Posted:
#1
Playoffs
8-4-0
3-2-0 laaaaaaaaarge
2-0 GOY
Still managed to pick up profit yesterday despite laying 45 cents on MIA to win the game. Although the play did go against my numbers, i said i was going fishing with it, it was just one of those plays where i would have kicked myself had MIA won the game...As for the series I LOVE INDY. MIA's legs are done. RAY RAY missing FT's, BATTIER bricks, HIBBERT owning the paint..I'll wait to pull the trigger though after GM 3.
As for tonight, I've been spot on in this series and despite losing on the SPURS last game after choking an 18 point lead, I still can't think that MEM was the right side rolling on though but POY on SPURS TT managed to hit barely because of OT;
Over the last 3 seasons;
MEM is 4-7 ATS following an OT L returning home
MEM is 3-4 ATS when favored at home following an OT L
MEM is 5-2 SU when favored at home following an OT L
MEM is 1-0 ATS & SU when trailing 0-2 (LAC)
MEM is 4-1 ATS in Game 3's (1-1 vs LAC) (2-0 vs OKC) (1-0 vs SA)
Since the POPP era;
SA is 3-2 ATS as a dog following an OT W going on the road (2-3 SU)
SA is 7-5 SU in Game 3's on the road when the series is tied 1-1
SA is 5-4 ATS in Games 3's on the road as dogs when series is tied 1-1
SA is 3-0 in Game 3's when FAVORITES on the road and series is tied 1-1
SA is 1-3 ATS (0-4 SU) when dogs of 4 or more in G3's when series is tied 1-1
SA has lost those games by an avg of 17 points
SA is 7-8 SU in Games 3's when leading a series 2-0
SA is 6-9 ATS in Games 3's when leading a series 2-0
SA is 2-6 ATS when dogs in Game 3 and leading series 2-0
SA is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS when FAVORITES in G3'sand up 2-0
SA is 1-5 ATS and SU as dogs of 4 or more in Game 3 when leading series 2-0
SA has lost those games by an average of 9.8 points
SA is 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS when failing to cover G2.
Overall SA is 18-13 SU and ATS in G3's.
Now I highlighted some of the trends that really stand out making it seem as if MEM is the right play BUT do I see the SPURS lulling in the 4th again? Do i see what MEM can do any different or is SA floor spacing and depth just too much? I had this series either 4-0 or 5 max from the beginning BUT which do i follow? LOS SPURS have been my cash cow these playoffs, do i dare fade them now?
Plays will follow;
8-4-0
3-2-0 laaaaaaaaarge
2-0 GOY
Still managed to pick up profit yesterday despite laying 45 cents on MIA to win the game. Although the play did go against my numbers, i said i was going fishing with it, it was just one of those plays where i would have kicked myself had MIA won the game...As for the series I LOVE INDY. MIA's legs are done. RAY RAY missing FT's, BATTIER bricks, HIBBERT owning the paint..I'll wait to pull the trigger though after GM 3.
As for tonight, I've been spot on in this series and despite losing on the SPURS last game after choking an 18 point lead, I still can't think that MEM was the right side rolling on though but POY on SPURS TT managed to hit barely because of OT;
Over the last 3 seasons;
MEM is 4-7 ATS following an OT L returning home
MEM is 3-4 ATS when favored at home following an OT L
MEM is 5-2 SU when favored at home following an OT L
MEM is 1-0 ATS & SU when trailing 0-2 (LAC)
MEM is 4-1 ATS in Game 3's (1-1 vs LAC) (2-0 vs OKC) (1-0 vs SA)
Since the POPP era;
SA is 3-2 ATS as a dog following an OT W going on the road (2-3 SU)
SA is 7-5 SU in Game 3's on the road when the series is tied 1-1
SA is 5-4 ATS in Games 3's on the road as dogs when series is tied 1-1
SA is 3-0 in Game 3's when FAVORITES on the road and series is tied 1-1
SA is 1-3 ATS (0-4 SU) when dogs of 4 or more in G3's when series is tied 1-1
SA has lost those games by an avg of 17 points
SA is 7-8 SU in Games 3's when leading a series 2-0
SA is 6-9 ATS in Games 3's when leading a series 2-0
SA is 2-6 ATS when dogs in Game 3 and leading series 2-0
SA is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS when FAVORITES in G3'sand up 2-0
SA is 1-5 ATS and SU as dogs of 4 or more in Game 3 when leading series 2-0
SA has lost those games by an average of 9.8 points
SA is 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS when failing to cover G2.
Overall SA is 18-13 SU and ATS in G3's.
Now I highlighted some of the trends that really stand out making it seem as if MEM is the right play BUT do I see the SPURS lulling in the 4th again? Do i see what MEM can do any different or is SA floor spacing and depth just too much? I had this series either 4-0 or 5 max from the beginning BUT which do i follow? LOS SPURS have been my cash cow these playoffs, do i dare fade them now?
Plays will follow;
0
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