All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

Wednesday Style ----- A Pick

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 3913
Posts: 102
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 5077
Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by stackedpack:

Thanks for the info.  Im GONNA FADE YOU as I feel more comfy about my Cleveland pick.  The public is not 50/50, is more like 74/26 on Detroit, and the line was soft to attract attention onto Detroit.  Game on ESPN so all you squares can watch your bet lose.  Reverse logic wins here.  MMM-Donut has it right.  Line moving in wrong directions as sharps are pounding Cleveland.

 

So I guess last night with the majority on Phx you played Port and lost. I am a square and will watch my square bet beat your square bet tonight on ESPN. The majority isn't always wrong and if the sharps hit Port last night they lost too.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2007
Posts: 75
Posted: #77
Actually I played the Kings.  You are right, "squares" don't lose all the time.  But keep betting with public opinion on nationally televised events and see where it gets you.  Remember the goal of line making is "supposedly" divide public attention down the middle.  If that's the case, then why do the books constantly make mistakes in dividing public opinion in nationally televised games?   The books know that the public perceives Det to be the better team and I agree.
 
However tonight, Cleveland will be the better the team.  Portland is just one game and so is this one.  In the long run, the books will win more of these trap games.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 1388
Posted: #78
hey law i thought the new jersey line was funny.with the nets giving 2.5 to a hot hawks team.does vegas know something we don't
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 5077
Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by stackedpack:

Actually I played the Kings.  You are right, "squares" don't lose all the time.  But keep betting with public opinion on nationally televised events and see where it gets you.  Remember the goal of line making is "supposedly" divide public attention down the middle.  If that's the case, then why do the books constantly make mistakes in dividing public opinion in nationally televised games?   The books know that the public perceives Det to be the better team and I agree.
 
However tonight, Cleveland will be the better the team.  Portland is just one game and so is this one.  In the long run, the books will win more of these trap games.

I played this one because I think Detroit is the better team. If Detroit shuts down LB who will step up for Clev in this one. Thats how I am looking at it. Det has one of the best Defenses in the league and are capable of this task. I didn't play this one looking at where the money is going but played it talking on this forum with other gamblers who like the pick and gave reasons why.I have not found 1 thing so compelling that I had to pick Clev.But I found a few things that makes me like Det. You may be right Stack and I am not trying to argue with you but one of us will win tonight. GL tonight Stack.

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 18970
Posted: #80
det +1 it is gl all lawstyle win or losee u the mann
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2007
Posts: 10269
Posted: #81
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 1031
Posted: #82
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 291
Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by stackedpack:

Thanks for the info.  Im GONNA FADE YOU as I feel more comfy about my Cleveland pick.  The public is not 50/50, is more like 74/26 on Detroit, and the line was soft to attract attention onto Detroit.  Game on ESPN so all you squares can watch your bet lose.  Reverse logic wins here.  MMM-Donut has it right.  Line moving in wrong directions as sharps are pounding Cleveland.



Alright, fading the public's never hurt anyone...  Good luck with your picks

To us Detroit backers, let's hope things go our way, and win or lose, it's good to know we made an educated bet.


MmmDonut, alright man, good point.  Just thought you were directing that at me.  Good luck, hopefully you took the Pistons
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 291
Posted: #84
Doesn't look like this one is going our way.  Tough loss, Detroit just couldn't shoot the ball.  They are on pace to have their lowest scoring total all season... 

In a way I'm relieved to get that first loss off my back, it was bound to happen.  I hope everyone was still able to have a profitable night.

I'm not going to bet tomorrow just so I can cool off.  I'll be back in a few days with a better pick that will win.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 218
Posted: #85
nice job, fell for the fix!!!
stupid bet
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 378
Posted: #86
That means tmr u gonna cash.  thanks in advance
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 18970
Posted: #87
no big deal law u still the man u wont win them all hope we see u soon
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 218
Posted: #88
no  more picks from you, ok? just bomb in private
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 240
Posted: #89
Hey, you've had some great analysis and write-ups so far. I knew you were off on this one from the start but you've got a good head on your shoulders. 
 
Keep it up and help these nincompoops on this forum make some money.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 291
Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by thewaterfall:

no  more picks from you, ok? just bomb in private


  Nice dude
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 5077
Posted: #91
Oh well. Good job stack.My square bet loss.lol.Oh well still doing good this week and plenty of games to play.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 1388
Posted: #92
dude  your good shake it off  your thinking like me vegas tells us alot
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 1031
Posted: #93
You are human ...

Keep up the good work.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 218
Posted: #94
soooooooo square! the only thing that tipped me off was the first line of his post something akin to "i dont know why the line is..."
that is the sign of doom.
take your 7-1 and faddddddddddde away
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 653
Posted: #95
Don't matter that you lost, good job.  Keep up the good work
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 291
Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by thewaterfall:

soooooooo square! the only thing that tipped me off was the first line of his post something akin to "i dont know why the line is..."
that is the sign of doom.
take your 7-1 and faddddddddddde away


I literally just laughed out loud.  Fade me all you want
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 5077
Posted: #97
Good job Lawstyle.Nobody is fading you. Your doing good.
 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 123
Posted: #98
like i said, pick game very tough.....better stay away.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 166
Posted: #99
As long as you keep the system of placing a bet only when you see 85% hitting probability bets, you will keep winning and lose 1 out of 8. I wonder if that's possible. It takes a lot of patience
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 3738
Posted: #100
I took cleveland last night, but nearly changed my pick after reading your write-up. Your insight is appreciated regardless of tonights outcome, we look forward to your future posts. great run so far.
All Forums | NBA Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.