Posted:
#51
@undermysac
Well said.
Sip on that plus money honey!
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Approach for last 2 weeks on NFL season....
Posted:
#54
@bossmanDEL
If this were a real thing wouldn’t the jets have let the jags walk into the end zone last week? There are too many coaches and players livelihoods at stake for me to consider folding being as obvious as it seems to me, believe me I’m a jets fan and this is two years in a row we have WON meaningless games late in the year and messed up our draft pick position
Freedom road was a one-way street
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Posted:
#55
I fooled around with your premise, Van. I came up with a lot of categories.
OUT vs OUT: CHI-nyg; SEA-det
Clinched vs OUT: tpa-JETS
Clinched vs Clinched: DAL-az
Clinched vs Currently in: kc-CIN
Clinched vs Bubble Team: GB-Minn; rams-BALT
Currently in vs OUT: SF-hou; NE-jax
Currently in vs Currently in: TEN-mia
Currently in vs Bubble Team: IND-lv; BUFF-atl; Phi-WASH
Bubble vs Bubble: LAC-den; cleve-PITT
Bubble vs OUT: NO-car
Clinched, Doesn't need win: None
[Bubble teams = need wins & luck]
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Posted:
#56
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
I always struggle in the last 2 weeks of the NFL season because of the status of teams with playoffs and teams that are out. There are basically 4 different matchup categories: A. 2 teams out of the playoffsB. 1 fighting to get in and 1 outC. A game involving a team that has clinched playoffs, but doesnt need to winD. 2 teams fighting to get in "D" is easy. But how do you guys handle A, B, and C? I often end up not betting them at all. Curious to hear different approaches.
I always struggle in the last 2 weeks of the NFL season because of the status of teams with playoffs and teams that are out. There are basically 4 different matchup categories: A. 2 teams out of the playoffsB. 1 fighting to get in and 1 outC. A game involving a team that has clinched playoffs, but doesnt need to winD. 2 teams fighting to get in "D" is easy. But how do you guys handle A, B, and C? I often end up not betting them at all. Curious to hear different approaches.
Sorry if someone already made this point, but I could not find it when I went through this thread.
There are actually a few more Scenarios than the A,B,C & D you listed that I have found provide great opportunities for playing one team vs. the other.
E. Both Teams have clinched a spot in Playoffs, but one team can improve their positioning with a win and the other team cant. (Strong situational play)
F. Neither Team is in the Playoffs, but one team can improve their position in the Draft with a LOSS. (Strong situational play)
G. One Team is in the Playoffs and can improve their position and get home field with a win and the other team is 6-10 and has nothing to play for. (Strong situational play)
I think each of the above scenarios provides some strong situational plays beyond A, B, C and D.
Some food for thought?
2
Posted:
#62
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
Quote Originally Posted by Onewolf: I am terrible after week 14. A .33 win % over the last 3 years. This season I have carried on with business as usual and faded myself. 3-5 the last 2 weeks which I faded to 5-3. THIS IS ME. I went 2-5 this past week.... And I just feel it creeping in. My history is good season, terrible last 3 weeks, good playoffs and SB. I am seriously thinking about very limited action in the coming weeks.
Quote Originally Posted by Onewolf: I am terrible after week 14. A .33 win % over the last 3 years. This season I have carried on with business as usual and faded myself. 3-5 the last 2 weeks which I faded to 5-3. THIS IS ME. I went 2-5 this past week.... And I just feel it creeping in. My history is good season, terrible last 3 weeks, good playoffs and SB. I am seriously thinking about very limited action in the coming weeks.
That's exactly my sentiment as well FAM 
The last 2-3 weeks of the regular season have been brutal buzzsaws for me more often than not...
Trying my best to maintain discipline and bet light Sunday ....
Currently leaning on
MIAMI TT OVER , Eagles ML , Colts ML ,Bengals + the points, Vikings + points, Steelers ML ... Might just throw then in cheap RR parlays and call it a day ...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Posted:
#72
Quote Originally Posted by kerryb:
@undermysac Giants/bears - weather doesn't look good in chicago, the under looks just too good not to take. both qb's bad, bad weather, bad, bad, bad.... unda for a game where both teams will try to end the game asap.
@undermysac Giants/bears - weather doesn't look good in chicago, the under looks just too good not to take. both qb's bad, bad weather, bad, bad, bad.... unda for a game where both teams will try to end the game asap.
Yea it's just really cold. There won't be any snow on the field. High of 26, winds 10-15 mph could factor in. I wouldn't want to tackle anyone in these conditions.
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Posted:
#73
Quote Originally Posted by philschnaars:
@bossmanDEL If this were a real thing wouldn’t the jets have let the jags walk into the end zone last week? There are too many coaches and players livelihoods at stake for me to consider folding being as obvious as it seems to me, believe me I’m a jets fan and this is two years in a row we have WON meaningless games late in the year and messed up our draft pick position
@bossmanDEL If this were a real thing wouldn’t the jets have let the jags walk into the end zone last week? There are too many coaches and players livelihoods at stake for me to consider folding being as obvious as it seems to me, believe me I’m a jets fan and this is two years in a row we have WON meaningless games late in the year and messed up our draft pick position
This is exactly why I can see the Jets winning today. They always win games that don't matter and mess up the draft picks.. Especially with the fact that Brady may sit a bit. I don't think I'm gonna touch it, but I wouldn't be surprised if it happens. 
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