Browns +5(-115) *2.00/1.74
Browns ML(+195) *.75/1.46
A ton of reasons to back Cleveland here.
At home their defense is one of, if not thee best defense there is. Holding opponents to 15.4 ppg. We see what Myles Garrett is doing, and I feel like the team will rally around him for that sack record.
In comes what should be a very tired 49ers team who haven't had a bye week yet. They played on MNF, so on short rest. If you watched that game you would of seen that it was super physical. CMC got put through the ringer and seemed to touch the ball on almost every play. The pads were popping hard, both teams exerted effort on prime time.
The Niners have had 7 road games thus far, logging a ton of miles. Seattle, New Orleans, LA, Tampa, Houston, NY, and Arizona. Their bye is following the Browns game where 3 of their last 4 will be at home.
The Niners on the road have averaged 25.42 ppg, where Mac Jones was the qb for 5 of those 7. Purdy played in week 1 vs a very good Seattle D, they scored 17. Vs Arizona they scored 41.
Don't exactly know what to expect from Sanders, but his teammates are supporting him. When a team is 3-8 they will find reasons to get motivated. Just like helping Myles with the sack record, a new QB is also cause for optimism.
The Niners D line ranks 2nd to last in pressure rate at 29.4% and dead last at no blitz pressure rate at 26.1%. They are 4th worst at yards before contact against RB's. I think that Shadeur and company will not be facing much of a hassle on the line of scrimmage.
On the other side, don't think that CMC and his boys will have it easy at all. The Browns 6th at pressure rate, 7th in no blitz rate, and #1 in RB yards before contact.
I believe this line opened higher around 6, and it's not surprise to me that it's come down. Still at +5, it's a ridiculous # to be a home dog. Dare I say, we probably won't need the points...
Good luck, happy Thanksgiving to all.
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