Wednesday 🏀🐫

298-238 YTD (+44.31U)

Pistons -3.5 1.5X

Backing Detroit as both of these teams play well at home and not so good on the road.  

Cavs 0-5 on the road and Pistons 5-1 at home. 

Cavs TT on the road is 0-5 to the under. Net rating and offensive rating is 12th out of the 16 teams. 

Pistons shot 51% and 44% from three last game compared to the Cavs shooting only 44% and 34% from three. Pistons offensively were better but the free throw discrepancy was very lopsided. Cavs shot 34 free throws to Pistons 12.   I can see Detroit getting a better whistle in this game after publicly complaining but we will see.

As a die hard Cavs fan I feel you can never fully trust this team and their defense. Maybe part of that is because they were the worst ATS team in the regular season. If the Cavs do win I'll be happy as a fan even though my wallet will be a little lighter.

bol either way

Queries of the Day:

Home favorites after a loss where they made less than 10 free throws 46-8 SU 37-17 ATS

After a loss where they made less than 10 free throws and shooting over 50% 11-2 SU 12-1 ATS

I've become a little bit of a conspiracist to NBA shenanigans take these with a grain of salt. I'll be watching for the ref assignments. 

@MrFreedo

@MrFreedo

 Let's goooooooo MrFreedo!   I love your awareness of all "situations"...hehehehehe!!!  

@CCO687

Yeti sighting is good luck

Lets keep on rolling! BOL to you today  

@MrFreedo

 Any queries on the total Freedo? These overs are mind boggling to me. Like a poster said when a team is down they hu kip 3s when a team is leading they drive and get fouled. Where is the defense

FREEDO 

0-5 road, 5-1 home. We'll that was easy, that's what I love about NBA. I think they're the better in this matchup. 

@StraightWager

Last 15 years when a team makes 30+ free throws next game 28-49-1 (63.6%) to the under

I have a similar free throw system that's 60-83  (58%) to the under the last 5 years

Query of the day after less than 10 fts made 17-35 (67%) to the under next game (maybe refs in the spot light avoid fts) 

Surprisingly I did a lot of queries on game 5s with series tied and didn't come up with much 

Also with 2 straight overs nothing much either coin flip

Cavs on the road 0-5 to the team total over (compared to Cavs at home 5-0) and avg 100 points

When Cavs win the games are 5-1 to the over

Thought about Cavs TTU  or full game under because I think Cavs lose but if they win I am toast lol

@Freedo 

How do you feel about the first half -1.5

@MrFreedo

 Bol

@MrFreedo

 Thank you sir 

1Q Pistons -1 -110 (.55u)

Superbook

small play

@MrFreedo

1-1 (-1.15U)

streak ends at 5 

good game Detroit melted

back Friday