Recent unders don’t change the matchup for me. This sets up as a faster game than the number suggests, with both sides comfortable playing early offense and attacking in transition off misses. OKC doesn’t slow games down when they get advantages — they keep pressing tempo and rim pressure.
Defensively, the Thunder can force turnovers, but that often leads to quick scores the other way rather than empty trips. In a spread-tight game, that usually shows up late with extended possessions and free throws instead of clock bleed. I have this game projected at 104 possessions, IFwe get to that number, historically OKC games clear 235-240
At 232.5, I think this asks for too clean of a defensive game. Over for me if this stays competitive.
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OKC Thunder Over 232.5
Recent unders don’t change the matchup for me. This sets up as a faster game than the number suggests, with both sides comfortable playing early offense and attacking in transition off misses. OKC doesn’t slow games down when they get advantages — they keep pressing tempo and rim pressure.
Defensively, the Thunder can force turnovers, but that often leads to quick scores the other way rather than empty trips. In a spread-tight game, that usually shows up late with extended possessions and free throws instead of clock bleed. I have this game projected at 104 possessions, IFwe get to that number, historically OKC games clear 235-240
At 232.5, I think this asks for too clean of a defensive game. Over for me if this stays competitive.
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