Even matchup, I guess. Miami is supposed to be much better than they showed last Sunday but, ya never really know. That's why I prefer to hold off on bets for 5 weeks or so to let things sort out as to their true skills...
1
M- .....Patriots +1
M- .....Dolphins -1
Even matchup, I guess. Miami is supposed to be much better than they showed last Sunday but, ya never really know. That's why I prefer to hold off on bets for 5 weeks or so to let things sort out as to their true skills...
G/M+......LA Rams -5.5M............TITANS +6.0 Decent 1.5 tier edge for Rams, but when subtracting the HFA favoring Titans, I make this line at around -3.5/-4.0 max for the roadies. Homies could have home dog value here for a cover, although if I ultimately choose to bet into this I would insist on at least +7 pts from alt-line (preferably +7.5) or failing that it would be a "watch & wait" for me...
The rams are also travelling east 3 time zones
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
G/M+......LA Rams -5.5M............TITANS +6.0 Decent 1.5 tier edge for Rams, but when subtracting the HFA favoring Titans, I make this line at around -3.5/-4.0 max for the roadies. Homies could have home dog value here for a cover, although if I ultimately choose to bet into this I would insist on at least +7 pts from alt-line (preferably +7.5) or failing that it would be a "watch & wait" for me...
I did well last year betting 2 team teasers or 2 team mixed sports ML parlays. NFL is the hardest so sad a 50 year pro odds maker. Last year I teased KC almost every week and I sure needed those points. Good luck this year buddy
0
Hi Duke , not a bad first week - Profitable
I did well last year betting 2 team teasers or 2 team mixed sports ML parlays. NFL is the hardest so sad a 50 year pro odds maker. Last year I teased KC almost every week and I sure needed those points. Good luck this year buddy
My ratings indicate a HUGE difference between their respective tiers! This margin of difference typically correlates well to around 10 ptson a neutral field!...but this is a homer for the Ravens...
Mind you anything can happen in sports. The Ravens could have a bad day...while the Charlie Browns could play over their heads...and then of course there always are the unforseeable intangibles which can often affect every team sport - INJURIES, bad/unlucky breaks, FLUKES, untimely bad coaching calls and untimely BAD officiating.....ya just never know...
2
M/m-.....Charlie Browns +11.5
G+ ......BALTIMORE -11.5
My ratings indicate a HUGE difference between their respective tiers! This margin of difference typically correlates well to around 10 ptson a neutral field!...but this is a homer for the Ravens...
Mind you anything can happen in sports. The Ravens could have a bad day...while the Charlie Browns could play over their heads...and then of course there always are the unforseeable intangibles which can often affect every team sport - INJURIES, bad/unlucky breaks, FLUKES, untimely bad coaching calls and untimely BAD officiating.....ya just never know...
Hi Duke , not a bad first week - Profitable I did well last year betting 2 team teasers or 2 team mixed sports ML parlays. NFL is the hardest so sad a 50 year pro odds maker. Last year I teased KC almost every week and I sure needed those points. Good luck this year buddy
@RayRayK
I hope you keep it up again this season!!
0
Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:
Hi Duke , not a bad first week - Profitable I did well last year betting 2 team teasers or 2 team mixed sports ML parlays. NFL is the hardest so sad a 50 year pro odds maker. Last year I teased KC almost every week and I sure needed those points. Good luck this year buddy
I use 7 main tiers for RATING their strength among all 136 FBS teams: G+ G M+ M M- W W- Whereby G = GOOD......... M = Mediocre/Middlin ........W = Weak M ........Falcons G/M+....VIKINGS My ratings - assuming close approximation - are suggesting to me this line should be around -7 on Minny
Analytical error......I forgot to check injury updates
Vikings are more banged up than Falcons.
Line on Vikes may be more accurately set around -5.5 (not -7)
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
I use 7 main tiers for RATING their strength among all 136 FBS teams: G+ G M+ M M- W W- Whereby G = GOOD......... M = Mediocre/Middlin ........W = Weak M ........Falcons G/M+....VIKINGS My ratings - assuming close approximation - are suggesting to me this line should be around -7 on Minny
Analytical error......I forgot to check injury updates
Vikings are more banged up than Falcons.
Line on Vikes may be more accurately set around -5.5 (not -7)
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: G/M+......LA Rams -5.5M............TITANS +6.0 Decent 1.5 tier edge for Rams, but when subtracting the HFA favoring Titans, I make this line at around -3.5/-4.0 max for the roadies. Homies could have home dog value here for a cover, although if I ultimately choose to bet into this I would insist on at least +7 pts from alt-line (preferably +7.5) or failing that it would be a "watch & wait" for me...The rams are also travelling east 3 time zones
@nmgolf57
Long travel but maybe the effect won't be too much...
0
Quote Originally Posted by nmgolf57:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: G/M+......LA Rams -5.5M............TITANS +6.0 Decent 1.5 tier edge for Rams, but when subtracting the HFA favoring Titans, I make this line at around -3.5/-4.0 max for the roadies. Homies could have home dog value here for a cover, although if I ultimately choose to bet into this I would insist on at least +7 pts from alt-line (preferably +7.5) or failing that it would be a "watch & wait" for me...The rams are also travelling east 3 time zones
@nmgolf57
Long travel but maybe the effect won't be too much...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET, no score opening GB drive: Commandos +10.5 -300 alt@B365 Bad idea to gamble on 4th and 3 7 - 0 ... GB ball, mid 2Q... LIVE BET: Packers -395 Hoping for a middle
I need a Washington TD and my middle is in play..... I expect GB to score 21 or 24 so Commandos need to score 2 TDs by game end...
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET, no score opening GB drive: Commandos +10.5 -300 alt@B365 Bad idea to gamble on 4th and 3 7 - 0 ... GB ball, mid 2Q... LIVE BET: Packers -395 Hoping for a middle
I need a Washington TD and my middle is in play..... I expect GB to score 21 or 24 so Commandos need to score 2 TDs by game end...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET, no score opening GB drive: Commandos +10.5 -300 alt@B365 7 - 0 ... GB ball, mid 2Q... LIVE BET: Packers -395 Hoping for a middle middle?? <<<<
Nice
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET, no score opening GB drive: Commandos +10.5 -300 alt@B365 7 - 0 ... GB ball, mid 2Q... LIVE BET: Packers -395 Hoping for a middle middle?? <<<<
Originally Posted by fubah2 Although even a one pt conversion would have still given me my middle. 2 - 0 tonight yes but come on ... they didn't go for 1 glad to see they got there for you ... good luck rest the way (27-16) was little tense on the try (27-18) happy time... (get some sleep pg)
goldfinger 1964
0
Originally Posted by fubah2 Although even a one pt conversion would have still given me my middle. 2 - 0 tonight yes but come on ... they didn't go for 1 glad to see they got there for you ... good luck rest the way (27-16) was little tense on the try (27-18) happy time... (get some sleep pg)
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