But, I thing that is wrong and you are trying to teach us how to handicap. One way or another,I have a suggestion. Decode your write up and force us to read. Like this: all the bold letters. Or number them. rav -3

Quote Originally Posted by 14allall41:

The law of probabilities says there should be occasional failures in the system we pursue. The thing is we have no system besides one that says there are no winning systems or the formulas but it is all about the adaptation. However, today's game has some ingredients I find hard to resist. There is a guru in today's NFL. At least among the coaches. Andy Reid. If you read my previous posts you should know the mastermind behind the Chief's "win but no cover" policy. The other thing Andy Reid represents is the list of values few of the Super Bowl winning coaches in the league underwent studying while working under him. The most important value is "do not embarrass an opposing head coach" under no circumstances. In a professional world and especially among those disciples of Andy Reid everything is allowed and possible except making another professional look like a ..... (you know what). And like Frank Zappa RIP once wrote - "if anything bad ever happens to your eyesAs the result of some sort of conflict with anyone named NanookThe only way you can get it fixed upIs to go trudging across the tundra mile after mileTrudging across the tundra right down to the parish of St. Alfonzo". Well, I wonder if a rookie coach Stefanski knows where the parish of St. Alfonzo is. As he should since he tried to fake the punt in his first game in the League against the Super Bowl winning John Harbaugh - the disciple of Andy Reid. And he did it on the first opportunity he had without needing it (fake punt). I mean, if you need points bad at the end of the game or as some sort of strategical move in the game, or, if you're Mike Tomlin and you want to spice up the game, then yes. Go for it. But, coming in the first game to home of John Harbaugh and try to mess with him in his kitchen much before anything - that is a statement move and that failed statement move cost Stefanski a game in a blowout fashion. Yes. He gained the team's attention for the games to come so that tactical failure proved as strategic victory in a long run. But, in AFC North,  the revenges on lost games this season when home advantages hardly matter, do not happen. The Steelers beat the Ravens twice and the Brons beat the Bengals twice and they will lose to the Ravens twice. It would most probably happen without that attempted but failed insult to Harbaugh, more so after that. The question is will the Ravens cover the -3 line? The answer is within the post: if not that insult factor - I would be very careful with assuming that the Ravens will only win because they are stronger and the need a win... on Holiest of the Holiest - Monday Night Football, but, Vegas somehow manipulated the public opinion making people to believe the Browns of this season are able to beat the Ravens and as I write this post the public is fairly divided in number of the bets as well as in money invested so I see no reason to not to support the ravens and go with them all the way here. But, again, be careful not to take me as more than someone who handicaps the battery of the games hoping to win the most. Law of the probabilities. Please remember. One game at a time and no big wagers. Normal, average bet. That is all. 

Ravens -3

Quote Originally Posted by 14allall41:

@All_Day   @RonBuggy2021   @PLAYAAAA1969   @oohhungry   @Vegas5Guys   @DoubleUp4Life  Sometimes Jimmy Snooka Superfly works in our favor @Mick960  Relax brother. No need to get aggravated. @Mr_Coffee_Shop  Have faith @race444   @HeyJoe   @m3ntal  More presents for the kid/s? @prt   @finsterbaby   @Vegas5Guys   @thatkidquade27

Quote Originally Posted by HeyJoe:

"And it was at that precise moment that he remembered an ancient Eskimo legend Wherein it is written On whatever it is that they write it on up there" Brilliant  Win  or lose, I will enjoy the game.  Thank you and sorry for doubting you or your intentions at the beginning of this long thread.

Quote Originally Posted by Mick960:

I think most of the people do not really your explanations about the mechanics behind the reason of your pick - like myself - and rather have the ready fish on the plater than go and learn how to fish. I know the first thing I do is placing the bet and then promising myself to read what you wrote after the game hoping it will win whether I will read it or not. But, I thing that is wrong and you are trying to teach us how to handicap. One way or another, I have a suggestion. Decode your write up and force us to read. Like this: all the bold letters. Or number them. rav -3