[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]
*
My 2024 weekly results:
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Week 01: 1 - 0
Week 02: 3 - 1 (Loser: -115)
Week 03: 5 - 2 (Losers: -110, *-175)
Week 04: 6 - 2 (Losers: -250, -180)
Week 05: 5 - 2 (Losers: *-230, -175)
Week 06: 6 - 0
Week 07: 8 - 4 (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
Week 08: 5 - 2 (Losers: -120, -125)
Week 09: 9 - 8 (Losers: -105; +1.5-120; +17.5-250; +3-142; +3.5-150; -150; +3.5-180; -105)
Week 10: 6 - 4 (Losers: -4 140; +120; +8 -128; -127)
Week 11: 16 - 6 (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
Week 12: 8 - 1 (Loser: -7.5 -125)
Week 13: 7 - 4 (Losers: -118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
Week 14: 5 - 1 (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
Week 15: 5 - 1 (Loser: -125 hedge bet)
Week 16: 3 - 1 (Loser: +8.5 -152)
Week 17: 6 - 3 (Losers: *+3 -140; +0.5 -138; *+12.5 -175 hedge bet)
Week 18: 1 - 1 so far 
YTD: 104 - 42 
[33 - 10 *Best Bets! ]
HOT STREAK warning for regression still in effect
*
Only 1:10 mins in and they are up 7 - 0
Late 1H, Bucs driving...LIVE BET: Bucs -210
My FALCONS tie it up!
BUmmer! What a way to lose a sound bet.... GB already without WR Doubs (I knew this)...but now they lost deep threat WATSON and it looks like QB LOVE is out for the game....no point risking him any further....Same for star RB Joshy JACOBS as I believe they have pulled him until playoffs.... May have to make a hedge bet 
I've been on REGRESSION WATCH for three previous weeks and I think FINALLY it has arrived.
PACKERS are struggling to overcome the loss of 4 key off starters and fall behind the weakass Bears by 8...
I'm a bit sentimental with this....because the edges are likely in Miami's favor now that all their keys guys will be playing.....but...ONE LAST TIME for Aaron Rodgers? LEANING Jets...
Late 1H..7 - 6 Jets lead....Jets rec fum....LIVE BET: JETS -210
WINNER! 
Aaron
Detroit's defense has jacked up big time in time for the playoffs. I take that note, Fubah.
As for the marquee matchup of the week next Sunday night, I may be leaning LIONS since they seem to have escaped injury (luckily!) and are getting a bit healthier....They'll be on HOME TURF, which is key, as the stadium will be packed (indoors) Fans that night likely to play a roll for lions.
VIKES are 1 - 1 ON THE ROAD @ teams with at least 10 wins and 2 - 2 overall.
LIONS are 2 - 1 on HOMEFIELD vs teams with at least 10 wins and 4 - 1 overall.
*LIONS are +200 pt differential
*VIKES are +122 pt differential
To achieve those pt diff stats which favor the LIONS:
LIONS have played 8 true road games
while VIKES have only played 7 true road games
and
VIKES have faced 6 teams with winning records.
but LIONS had to face 8 teams with winning records!
and
VIKES pt. differential ON THE ROAD is +35 (7 true road; facing only 3 winning teams)
LIONS pt. differential at HOME is +99 (8 home; facing 5 winning teams!! )
Fair edge to LIONS.....Should be -4.5 favs!
Despite losing 3 more players to injury during the game, and giving up 2 turnovers, Lions own a SIGNIFICANT edge in game stats.
>>>>> = 45 - 9 su ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )
I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections.
My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame.
Week 17 my handicapping sheets have the following "circled" as having MASSIVE edges over their weaker opponent towards a SU win: WIN su Chargers (already won Saturday;) WIN su Bills; Failure Colts; WIN su Eagles; WIN su Bucs; WIN su Commandos; WIN su Lions
= 6 - 1 su for week 17
>>>>> = 51 - 10 su and 37 - 21 - 2 ATS!
Week 18 required adjustments in my capping due to playoff bound teams resting starters. But I did find 7 teams with MASSIVE EDGES for whom this was not a meaningless game and were fully motivated to win:
RAVENS - won su & cover
Falcons - FAILURE!
Packers - FAILURE!
BUCS - won su but failed to cover
BRONCOS - won su & cover
Chargers - won su & cover
LIONS - won su & cover
= 5 - 2 su >>>> = 56 - 12 su and 41 - 24 - 2 ATS!
There may be some in the playoffs as well...
@Europa
Yes. Despite injuries they performed exceedingly well, imo 
Established in 1995,
BoL
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