Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE....
Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though...
LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE....
Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though...
LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225
Oh man....this always seems to happen....right after I post the live hedge bet on CINCI, RAVENS intercept the ball to snuff out the score....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225
Oh man....this always seems to happen....right after I post the live hedge bet on CINCI, RAVENS intercept the ball to snuff out the score....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 Oh man....this always seems to happen....right after I post the live hedge bet on CINCI, RAVENS intercept the ball to snuff out the score....
I've got a significant amount riding on an unposted bet I made....BOTH teams to score 10+....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 Oh man....this always seems to happen....right after I post the live hedge bet on CINCI, RAVENS intercept the ball to snuff out the score....
I've got a significant amount riding on an unposted bet I made....BOTH teams to score 10+....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: TNF OK...here's just a portion of my take on tonight's game.... I include the teams' win/loss but it can have a deceptive look so I put very little value on it particularly when it comes to spread bets. I prefer to look at their net point differential >>> calibre of teams they played to achieve that differential >>> and WHERE the games were played Let's look: CINCI: - have played one EXTRA HOME GAME (advantage!) - faced net weak opps! - with those advantages they only attained a net +9 pt differential BALT: - played one extra ROAD game (DISadvantage!); - faced net mediocre teams (ie, tougher sched than Bengals!!) - despite the tougher sched & opps they achieved +64 net pts diff. * The magnitude of difference is virtually the same when we look specifically at Bengals road performances compared to RAVENS home performances. * Ravens only edged Bengals on the road, but Ravens are stronger on homefield. * Bengals have played games against GOOD teams 4 times, losing all 4 and 3 were on homefield Tonight they face their 5th GOOD team and it's on the road... * Neither team is on a hot streak that would cause concern (regression) * Bengals coming off a 17 pt win vs weakass Raiders * Ravens coming off a convincing 31 pt win vs a decent DENVER team! All indications are the Ravens are virtually HEALTHY! But Bengals could be missing a DT, OT, WR, and S RAVENS -4 -140 alt-line, pinnacle *BB Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... YIKES! Bengals look good and Ravens look bad...7 - 0 ...although Ravens only had ONE possession so far...so let's see how they perform when they next get the ball...
BUT, bold prediction, if Bengals get up 14 pts at any point, they will win and my regression continues, likely through the NFL weekend....
.
Glad I saw the signs and hedged my Ravens bet...
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: TNF OK...here's just a portion of my take on tonight's game.... I include the teams' win/loss but it can have a deceptive look so I put very little value on it particularly when it comes to spread bets. I prefer to look at their net point differential >>> calibre of teams they played to achieve that differential >>> and WHERE the games were played Let's look: CINCI: - have played one EXTRA HOME GAME (advantage!) - faced net weak opps! - with those advantages they only attained a net +9 pt differential BALT: - played one extra ROAD game (DISadvantage!); - faced net mediocre teams (ie, tougher sched than Bengals!!) - despite the tougher sched & opps they achieved +64 net pts diff. * The magnitude of difference is virtually the same when we look specifically at Bengals road performances compared to RAVENS home performances. * Ravens only edged Bengals on the road, but Ravens are stronger on homefield. * Bengals have played games against GOOD teams 4 times, losing all 4 and 3 were on homefield Tonight they face their 5th GOOD team and it's on the road... * Neither team is on a hot streak that would cause concern (regression) * Bengals coming off a 17 pt win vs weakass Raiders * Ravens coming off a convincing 31 pt win vs a decent DENVER team! All indications are the Ravens are virtually HEALTHY! But Bengals could be missing a DT, OT, WR, and S RAVENS -4 -140 alt-line, pinnacle *BB Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... YIKES! Bengals look good and Ravens look bad...7 - 0 ...although Ravens only had ONE possession so far...so let's see how they perform when they next get the ball...
BUT, bold prediction, if Bengals get up 14 pts at any point, they will win and my regression continues, likely through the NFL weekend....
BUT, bold prediction, if Bengals get up 14 pts at any point, they will win and my regression continues, likely through the NFL weekend.... . Glad I saw the signs and hedged my Ravens bet...
Bengals are +6 dogs, and rightly so, but leading ON THE ROAD by 14 pts..
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
BUT, bold prediction, if Bengals get up 14 pts at any point, they will win and my regression continues, likely through the NFL weekend.... . Glad I saw the signs and hedged my Ravens bet...
Bengals are +6 dogs, and rightly so, but leading ON THE ROAD by 14 pts..
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: BUT, bold prediction, if Bengals get up 14 pts at any point, they will win and my regression continues, likely through the NFL weekend.... . Glad I saw the signs and hedged my Ravens bet... Bengals are +6 dogs, and rightly so, but leading ON THE ROAD by 14 pts..
Only by 7 now but I figure they still get the upset
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: BUT, bold prediction, if Bengals get up 14 pts at any point, they will win and my regression continues, likely through the NFL weekend.... . Glad I saw the signs and hedged my Ravens bet... Bengals are +6 dogs, and rightly so, but leading ON THE ROAD by 14 pts..
Only by 7 now but I figure they still get the upset
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: BUT, bold prediction, if Bengals get up 14 pts at any point, they will win and my regression continues, likely through the NFL weekend.... . Glad I saw the signs and hedged my Ravens bet... Bengals are +6 dogs, and rightly so, but leading ON THE ROAD by 14 pts..Only by 7 now but I figure they still get the upset
Well...............now 21 - 20
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: BUT, bold prediction, if Bengals get up 14 pts at any point, they will win and my regression continues, likely through the NFL weekend.... . Glad I saw the signs and hedged my Ravens bet... Bengals are +6 dogs, and rightly so, but leading ON THE ROAD by 14 pts..Only by 7 now but I figure they still get the upset
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 Oh man....this always seems to happen....right after I post the live hedge bet on CINCI, RAVENS intercept the ball to snuff out the score....
I've got a significant amountriding on an unposted bet I made....BOTH teams to score 10+....
unposted but a big WINNER to me!
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 Oh man....this always seems to happen....right after I post the live hedge bet on CINCI, RAVENS intercept the ball to snuff out the score....
I've got a significant amountriding on an unposted bet I made....BOTH teams to score 10+....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225
I just realized something.....*IF* the RAVENS score on this drive, down 20 - 21, they will of course go for 2......should that fail, the score would be 26 - 21 RAVENS......and I might score a very lucky middle!
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225
I just realized something.....*IF* the RAVENS score on this drive, down 20 - 21, they will of course go for 2......should that fail, the score would be 26 - 21 RAVENS......and I might score a very lucky middle!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 I just realized something.....*IF* the RAVENS score on this drive, down 20 - 21, they will of course go for 2......should that fail, the score would be 26 - 21 RAVENS......and I might score a very lucky middle!
WTF?????
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 I just realized something.....*IF* the RAVENS score on this drive, down 20 - 21, they will of course go for 2......should that fail, the score would be 26 - 21 RAVENS......and I might score a very lucky middle!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 I just realized something.....*IF* the RAVENS score on this drive, down 20 - 21, they will of course go for 2......should that fail, the score would be 26 - 21 RAVENS......and I might score a very lucky middle! WTF?????
Interception overturned!! Late 4Q, tied at 28, Ravens ball, LIVE BET: RAVENS -300 *BB
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 I just realized something.....*IF* the RAVENS score on this drive, down 20 - 21, they will of course go for 2......should that fail, the score would be 26 - 21 RAVENS......and I might score a very lucky middle! WTF?????
Interception overturned!! Late 4Q, tied at 28, Ravens ball, LIVE BET: RAVENS -300 *BB
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 I just realized something.....*IF* the RAVENS score on this drive, down 20 - 21, they will of course go for 2......should that fail, the score would be 26 - 21 RAVENS......and I might score a very lucky middle! WTF????? Interception overturned!! Late 4Q, tied at 28, Ravens ball, LIVE BET: RAVENS -300 *BB
Derrick Henry!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Injuries/flukes/unexpected poor play and I may hedge bet LIVE.... Also, in addition to LAMAR scrambling for maybe 30+ tonight, I expect the RAVENS to throw often to ANDRREWS and FLOWERS but also get their new WR involved for a few! I think the Bengals will stack it for HENRY though... LATE 2Q, tied at 7, Bengals ball and driving deep within FG range at least!...LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225 I just realized something.....*IF* the RAVENS score on this drive, down 20 - 21, they will of course go for 2......should that fail, the score would be 26 - 21 RAVENS......and I might score a very lucky middle! WTF????? Interception overturned!! Late 4Q, tied at 28, Ravens ball, LIVE BET: RAVENS -300 *BB
Jeevus! Just look at all the injuries on both 49ers and Tampa
No way I am risking a pre-game bet either way on that one...just waaaaaaaaay to much uncertainty over player status and/or performance if the suit up nursing injuries that got them labelled questionable. YA never know with those. A guy may still perform up to his usual standard despite playing hurt....otoh, he may not, due to the discomfort/pain. YES, several walking wounded are going to suit up.....but the uncertainty about HOW WELL I can expect them to play is the concern....not if they suit up or not....
I don't like multiple uncertainties in my capping.....involves too much "guesswork" and THAT is a 50/50 proposition. No value in guessing!
No harm in passing!
Lots of other betting opps on the board....I don't need that particular one....
2
Jeevus! Just look at all the injuries on both 49ers and Tampa
No way I am risking a pre-game bet either way on that one...just waaaaaaaaay to much uncertainty over player status and/or performance if the suit up nursing injuries that got them labelled questionable. YA never know with those. A guy may still perform up to his usual standard despite playing hurt....otoh, he may not, due to the discomfort/pain. YES, several walking wounded are going to suit up.....but the uncertainty about HOW WELL I can expect them to play is the concern....not if they suit up or not....
I don't like multiple uncertainties in my capping.....involves too much "guesswork" and THAT is a 50/50 proposition. No value in guessing!
No harm in passing!
Lots of other betting opps on the board....I don't need that particular one....
*NOTE: Mahomes may be the top QB who is not a bonafide dual-threat, ... as Patrick only averages 4 rushes/game for just 19 yds, but clearly one of the top 3 best QBs in regard to escapability in the backfield putting enormous pressure on defenses even if he doesn't take off downfield!
*NOTE: Mahomes may be the top QB who is not a bonafide dual-threat, ... as Patrick only averages 4 rushes/game for just 19 yds, but clearly one of the top 3 best QBs in regard to escapability in the backfield putting enormous pressure on defenses even if he doesn't take off downfield!
Was leaning to 49ersBUT star DE BOSA is Q (and likely very limited even if he does suit up) and DT GIVENS is OUT....plus WARD is out in the secondary and possibly MUSTAPHA as well ....DEEBO is Q too and JENNINGS will play but very sore hip....
Watch & wait for possible in-game bets....maybe....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
49ers activate Christian McCaffrey!
Was leaning to 49ersBUT star DE BOSA is Q (and likely very limited even if he does suit up) and DT GIVENS is OUT....plus WARD is out in the secondary and possibly MUSTAPHA as well ....DEEBO is Q too and JENNINGS will play but very sore hip....
Watch & wait for possible in-game bets....maybe....
I am sort of leaning to daaaaaaBEARS but this is a "Watch & Wait" for me due to all the injuries on both teams! Waaaay too much uncertainty! I HATE multiple uncertainties like that. Sure I could take a wild guess but WTF??!
Maybe during the game some issues may sort themselves out and an opp could appear but this just might be another game to avoid.
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NE @ CHICAGO
I am sort of leaning to daaaaaaBEARS but this is a "Watch & Wait" for me due to all the injuries on both teams! Waaaay too much uncertainty! I HATE multiple uncertainties like that. Sure I could take a wild guess but WTF??!
Maybe during the game some issues may sort themselves out and an opp could appear but this just might be another game to avoid.
W Late 4Q, tied at 28, Ravens ball, LIVE BET: RAVENS -300 *BB
Broncos +8 -122 alt pinn *BB
Yes, Chiefs are the better team and playing at home. But that defense concerns a lot of us, am I right? And they ARE on an 8 - 0 "HOT STREAK"... meaning a poor (losing?) performance is definitely overdue, probably blowing a fav cover. Today? Maybe. But it's imminent, imo. Bo Nix is doing well in this rookie class and Denver feels reborn. They will LIKELY give the Chiefs all they can handle today. I won't count out an upset here... We all watched as the fortunate CHIEFS escaped disaster with a narrow home win in OVERTIME against a Tampa team with no receivers! Should give anyone pause.... And the massive beatdown that the Broncos suffered against RAVENS, imo, may actually be a positive indicator for my stats because RARELY does a decent & healthy team (Denver) get whacked by more than a TD twice in succession...
Both teams are healthy with no major concerns.
ONE caveat:
I might still be in regression mode....very uncertain....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
.WEEK 10
L Ravens -4 -140 *BB
W LIVE hedge BET: Cinci +5.5 -225
W Late 4Q, tied at 28, Ravens ball, LIVE BET: RAVENS -300 *BB
Broncos +8 -122 alt pinn *BB
Yes, Chiefs are the better team and playing at home. But that defense concerns a lot of us, am I right? And they ARE on an 8 - 0 "HOT STREAK"... meaning a poor (losing?) performance is definitely overdue, probably blowing a fav cover. Today? Maybe. But it's imminent, imo. Bo Nix is doing well in this rookie class and Denver feels reborn. They will LIKELY give the Chiefs all they can handle today. I won't count out an upset here... We all watched as the fortunate CHIEFS escaped disaster with a narrow home win in OVERTIME against a Tampa team with no receivers! Should give anyone pause.... And the massive beatdown that the Broncos suffered against RAVENS, imo, may actually be a positive indicator for my stats because RARELY does a decent & healthy team (Denver) get whacked by more than a TD twice in succession...
Both teams are healthy with no major concerns.
ONE caveat:
I might still be in regression mode....very uncertain....
PASS on the Buffy @ INDY game. Their road vs home stats are very close and I think FLACCO is an upgrade. The COLTS do too! Bills without COLEMAN and Amari!
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PASS on the Buffy @ INDY game. Their road vs home stats are very close and I think FLACCO is an upgrade. The COLTS do too! Bills without COLEMAN and Amari!
riding on an 
I don't like multiple uncertainties in my capping.....involves too much "guesswork" and THAT is a 50/50 proposition. No value in guessing!
And they ARE on an 
on your plays 
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