Posted:
#1
The Eagles, giants, and cowboys showed us what we need to know about the NFC EAST. Don't bank your money on them unless they are underdogs, avoid as much as you can when they are favored. Redskins aren't quite with the others so might be the safer bet when RGIII is RGIII again. He hasn't proven himself to be a turnover magnet like the other 3 teams. If you didn't see the Chiefs you missed what not turning the ball over can do for you in the NFL. I don't remember what I heard the stat was before but I think it was 70% of teams who win the turnover battle will win the game something to keep in mind when doing your in-game betting.
Another concept to remember is that teams that go up a quick 3 tds don't always cover the new in-game spread from that point on especially if you wait til halftime. Redskins and Rams can point to that as being true as they both covered the halftime line this weekend. Teams that are ahead relax and teams that are down like to save face to build as momentum for the next week.
The patriots might be fade material right now but they will bounce back when gronk is back and draws some attention away from the young receivers. So don't bank on patriots as guaranteed fade material I would look at the NFC East first depending on whose favored or not.
Ride the Bears early and often, until the middle of the season, when there usually collapse occurs. Same goes for the Broncos, Peyton is no stranger to starting the season hot, Take the double digit dogs as they historical do cover more and if you don't know why listen closely, good teams don't care to beat the crap out of bad teams, they just want to win and move on to the next and more challenging game, that is why bad teams always have a chance to cover. Its just a difference in psychology and preparation.
One final piece of betting advice remember the teams and players are human and that is why we play the game, so don't think cause one team beat another by 21 points the following week narrowly win to a 20 point underdog. (I hope you got the betting reference for this week's bet) It's expected it's the NFL, games will be tight, and bets will come down to the 4th quarter. Your 7 point dog with a 4 point lead can be a td and a late meaningless td away from a loss that's the game that's played and being aware when and how it can happen will help you collect more money.
The point of my discussion is simple, don't forget history can and will repeat itself so please share the information we have learned through the years to better help the betting community. Please post your betting rules of thumb and let's get the discussion going.
Another concept to remember is that teams that go up a quick 3 tds don't always cover the new in-game spread from that point on especially if you wait til halftime. Redskins and Rams can point to that as being true as they both covered the halftime line this weekend. Teams that are ahead relax and teams that are down like to save face to build as momentum for the next week.
The patriots might be fade material right now but they will bounce back when gronk is back and draws some attention away from the young receivers. So don't bank on patriots as guaranteed fade material I would look at the NFC East first depending on whose favored or not.
Ride the Bears early and often, until the middle of the season, when there usually collapse occurs. Same goes for the Broncos, Peyton is no stranger to starting the season hot, Take the double digit dogs as they historical do cover more and if you don't know why listen closely, good teams don't care to beat the crap out of bad teams, they just want to win and move on to the next and more challenging game, that is why bad teams always have a chance to cover. Its just a difference in psychology and preparation.
One final piece of betting advice remember the teams and players are human and that is why we play the game, so don't think cause one team beat another by 21 points the following week narrowly win to a 20 point underdog. (I hope you got the betting reference for this week's bet) It's expected it's the NFL, games will be tight, and bets will come down to the 4th quarter. Your 7 point dog with a 4 point lead can be a td and a late meaningless td away from a loss that's the game that's played and being aware when and how it can happen will help you collect more money.
The point of my discussion is simple, don't forget history can and will repeat itself so please share the information we have learned through the years to better help the betting community. Please post your betting rules of thumb and let's get the discussion going.
0
Hot Forum Topics
