NorthernCapper's Saturday

Predictions:

Mem @ Chi -1.5 o/u 179.5

Hou -2 @ Min o/u 204.5

Wash @ LAC -15 o/u 201.5 

I'm assuming you mean SA/ATL.  I don't really have any lean on that one. If i was making a play I'd take the under.  ATL averages 100.1 ppg at home while SA gives up 100.1ppg on the road. Off a B2B i can see SA giving up 100 to ATL, and we all know SA can score. What I would say is that if SA wins the game it's most likely going over.  The only way I see the game going under is if SA comes out a bit flat and ATL wins in a 96 - 90 type game which would be very possible.  My recommendation would be if you like the under to lean towards ATL plus the points instead.

My initial Bankroll was 10k.  1 unit for me personally is $200 but I use the unit scale instead so ppl can use it as a base to apply whatever $ amount to it they want.

Personally with these unit plays i've grown my bankroll from $10,000 to $31,380 since beginning of December when I started posted.  Profit of $21,380. 

I am ya.  Tough game IMO.  Hawks are good at home, spurs on a B2B.  My leans would be towards Atlanta or the under. 

SA is 2-7 ATS last 9 road games

Under is 7-1 last 8 SA games overall

Under is 7-3 last 10 ATL home games

Minnesota recently is excelling in only one category, injuries.  Kevin Love is already out for an extended period of time, now Pekovic, their only solid starter goes down is listed as out indefinitely, and Alexey Shved looks like he'll miss tonights game with an ankle injury. 

The injuries have just gotten past the point of fighting through them for Minnesota.  Their D has been the biggest casualty of that, dropping from 5th in defensive efficiency in mid December, to 28th in January.  Pekovic being out means they lose their best post defender and rebounder meaning the defensive side of things can only get worse. 

With Pekovic out Minnesota is going to rely on a frontcourt of Dante Cunningham, Derrick Williams, Lou Amundson, and Greg Stiemsa.  That's just not going to win you many games in the NBA as 3 of those 4 guys wouldn't make roster on a number of NBA teams.

With Ahved out, Minnesota is stuck rostering only Andrei Kirilenko and Malcolm Lee at SF and SG, no backups, meaning the PG trio of Ridnour, Rubio, and Barea, all undersized pgs at best will have to take some time at SG.

Not a good sign with a high scoring Houston team coming to down.  Houston has dropped 6 straight as they've played 5 of their last 6 games on the road, with their only home game coming in a tough spot on the front night of a B2B vs the LAC.  6 straight losses is tough but all losses came against solid teams.  @IND, @DAL, @PHI, @BOS, @NO and the previously mentioned home game to the Clippers.  Houston is going to be hungry to finally get back in the win column.

Houston's MO has been fairly consistent this year, push the tempo, score the ball, but really don't pay much attention to the defensive end. This has hurt them against teams that either 

a) defend well (IND, BOS, NO)

b) score well and play some semblance of defence. (LAC)

12-6 on the Streak Monthly Board

Play of the Day: HOU -4 to get to 13-6

4 back of the leader but hoping I can string together 7 or so wins in a row.

Tough result with OKC -4, they couldn't close the door up 14 late third, 89-81 in the fourth tbey dried up at a bad time.

Roll Tide

BOL

That would be my concern about the pushing the pace.  Why i'm staying away.  Not unrealistic for ATL to score 100 vs SA. Horford is listed as probably from what i've seen though.  My guess is he plays.

WOW!

That's awesome Cap!