PHILLY live dog to win series

On them for 10 units +5.5 @ home in Philly. 

Just something to consider - since November 5th, the Celtics are 20-3 following a loss. Average margin of victory in those 20 wins was 15.4 points per game.

Since January 21st, they're 11-1 following a loss. Nine of those wins were by double digits and the other two were by 8 points. The only team in the last three months to defeat the Celtics following a Celtics loss was the Thunder on March 12th, who barely got it done in Oklahoma City by 2 points.

@MrBator

Good luck AM.  

Betting the Celtics to me this season is almost betting what percentage they will shoot from beyond the 3 point line. Derrick White have played very shitty all season! I believe the Celtics move onto the next round, but not sure if Embiid and Maxey will make it easy!

The time to bet against against the Celtics in the Playoffs is when they are double digit favorites..

Since 2022 the Celtics now have 7 out of the 11 playoff losses as double digit favorites for all teams...

Also if you took Philly every game this series on the moneyline you would have 67 % ROI so far..

Good Luck with game 6  

Feels like a sweet spot to back Boston here at only laying 5 points imo . 

@Mcmanus

Only way you were profitable fading them as double digit favs was on the opponents money line. 19/20 of these games were at home. Who the hell is playing the opponents ML with a double digits spread against Boston at home in the playoffs lol in all 20 games…

ATS wise in these games 9-10-1 was a coin-flip if you got the best of the number like Sunday you were profitable with Boston.

Celtics off a double digit loss since 2022 in the yoffs 5-1 ATS. 6-0 if you got the best of the number like Sunday.

Embiid did look good last game. I say C’s smoke them or Philly wins SU.  

If you expect Celtics not to shoot their season average in 3s in the rest of the games in this series then sure. Celtics just need to be average in one game from 3 and it’ll be a blowout. 

Since 2023 the Celtics are 6-1 on the road in the playoffs after losing a home playoff game.

2023

defeated the Hawks in Game 6, 128-120

defeated the Sixers in Game 6, 95-86

lost to the Heat in Game 3, 128-102

2024

defeated the Heat in Game 3, 104-84

defeated the Cavs in Game 3, 106-93

2025

defeated the Knicks in Game 3, 115-93

2026

defeated the Sixers in Game 3, 108-100

I am aware but I feel Philly has enough in game 6 at home ats. They have the offensive fire power.

@MrFreedo

 Injured players coming back are similar to rookies and backup QBs - they rarely follow up a big game with a duplicate. Especially in a series where adjustments are made.

It's in Philly and it won't be easy but I think unfortunately the 76ers drew the worst card of the top 3 seeds because look at the Pistons and Cavs struggling with the Magic and Raptors but the Celtics have been there before and can take a punch and bounce back unlike the Pistons who suck at winning any playoff games at home and the Cavs consistently go cold in crunch time and blow leads. Boston blew a lead too last time but I don't think they lose 4 back to back they are more resilient as that off a loss stat speaks to. One of the other possibly both the top seeds are where the upset happens not here. Embiid will probably get hurt again anyway he always has something wrong with him I can't stand it.

@NutinButtLove

Celtics are going down