YTD 12-2 +9.90
Hawks messed with us last night, lets see what we can find tonight 
JAZZ v BULLS U242
Vucevic is in, Markkanen is out. Markk is basically the engine for Utah, who is now putting out an much inferior front court. Bulls are 7th in boxing out and securing the DEF ORB. And with Vuc in, I bet he secures even more. So Vuc is good for chicago but I see him helping the under on pace alone. Giddy is really the one who drives that. In games this season when Uta is without Markkanen, Jazz OFF/100 has dropped off 9ppg. The replacement front court for Jazz is Nurkic and Bailey who I expect to be less efficient on putbacks tonight. Utah under is always a risk, because their HC DEF IS DEAD LAST in the NBA. However, however UTAH is missing their best floor spacer, and putback threat/kickout vs BULLS who should own the glass tonight.
NUGGETS v MAVERICKS U226
Last game cleared 260, and I don't see it tonight. Here's why.
Without Jokic, DEN HC EFF drops from 1st to 24th based on my numbers. Dallas has been bad in the HC all season, rank 29, 93.9/100.
Dallas is 1st in the league in pts in transition off steals, yet Denver, you guessed it 3rd in TRANS DEF. The big key tonight will be DEN 5th in ORB Allow, and DAL inability on putbacks - RANK 27/18.5. I have this game in the 208-215 range.
RIDE or COLLIDE
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