🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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My 2024 weekly results:
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Week 01:    1 - 0
Week 02:    3 - 1    (Loser: -115)
Week 03:    5 - 2    (Losers: -110, *-175)
Week 04:    6 - 2    (Losers: -250, -180)
Week 05:    5 - 2    (Losers: *-230, -175)
Week 06:    6 - 0
Week 07:    8 - 4    (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
Week 08:    5 - 2    (Losers: -120, -125)
Week 09:    9 - 8   (Losers: -105; +1.5-120; +17.5-250; +3-142; +3.5-150; -150; +3.5-180; -105)
Week 10:    6 - 4    (Losers: -4 140; +120; +8 -128; -127)
Week 11:  16 - 6    (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
Week 12:    8 - 1    (Loser: -7.5 -125)
Week 13:    7 - 4    (Losers: -118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
Week 14:    5 - 1    (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
Week 15:    5 - 1    (Loser: -125 hedge bet) 

Week 16:    3 - 1    (Loser: +8.5 -152)

Week 17:    4 - 3  ...so far

YTD:  102 - 42     [33 - 10  *Best Bets! ]

                                                                       HOT STREAK warning for regression still in effect

When I look at upcoming games where one team holds MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, over the past 6 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results on teams I "circled" for su wins:

    Week 11:    7 - 1 su
    Week 12:    6 - 3 su
    Week 13:  10 - 1 su
    Week 14:    7 - 1 su
    Week 15:    9 - 1 su
    Week 16:    6 - 2 su  >>>>>  = 45 - 9 su        ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )

I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections. My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame.

This week my handicapping sheets have the following "circled" as having MASSIVE edges over their weaker opponent towards a SU win:

Chargers (already won Saturday)

Bills

Colts

Eagles

Bucs

Commandos

Lions

Miami almost makes the list but for key injuries...

Bills, Eagles, Bucs, taking care of business, easy!  Colts down one possession

.....and here come da COLTS!

but here come da COLTS again!, needing 2 scores...

Colts shit the bed, people should get fired after this . They cost me but that’s life - Bucs , Bills and Rams TCB . 

Early  1Q opening drive Packers lose the ball....LIVE BET: VIKES -150

@fubah2

 Thread carefully on Minnesota 

Mid 2Q, 3 - 3 tie, Browns ball...LIVE BET: Highest scoring half? 2nd -250

Yeah,  good advice....I won't double-up on them

BoL with your bets today!

WINNER!    

1 - 0  today  so far; VIKES -150  pending

Congrats 

    WINNER #2 

      2 - 0  today

Recap Sunday, Dec 29:

W  Early 1Q opening drive Packers lose the ball....LIVE BET: VIKES -150
W  Mid 2Q, 3 - 3 tie, Browns ball...LIVE BET: Highest scoring half? 2nd -250

So far,   6 - 3   for week 17

Lions a lean Fubah? 

@JJWoods

 Without a doubt no fubah needed. Lions to the house pay back time. 

They can't be stopped destiny.

@JJWoods

 Good day, JJ   Yes, LIONS a definite >>>>>  maybe! LOL

With concerns about key injuries to both squads and resulting team performance, and some concerns about "peak arousal level" to each team, for me this warrants a watch & wait for possible in-game bet (or not)

How motivated will the 49ers be now.... ?  Tough to judge. 

Guessing doesn't help...

@fubah2

 It sure seems to me the books are either trying to fish S.F plays with this .5 deal like will that make a difference?

I'm doubting it because yes Detroit has already clinched a playoff berth this game has revenge on it? How much will Campbell push really? They have a bug game coming up next.

It's looking like a over 49.5 with a Lions -3.5 all night long but no way in heck are the books going to get swept out on this one? Looks like everyone on Detroit here and rightfully so and lots of scoring?

If S.F pulls it out the books will be bank bigtime? It's a Lions win all over it. JMO

Also how motivated will Lions be for this game? Are they playing tonight for the revenge of last season's NFCC, staying hot thru out the Week 18? Guessing Dan Campbell's mind for this game seems tossed up to me. 

Will Campbell keep playing his starters in the second half, or resting them for the more crucial and meaningful showdown on week 18? We will find out soon, Fubah. 

Dan Campbell put his staters playing a meaningless game for entire 60 minutes, granted he kept his words on playing with his starting squad. But he is risking his key players' injury and fatigue. Also his team is coming back from the west coast with a short week to face Vikings with an extra day of rest in next week's showdown. It doesn't look very clever to me, what's your take on the next MIN/DET game? 

@Europa

 Lions to the Bank

JMO G.L 

Fubah the Man with the Plan

When I look at upcoming games where one team holds MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, over the past 6 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results on teams I "circled" for su wins: Week 11: 7 - 1 su Week 12: 6 - 3 su Week 13: 10 - 1 su Week 14: 7 - 1 su Week 15: 9 - 1 su Week 16: 6 - 2 su

>>>>> = 45 - 9  su     ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )

I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections. My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame.